Realized P&L
-$10
Unrealized P&L
+$11
Hit rate
23.8%
Resolved
4
Trades
438
lifetime
Volume
$8.08K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$397
5 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 07-01 08:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Other
53% 50% $-5
Politics
47% 50% $-5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
46 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +204 $196 100¢ $203 +$7 07-01 06:12
Ukraine officially agrees to a US backed ceasefire framework by June 30? No +133 $128 99¢ $132 +$4 06-24 18:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +71 $50 70¢ $50 $-0 07-01 08:21
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No -11 $-11 100¢ $-11 $-0 06-23 14:00
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +10 $1 16¢ $2 +$1 06-23 20:41