Realized P&L
-$32
Unrealized P&L
+$0
Hit rate
22.8%
Resolved
51
Trades
3,091
lifetime
Volume
$21.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$89
20 positions
First seen
2026-02-14
last 06-30 15:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Politics
55% 29% $-15
Other
31% 59% +$8
Tech
7%
Crypto
4%
Sports
3% 0% $-26
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 85 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No -10 $-9 100¢ $-10 $-1 06-22 21:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +13 $8 68¢ $9 +$1 06-30 03:20
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-7 78¢ $-8 $-1 06-07 12:59
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +9 $8 88¢ $8 $-0 06-30 20:10
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? No +10 $7 72¢ $7 +$0 05-30 06:40
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -20 $-6 27¢ $-5 +$1 06-23 18:31
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes -10 $-5 55¢ $-5 $-1 06-07 13:54
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 +$0 06-29 15:15
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -5 $-5 100¢ $-5 $-0 06-12 19:58
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -5 $-3 83¢ $-4 $-1 06-07 13:53
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No -15 $2 27¢ $-4 $-6 06-07 12:56
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$0 06-13 17:28
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +11 $4 32¢ $4 $-1 06-22 20:37
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +4 $4 85¢ $3 $-0 06-08 07:45
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +4 $3 74¢ $3 +$0 06-03 07:22
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +10 $1 18¢ $2 +$0 06-23 16:28
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Yes +10 $1 15¢ $1 +$0 06-22 00:36
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4? Yes -15 $-1 $-0 +$1 06-07 13:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -25 $-6 $-0 +$6 06-23 20:37
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -2 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-15 14:48