Remorseful-Island — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$461

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,454

lifetime

Volume

$7.10M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$4.89K

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-04

last 06-03 13:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Politics

73% — —

Other

20% 100% +$461

Crypto

6% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

43 active days in 12wk • peak 264 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	21	$493.1K	494,087	0	+494,087	open	—	03-12 05:11
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	26	$490.6K	491,354	0	+491,354	open	—	04-19 15:22
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	14	$488.4K	490,345	0	+490,345	open	—	04-07 21:43
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	5	$469.8K	470,710	0	+470,710	open	—	05-21 16:16
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	53	$457.0K	459,147	0	+459,147	open	—	06-03 13:08
will iran strike israel on march 10	68	$419.1K	420,000	0	+420,000	open	—	03-17 01:47
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	11	$393.8K	394,662	0	+394,662	open	—	04-30 20:38
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	25	$306.8K	307,767	0	+307,767	open	—	03-24 19:52
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$299.7K	300,000	0	+300,000	open	—	04-09 20:32
will iran strike israel on march 4	28	$299.7K	300,000	0	+300,000	open	—	03-09 07:32
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	45	$233.7K	234,034	0	+234,034	open	—	04-01 21:34
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	14	$224.2K	224,457	0	+224,457	open	—	04-23 12:32
will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	32	$206.9K	207,312	0	+207,312	open	—	03-24 02:14
will trump say jesus this week march 8	42	$199.6K	200,000	0	+200,000	open	—	03-11 15:42
us strikes iraq by february 28	35	$190.9K	191,098	0	+191,098	open	—	03-05 17:49
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	120	$168.1K	169,026	0	+169,026	open	—	05-28 16:47
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?	55	$149.9K	150,000	0	+150,000	open	—	04-22 13:32
will iran strike israel on march 6	22	$143.6K	143,743	0	+143,743	open	—	03-11 21:02
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	26	$120.9K	121,916	0	+121,916	open	—	05-26 08:09
Trump out as President by April 30?	44	$108.1K	53,734	54,734	-1,000	open	—	04-30 20:25
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	31	$102.1K	102,418	0	+102,418	open	—	03-31 15:39
will trump say waste this week march 1	15	$100.9K	101,000	0	+101,000	open	—	03-05 11:24
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	317	$99.7K	100,000	0	+100,000	open	—	05-27 17:05
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	12	$99.1K	99,551	0	+99,551	open	—	03-18 03:14
netanyahu out by march 31 854	50	$89.9K	92,000	0	+92,000	open	—	03-28 05:25
trump out as president by march 31	14	$74.6K	75,000	0	+75,000	open	—	03-27 19:55
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	2	$71.4K	50,000	21,649	+28,351	open	—	04-30 20:24
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	28	$68.9K	69,372	0	+69,372	open	—	05-18 19:02
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	2	$62.3K	62,340	0	+62,340	Yes	+$65	05-04 17:29
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	29	$61.4K	61,693	0	+61,693	open	—	05-31 15:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 13:08:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	39,245	100¢	$39,049	0x30982a…
06-02 22:21:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,243	99¢	$3,210	0x9ffcf1…
06-02 22:21:33	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x0154e3…
06-02 22:21:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	99¢	$4,950	0x5d4c86…
06-02 22:21:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xe895d0…
06-02 22:21:17	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0xae2fb3…
06-02 22:21:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$990	0x570f1a…
06-02 22:21:03	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$990	0x13c034…
06-02 22:20:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,042	99¢	$1,032	0x3a4c2d…
06-02 22:20:40	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	99¢	$4,950	0x56c067…
06-02 22:20:37	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x5df2ea…
06-02 22:20:32	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17,915	99¢	$17,736	0x5e7fc8…
06-02 10:13:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,105	99¢	$3,074	0xfb1226…
06-02 10:13:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xb481b8…
06-02 10:13:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5,000	99¢	$4,950	0x285a83…
06-02 10:13:35	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xe8d830…
06-02 10:12:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4,622	99¢	$4,576	0x132334…
06-02 10:12:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25,960	99¢	$25,701	0xd939d3…
06-02 10:12:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,368	99¢	$1,355	0xba589e…
06-02 10:12:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	170	99¢	$168	0x2466e6…
06-02 10:11:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	401	99¢	$397	0x8398de…
06-02 05:35:39	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	29,879	100¢	$29,730	0x2792b3…
06-02 04:46:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	130,586	100¢	$130,194	0xcc419c…
06-02 04:45:48	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,590	100¢	$1,585	0xe4ae74…
06-02 04:45:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	25	100¢	$25	0xdfc15c…
06-02 04:45:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0xa8e0b6…
06-02 04:45:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x74f149…
06-02 04:45:20	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	96,705	100¢	$96,415	0xb8542b…
06-01 21:29:14	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	602	99¢	$598	0xcb9bc2…
06-01 21:29:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	667	99¢	$663	0xfe2346…
06-01 21:29:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa1ec4f…
06-01 21:29:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11,152	99¢	$11,085	0x5c8269…
06-01 21:29:09	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	507	99¢	$504	0x3680e8…
06-01 21:29:07	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,853	99¢	$1,842	0x38ed78…
06-01 21:29:05	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x459097…
06-01 21:29:04	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x3dedbd…
06-01 21:29:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0xf81a5e…
06-01 21:29:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	700	99¢	$696	0xa4ee16…
06-01 21:29:00	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	627	99¢	$623	0x7a5223…
06-01 21:28:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0xfe28a9…
06-01 21:28:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	208	99¢	$207	0xbc3082…
06-01 21:28:57	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,667	99¢	$1,657	0xa672d6…
06-01 21:28:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	510	99¢	$507	0xe3bc6c…
06-01 21:28:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	159	99¢	$158	0x98571e…
06-01 21:28:55	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	54	99¢	$54	0x66fb1f…
06-01 21:28:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	107	99¢	$107	0x695281…
06-01 21:28:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	800	99¢	$795	0x185e68…
06-01 21:28:53	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0x005919…
06-01 21:27:01	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20,000	100¢	$19,900	0x517fb1…
06-01 21:26:59	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,786	100¢	$3,767	0x65158e…
06-01 21:26:54	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	440	100¢	$438	0xe8c9b0…
06-01 21:26:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,115	100¢	$1,109	0x637d29…
06-01 21:17:46	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	40,000	100¢	$39,880	0xe588c0…
05-31 15:00:36	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	17,088	100¢	$17,037	0xcc672c…
05-29 11:38:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	4,033	99¢	$4,000	0xa608af…
05-29 03:36:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,975	0x496aac…
05-28 18:31:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,474	99¢	$1,464	0xd0d2bd…
05-28 18:29:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,429	99¢	$1,419	0x17b494…
05-28 18:29:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	222	99¢	$220	0x996b30…
05-28 18:23:59	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	780	99¢	$775	0xf1a486…
05-28 18:23:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	250	99¢	$248	0x2865d9…
05-28 18:23:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,500	99¢	$1,490	0xd29072…
05-28 18:18:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	222	99¢	$220	0x8c9653…
05-28 18:17:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	96	99¢	$95	0x016480…
05-28 18:16:26	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x9d64d2…
05-28 18:16:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	357	99¢	$355	0x6d7ded…
05-28 18:08:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	143	99¢	$142	0x3946b3…
05-28 17:34:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xec2ab0…
05-28 17:25:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	571	99¢	$567	0x829b47…
05-28 17:24:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	314	99¢	$312	0x07cc54…
05-28 17:17:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	564	99¢	$560	0x6be9e3…
05-28 17:17:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	29	99¢	$28	0x845cc4…
05-28 17:11:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	102	99¢	$101	0xe72cfe…
05-28 17:10:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,802	99¢	$1,790	0x9ab783…
05-28 16:47:02	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	24,206	100¢	$24,157	0x07bc54…
05-28 16:42:01	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xfc47fe…
05-28 16:40:01	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	10,000	100¢	$9,980	0x92f4ab…
05-28 16:37:32	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x5cc4d0…
05-28 16:36:06	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	578	100¢	$577	0x736372…
05-28 16:28:47	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,000	100¢	$998	0xde34c5…
05-28 16:27:58	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xd59732…
05-28 16:26:46	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	2,000	100¢	$1,996	0x7e4324…
05-28 16:25:34	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,990	0x00b938…
05-28 16:22:55	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,495	0x6652c9…
05-28 16:18:57	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa3b098…
05-28 16:18:47	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xf53ca0…
05-28 16:18:27	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0xe54dcb…
05-28 16:17:24	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	2,500	100¢	$2,495	0xd59906…
05-28 16:09:48	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	18,685	100¢	$18,647	0x4427b2…
05-28 16:08:55	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	24,300	100¢	$24,251	0x13f18e…
05-28 16:06:00	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	500	100¢	$499	0x1bbb8f…
05-28 16:05:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	14,205	100¢	$14,134	0xcc77eb…
05-28 15:58:37	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0e52f6…
05-28 15:56:45	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,990	0x9757ad…
05-28 15:52:26	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	354	100¢	$353	0xfdfd75…
05-28 15:34:49	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	12,250	100¢	$12,226	0x548885…
05-28 15:25:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1,367	100¢	$1,362	0x620e96…
05-28 14:51:55	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	2,000	99¢	$1,982	0x2d3a0d…
05-28 06:43:33	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	1,378	100¢	$1,374	0x5dd56c…
05-28 06:43:14	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x1a6719…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	55	$266.1K	918	06-01 22:55
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	54	$724.0K	10,137	05-31 10:07
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	53	$27.9M	26,797	06-03 23:05
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	52	$212.5K	17,851	05-04 11:13
Flashy-Label 0xed10…d2e5	51	$63.4M	10,319	06-03 21:41
Stark-Lieutenant 0x6de9…a8e5	50	$9.92K	733	06-02 12:15
Speedy-Bartender 0x4bf4…7021	49	$105.1K	2,157	06-03 15:46
Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04	48	$14.3M	2,895	06-03 22:55