Reliable-Airman 0xb04a46…6bacfc
whale cold 3L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$4.68K
Unrealized P&L
+$38
Hit rate
20.7%
Resolved
20
Trades
9,876
lifetime
Volume
$327.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$3.72K
21 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 07-21 10:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
81% 27% $-4,703
Other
18% 67% +$28
Crypto
1% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 111 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -882 $-668 86¢ $-763 $-94 06-16 10:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +810 $619 72¢ $587 $-32 07-21 06:25
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +649 $336 54¢ $347 +$11 07-13 05:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +520 $121 56¢ $294 +$173 07-15 00:06
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? No +300 $258 86¢ $260 +$2 07-21 05:01
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? No +532 $234 42¢ $223 $-11 07-20 20:55
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +240 $210 92¢ $220 +$10 06-29 12:46
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -240 $-220 90¢ $-217 +$2 07-04 12:01
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No -206 $-192 95¢ $-196 $-4 06-20 14:15
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +166 $141 86¢ $142 +$0 07-17 14:18
Will Trump resign before 2027? No -134 $-127 96¢ $-128 $-1 06-04 21:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -133 $-108 84¢ $-112 $-4 07-19 09:59
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -93 $-90 90¢ $-83 +$7 07-20 15:22
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes -377 $-60 14¢ $-51 +$9 06-03 04:45
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? No -60 $-37 68¢ $-41 $-3 06-14 16:47
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -24 $-21 89¢ $-21 $-0 06-12 21:02
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? No +12 $12 96¢ $11 $-0 07-14 13:27
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31? No -10 $-10 99¢ $-10 $-1 06-04 03:39
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +8 $5 82¢ $7 +$1 06-16 12:26
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-5 92¢ $-5 $-0 06-28 01:36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes +468 $33 1¢ $5 $-27 07-07 14:12