Realized P&L
+$38
Unrealized P&L
+$110
Hit rate
92.7%
Resolved
5
Trades
1,435
lifetime
Volume
$65.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$3.56K
9 positions
First seen
2026-01-23
last 06-29 10:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
54% 80% +$38
Other
44%
Sports
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 15 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +1,853 $1,783 100¢ $1.9K +$68 06-29 03:59
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -431 $-428 100¢ $-430 $-3 06-13 16:38
Trump out as President before 2027? No +437 $393 92¢ $400 +$7 06-01 14:58
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +344 $320 100¢ $342 +$22 06-10 01:58
Mojtaba Khamenei leaves Iran by June 30, 2026? No +215 $211 100¢ $214 +$3 06-09 06:04
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +134 $122 100¢ $133 +$12 06-01 15:00
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +107 $78 74¢ $79 +$0 06-03 02:50
Will the U.S. test a nuclear weapon by June 30 2026? No +62 $61 100¢ $62 +$1 06-09 06:04
U.S. x Russia Nuclear deal by June 30? No +46 $45 100¢ $46 +$1 06-04 04:04