Reliable-Airman 0xb04a46…6bacfc
whale cold 3L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$4.68K
Unrealized P&L
-$51
Hit rate
20.7%
Resolved
20
Trades
9,289
lifetime
Volume
$304.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$33
Open exposure
$3.37K
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 06-29 21:23
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 12 days
Categories
Politics
83% 27% $-4,703
Other
17% 67% +$28
Crypto
1% — —
Sports
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 209 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -882 $-668 80¢ $-710 $-41 06-16 10:15
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +677 $632 95¢ $643 +$11 06-17 04:54
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +240 $210 86¢ $208 $-2 06-29 12:46
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No -206 $-192 94¢ $-194 $-1 06-20 14:15
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -193 $-188 100¢ $-193 $-5 06-01 06:16
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30? No +180 $173 100¢ $180 +$7 06-02 09:03
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No +888 $261 20¢ $173 $-88 06-05 16:08
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +180 $158 92¢ $165 +$6 05-29 10:56
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? No +155 $151 100¢ $154 +$3 06-01 13:50
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? No -136 $-132 100¢ $-136 $-4 05-28 03:05
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No -134 $-81 100¢ $-134 $-53 05-31 16:53
Will Trump resign before 2027? No -134 $-127 96¢ $-129 $-2 06-04 21:48
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +129 $107 88¢ $114 +$7 06-21 13:59
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +58 $30 100¢ $58 +$28 06-03 22:01
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? No -60 $-37 70¢ $-42 $-4 06-14 16:47
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes -377 $-60 11¢ $-41 +$19 06-03 04:45
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No +46 $36 84¢ $39 +$3 06-22 06:12
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes -24 $-21 84¢ $-20 +$1 06-12 21:02
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by June 30? No -13 $-12 99¢ $-13 $-1 06-02 10:40
Will Kylian Mbappe leave Real Madrid before August 31? No -10 $-10 95¢ $-10 $-0 06-04 03:39
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +8 $5 68¢ $6 +$0 06-16 12:26
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No -6 $-5 90¢ $-5 $-0 06-28 01:36
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +281 $60 2¢ $5 $-55 06-29 12:27
Will Donald Trump enter Iran by June 30? Yes -295 $-3 0¢ $-1 +$2 06-25 20:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -29 $-7 1¢ $-0 +$7 06-14 21:22
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes -69 $-45 0¢ $-0 +$45 06-18 19:27
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? Yes +46 $-70 0¢ $0 +$70 06-29 21:23
Will Russia capture all of Rodynske again by June 30? Yes +23 $6 0¢ $0 $-6 06-03 16:49