Reliable-Airman 0xb04a46…6bacfc
whale cold 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$5.99K
Unrealized P&L
-$123
Hit rate
51.9%
Resolved
906
Trades
12,716
lifetime
Volume
$442.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$6.60K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 10-27 03:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 210 days
Categories
Politics
76% 44% -$6,662
Other
22% 43% +$348
Crypto
1% 20% -$35
Sports
1% 33% +$355
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 119 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No -1,190 -$1,071 96¢ $-1141 -$70 05-23 22:17
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -815 -$802 98¢ $-798 +$4 10-20 04:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -717 -$540 88¢ $-635 -$95 08-19 16:04
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -588 -$573 98¢ $-578 -$6 05-06 23:18
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -465 -$425 94¢ $-436 -$11 05-18 13:25
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -373 -$329 94¢ $-353 -$24 10-22 19:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -300 -$255 96¢ $-288 -$33 05-15 15:43
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -304 -$287 94¢ $-284 +$3 09-02 19:04
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -300 -$294 86¢ $-257 +$36 09-20 04:06
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -225 -$203 99¢ $-222 -$19 05-03 18:29
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? No +166 $153 95¢ $157 +$4 10-10 21:31
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +177 $156 82¢ $144 -$11 10-24 16:49
Will Russia capture Dobropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes +461 $88 26¢ $122 +$34 10-24 02:11
will russia announce a new forced mobilization by october 31 2026 No +100 $92 100¢ $100 +$8 09-29 12:04
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No +98 $96 97¢ $95 -$1 10-24 11:41
us announces end of iranian blockade by december 31 2026 20260727171803489 375 949 645 919 269 157 255 857 Yes +258 $109 37¢ $94 -$15 10-26 21:04
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes -587 -$132 16¢ $-94 +$38 10-20 22:13
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +84 $78 96¢ $81 +$3 10-22 17:33
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? Yes +315 $71 24¢ $77 +$7 10-24 20:03
Will Trump's approval rating hit 35% in 2026? Yes +212 $68 32¢ $67 -$1 10-21 18:11
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +69 $62 96¢ $66 +$4 10-19 20:42
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No +67 $64 92¢ $61 -$3 10-25 06:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by October 31? No +60 $57 100¢ $60 +$3 09-15 16:43
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +60 $59 99¢ $59 +$0 10-21 19:36
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +600 $54 10¢ $59 +$5 10-26 03:49
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +60 $57 92¢ $55 -$2 10-24 19:46
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? No +60 $49 92¢ $55 +$7 09-28 20:40
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31? No +55 $47 100¢ $55 +$8 09-24 10:28
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? No +60 $52 90¢ $54 +$2 10-26 14:26
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +88 $52 60¢ $53 +$1 10-26 16:02