Alarmed-Oyster 0x22bfdb…de8642
bot 4W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$139
Unrealized P&L
-$210
Hit rate
61.6%
Resolved
927
Trades
1,481
lifetime
Volume
$3.99K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$206
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-22
last 10-18 17:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 134 days
Categories
Other
59% 63% +$36
Politics
31% 25% -$181
Sports
8% 56% +$19
Crypto
2% 41% -$5
Tech
0% 0% -$7
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
13 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +1,926 $204 3¢ $59 -$145 07-06 21:30
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +134 $64 39¢ $52 -$12 10-18 17:51
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +23 $14 57¢ $13 -$1 07-08 14:27
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +31 $11 40¢ $12 +$1 09-17 05:26
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +18 $12 64¢ $12 $0 10-12 17:51
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +10 $7 72¢ $7 +$0 10-12 17:49
Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026? Yes +187 $34 3¢ $6 -$28 09-17 14:08
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +62 $5 6¢ $4 -$1 09-17 05:28
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? Yes +38 $5 10¢ $4 -$1 09-17 05:28
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +33 $5 11¢ $4 -$1 09-17 05:30
another fed rate hike in 2026 Yes +5 $4 70¢ $3 -$1 09-17 14:08
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? Yes +42 $5 8¢ $3 -$2 09-17 05:27
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes -7 -$2 40¢ $-3 -$1 10-18 17:49
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +24 $6 12¢ $3 -$3 09-17 05:26
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -3 -$2 97¢ $-2 -$1 05-13 13:07
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 Yes +18 $5 14¢ $2 -$3 07-20 05:20
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +2 $1 92¢ $2 +$1 05-28 10:43
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +20 $10 8¢ $2 -$8 05-28 10:43
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-02 18:56
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +8 $2 16¢ $1 -$1 06-05 18:27
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by December 31, 2026? Yes +1 $1 80¢ $1 +$0 09-17 05:31
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? Yes +36 $1 3¢ $1 +$0 09-17 05:33
Russia-Ukraine peace talks by November 30, 2026? Yes +2 $1 68¢ $1 +$0 09-17 05:31
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +23 $1 5¢ $1 +$0 06-16 08:08
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +9 $1 12¢ $1 +$0 07-08 14:17
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -6 -$1 18¢ $-1 +$0 05-07 14:33
Will Ukraine agree to give up the rest of Donbas before 2027? Yes +20 $1 5¢ $1 $0 09-17 05:33
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +22 $5 4¢ $1 -$4 05-28 10:44
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -23 -$1 4¢ $-1 +$0 05-03 17:32
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +12 $1 5¢ $1 $0 05-31 12:59