Spanish-Consulting — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$32

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

22.8%

Resolved

Trades

3,111

lifetime

Volume

$21.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-14

last 07-04 21:47

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Politics

55% 29% $-15

Other

31% 59% +$8

Tech

7% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Sports

3% 0% $-26

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 59 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	59	$707	429	429	+0	open	—	03-10 12:52
will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	74	$684	422	407	+15	open	—	03-13 05:45
will the us invade iran by march 31	48	$655	374	374	+0	open	—	03-30 05:24
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	40	$620	330	330	+0	open	—	04-16 18:18
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	42	$576	320	320	+0	open	—	03-29 12:11
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	59	$504	418	402	+17	open	—	04-12 13:55
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	32	$498	350	340	+10	open	—	02-28 07:32
will google have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	37	$482	334	314	+20	open	—	02-25 01:01
us announces military coordination with kurds in iran by march 31	43	$448	279	279	+0	open	—	03-19 06:04
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	25	$401	220	220	+0	open	—	03-23 10:39
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	31	$368	200	185	+15	open	—	03-10 15:14
will bitcoin dip to 60000 in february 694	26	$356	235	235	+0	open	—	02-25 02:01
will claude 5 be released by february 28 2026 352 784	20	$333	260	210	+50	open	—	02-15 17:56
will there be between 10 and 13 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	28	$314	249	245	+4	open	—	03-01 18:10
israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	18	$301	160	185	-25	open	—	02-27 18:00
will iran strike israel on march 10	21	$293	150	150	+0	open	—	03-14 01:53
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?	33	$292	218	188	+30	open	—	02-27 15:59
will bitcoin dip to 55k in march 2026	32	$290	163	158	+5	open	—	03-17 16:38
Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?	20	$281	155	155	+0	open	—	04-12 16:15
will there be between 14 and 17 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	30	$277	305	290	+15	open	—	03-04 21:23
will there be between 6 and 9 us strikes on somalia in february 2026	14	$246	302	296	+6	open	—	02-17 20:58
israel strikes iran by march 31 2026	9	$242	200	150	+50	open	—	02-17 12:57
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	41	$228	185	185	+0	open	—	03-08 21:07
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	69	$222	544	499	+45	open	—	05-30 11:30
will bitcoin dip to 60k in march 2026	15	$219	134	134	+0	open	—	03-27 13:53
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	15	$215	142	127	+15	open	—	02-27 23:38
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	21	$214	220	220	+0	open	—	03-04 14:35
netanyahu out by march 31 854	17	$209	110	110	+0	open	—	03-20 02:51
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	13	$206	195	180	+15	open	—	02-25 00:33
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	6	$199	115	115	+0	open	—	02-28 13:34

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 21:47:13	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x0b5882…
07-04 21:24:02	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 goals kylian mbappe gte1	Yes	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0x8f4cc7…
07-04 21:21:37	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xc12ae6…
07-04 21:06:11	fifwc par fra 2026 07 04 team total away 1pt5	Over	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xaa9bd1…
07-04 10:08:16	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x781b4a…
07-02 19:58:59	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x2bcaf2…
07-02 18:52:13	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xc7355a…
07-02 18:39:47	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x90e5b5…
07-02 18:24:43	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0x51ec34…
07-02 18:23:58	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by december 31	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$2	0x659eba…
07-02 12:49:44	spy closes above 740 on july 2 2026	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x80ef5b…
07-02 12:48:26	spy closes above 740 on july 2 2026	No	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0xe714d5…
07-02 11:16:29	spy closes above 740 on july 2 2026	No	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xa68300…
07-02 09:44:20	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x08e8a7…
07-01 12:47:40	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	3	80¢	$3	0xd3a31d…
07-01 11:44:32	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x8fda2d…
07-01 10:38:05	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x5ce639…
07-01 10:21:32	will samuel alito announce his retirement by september 30 2026 20260630151901966	No	BUY	2	77¢	$1	0x1f3880…
07-01 01:23:28	lol t1 tl2 2026 07 01 game handicap away 1pt5	Team Liquid	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0xbd60a0…
06-30 20:10:29	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	4	90¢	$4	0xc85d7c…
06-30 15:22:40	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	46¢	$1	0x35b56f…
06-30 15:21:25	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	46¢	$5	0xe32699…
06-30 15:14:28	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	42¢	$3	0x7089aa…
06-30 15:04:17	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x816b41…
06-30 03:20:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x1cd6a3…
06-29 22:09:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x8ae8bf…
06-29 21:25:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x8705fe…
06-29 21:04:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	0	16¢	$0	0xb23abf…
06-29 21:03:29	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	SELL	45	16¢	$7	0x55c17f…
06-29 20:15:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x1d1d9b…
06-29 15:15:40	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6a0eb6…
06-29 11:01:13	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x12d62a…
06-29 10:47:43	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd23c7b…
06-29 10:45:11	tyler robinson convicted of homicide	No	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x00c544…
06-28 21:56:38	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	10	23¢	$2	0x8063cd…
06-28 21:37:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	15	23¢	$4	0x3501ed…
06-28 21:30:59	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	Yes	BUY	10	22¢	$2	0x0153c6…
06-28 15:26:04	Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	5	90¢	$4	0x3991ed…
06-28 15:19:52	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	No	SELL	25	11¢	$3	0x2e6ff1…
06-24 20:16:14	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xfb92fa…
06-24 20:00:23	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by june 26	No	BUY	5	69¢	$3	0xafbd0f…
06-23 22:25:35	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xc4187c…
06-23 22:10:22	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31	No	BUY	15	31¢	$5	0x0e64a8…
06-23 20:37:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	14	3¢	$0	0x35acaf…
06-23 18:31:13	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x0eb475…
06-23 18:29:59	Will there be at least 3000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x71381a…
06-23 16:28:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xd5bc21…
06-23 13:22:37	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	SELL	15	83¢	$12	0x295b02…
06-22 21:20:01	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x14e955…
06-22 20:37:37	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	38¢	$1	0x97b9d9…
06-22 00:36:31	Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x55a2d9…
06-21 19:56:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x22862f…
06-21 18:16:53	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x1e0ae7…
06-21 18:00:47	will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xa09c71…
06-19 14:08:43	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0x798b55…
06-19 14:07:25	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	SELL	5	62¢	$3	0xb9c04f…
06-18 16:12:13	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	SELL	30	14¢	$4	0x367dcf…
06-18 12:12:19	Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xc076d4…
06-18 10:10:07	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xe79fde…
06-18 09:15:34	Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?	Yes	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x1fa433…
06-18 04:16:50	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	10	25¢	$2	0xcebcfa…
06-18 04:01:23	will trump agree to withdraw troops from the iranian region by june 30	No	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x5b1eed…
06-17 19:52:52	Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0x7fadb1…
06-16 23:55:37	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	1	73¢	$0	0x3c9b17…
06-16 23:54:17	iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through hormuz by june 30	No	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0xa82a33…
06-16 22:46:04	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xd9cd61…
06-16 22:44:55	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	SELL	10	48¢	$5	0x546162…
06-16 22:27:49	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xd6e0ef…
06-16 22:19:17	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4ebaff…
06-16 13:43:19	will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 15 20260608233701772	Yes	SELL	3	64¢	$2	0xf409d7…
06-15 23:30:16	will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 15 20260608233701772	Yes	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x012e34…
06-15 15:30:42	will the jne certify results of the second round of the 2026 peruvian presidential elections by july 15 20260608233701772	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf47e4e…
06-15 14:48:12	Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch?	No	SELL	2	6¢	$0	0x74a17f…
06-15 14:39:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	30	27¢	$8	0x203236…
06-14 07:37:57	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x43379c…
06-14 07:14:30	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xb87e83…
06-14 06:57:46	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	No	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x21386f…
06-13 17:54:00	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0xa8fdbc…
06-13 17:52:33	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x686105…
06-13 17:28:13	Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay	No	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0xf879d8…
06-13 17:25:31	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	SELL	10	36¢	$4	0x6fbfdc…
06-13 16:58:51	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	4	89¢	$4	0x1469a3…
06-13 15:57:25	us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x5ae8de…
06-13 15:03:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xdab998…
06-13 11:21:30	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0x2a497e…
06-13 11:13:51	us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	No	SELL	18	52¢	$9	0xcb78d7…
06-13 09:58:12	us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x693769…
06-13 09:43:10	us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xea933d…
06-13 09:38:07	Will SpaceX acquire Cursor?	Yes	BUY	4	92¢	$3	0x46f2c8…
06-13 09:33:04	us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	No	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x7a22d5…
06-13 09:30:33	us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x4c506b…
06-13 09:28:01	us and iran sign an agreement by june 30 2026 20260611221049853	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x036c51…
06-13 05:38:43	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x6a89eb…
06-13 05:23:40	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0xf268a3…
06-13 05:14:54	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x1d89df…
06-13 05:08:36	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x916094…
06-12 19:58:33	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xf21e9d…
06-12 19:19:31	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x4b8eed…
06-12 18:25:52	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7d90b2…
06-12 17:48:07	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x91565e…