Realized P&L
-$15
Unrealized P&L
+$8
Hit rate
37.7%
Resolved
51
Trades
3,230
lifetime
Volume
$13.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$34
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-04 21:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Politics
51% 33% $-9
Other
36% 57% +$4
Sports
9% 20% $-10
Tech
3%
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
52 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +20 $8 40¢ $8 +$0 07-01 13:56
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +8 $4 62¢ $5 +$1 07-03 18:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +5 $3 99¢ $5 +$2 06-29 22:38
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +10 $1 46¢ $5 +$3 06-23 16:27
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -13 $-5 34¢ $-5 +$1 06-07 13:58
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +5 $3 60¢ $3 +$0 07-02 18:52
Supreme Court vacancy in 2026? Yes -4 $-1 38¢ $-1 $-0 06-07 13:56
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -17 $-1 $-1 $-0 06-15 14:49
UK Recession in 2026? Yes -5 $-2 17¢ $-1 +$1 06-07 13:58