Reliable-Airman 0xb04a46…6bacfc
new
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$71
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
12
lifetime
Volume
$903
lifetime
Avg / trade
$75
Open exposure
$955
7 positions
First seen
2026-05-05
last 05-06 10:46
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
63% — —
Politics
37% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30? No -452 $-362 98¢ $-444 $-82 05-05 16:44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May? No +177 $162 95¢ $168 +$5 05-06 05:59
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? No +185 $128 70¢ $129 +$1 05-06 02:39
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No +95 $92 96¢ $91 $-0 05-06 10:46
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +131 $81 66¢ $86 +$5 05-05 14:47
Will Marco Rubio have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by May 31? No -22 $-21 95¢ $-21 $-0 05-05 15:34
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan? Yes +28 $16 58¢ $16 +$0 05-06 01:59