Reliable-Airman 0xb04a46…6bacfc Create alert
whale 3W streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (7d)
-$101
Unrealized P&L
-$409
Hit rate
6.1%
Resolved (7d)
9
Trades (7d)
0
12,786 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$0
$444.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$35
Open exposure
$6.94K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 11-02 18:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 222 days
Categories
Politics
76% 43% -$7,415
Other
22% 42% +$138
Crypto
1% 20% -$35
Sports
1% 33% +$355
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$8
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
72 active days in 12wk • peak 119 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before 2027? No -1,190 -$1,071 98¢ $-1165 -$93 05-23 22:17
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No -815 -$802 99¢ $-803 -$2 10-20 04:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? No -717 -$540 92¢ $-656 -$116 08-19 16:04
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -588 -$573 99¢ $-580 -$7 05-06 23:18
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -465 -$425 95¢ $-440 -$15 05-18 13:25
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -373 -$329 97¢ $-361 -$32 10-22 19:37
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -304 -$287 97¢ $-295 -$9 09-02 19:04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -300 -$255 98¢ $-294 -$39 05-15 15:43
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -300 -$294 94¢ $-281 +$13 09-20 04:06
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -225 -$203 99¢ $-223 -$21 05-03 18:29
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? Yes +2,704 $433 8¢ $203 -$231 11-01 09:46
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +177 $156 92¢ $164 +$8 10-24 16:49
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? No +166 $153 97¢ $161 +$8 10-10 21:31
Will Trump resign before 2027? No -134 -$127 98¢ $-132 -$4 06-04 21:48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027? No +240 $115 54¢ $128 +$13 10-24 16:28
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027? No +131 $106 80¢ $105 -$1 11-02 15:04
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No +98 $96 98¢ $97 +$1 10-24 11:41
Saudi Arabia military action against Iran by December 31, 2026? No +97 $81 90¢ $87 +$6 10-28 01:04
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? Yes +120 $62 70¢ $83 +$21 10-29 01:43
Saudi-Houthi ceasefire agreement announced by December 31? Yes +315 $71 24¢ $77 +$7 10-24 20:03
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +69 $62 98¢ $67 +$5 10-19 20:42
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2026? No +67 $64 97¢ $65 +$1 10-25 06:31
Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026? No +70 $47 91¢ $64 +$17 10-29 22:09
Next White House Press Secretary announced by December 31, 2026? Yes +88 $52 73¢ $64 +$12 10-26 16:02
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? No +60 $52 99¢ $59 +$7 10-26 14:26
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +60 $57 97¢ $58 +$1 10-24 19:46
Will Russia announce a new forced mobilization by December 31, 2026? No +60 $49 97¢ $58 +$9 09-28 20:40
NATO troops fighting in Yemen before 2027? No +60 $58 96¢ $57 $0 10-08 05:13
US imports Russian diesel by November 30? No +60 $43 93¢ $56 +$13 10-19 20:55
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? No +60 $33 90¢ $54 +$21 10-19 20:55