Realized P&L
-$32
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
22.8%
Resolved
51
Trades
3,111
lifetime
Volume
$21.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$71
15 positions
First seen
2026-02-14
last 07-04 21:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 19 days
Categories
Politics
55% 29% $-15
Other
31% 59% +$8
Tech
7%
Crypto
4%
Sports
3% 0% $-26
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
57 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +13 $8 99¢ $13 +$5 06-30 03:20
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-7 88¢ $-9 $-2 06-07 12:59
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +9 $8 88¢ $8 $-0 06-30 20:10
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No -15 $2 47¢ $-7 $-9 06-07 12:56
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? No +10 $7 66¢ $7 $-0 05-30 06:40
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? Yes +21 $7 23¢ $5 $-2 07-02 09:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +10 $1 48¢ $5 +$3 06-23 16:28
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +5 $4 88¢ $4 +$0 06-13 17:28
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? No +4 $4 89¢ $4 +$0 06-08 07:45
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +4 $3 78¢ $3 +$0 06-03 07:22
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -5 $-3 66¢ $-3 +$0 06-07 13:53
Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? No -20 $-6 14¢ $-3 +$3 06-23 18:31
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Yes +10 $1 $1 $-0 06-22 00:36
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No -2 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-15 14:48
Fed rate hike in 2026? Yes +0 $-0 66¢ $0 +$0 07-02 18:52