Reliable-Airman 0xb04a46…6bacfc
whale cold 3L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$4.68K
Unrealized P&L
+$46
Hit rate
20.7%
Resolved
20
Trades
8,973
lifetime
Volume
$290.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$1.99K
20 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 06-08 05:59
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
83% 27% $-4,703
Other
16% 67% +$28
Crypto
1% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
77 active days in 12wk • peak 418 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +1,119 $259 32¢ $364 +$104 06-07 19:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +888 $261 24¢ $217 $-44 06-05 16:08
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -193 $-188 98¢ $-190 $-2 06-01 06:16
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30? No +180 $173 99¢ $178 +$5 06-02 09:03
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +180 $158 90¢ $161 +$3 05-29 10:56
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? No +155 $151 99¢ $153 +$2 06-01 13:50
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? No -136 $-132 98¢ $-133 $-1 05-28 03:05
Will Trump resign before 2027? No -134 $-127 96¢ $-129 $-2 06-04 21:48
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No -134 $-81 95¢ $-127 $-46 05-31 16:53
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +120 $62 62¢ $75 +$13 05-29 15:02
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +77 $72 93¢ $71 $-0 06-07 19:43
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes -377 $-60 16¢ $-58 +$2 06-03 04:45
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +60 $46 78¢ $47 +$2 05-29 05:56
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +58 $30 76¢ $45 +$14 06-03 22:01
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No -13 $-12 97¢ $-13 $-1 06-02 10:40
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31? No -10 $-10 95¢ $-10 $-0 06-04 03:39
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +7 $5 88¢ $6 +$0 05-28 18:27
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No +6 $6 88¢ $5 $-0 05-28 06:01
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? Yes +23 $6 10¢ $2 $-3 06-03 16:49
Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30? Yes -20 $-0 1¢ $-0 +$0 06-08 05:59