Realized P&L
+$14.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$190
Hit rate
95.7%
Resolved
158
Trades
1,908
lifetime
Volume
$171.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$90
Open exposure
$26.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-19
last 10-25 08:18
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 46 days
Categories
Other
62% 81% +$9,190
Politics
37% 72% +$5,413
Sports
0% 17% +$4
Crypto
0% 22% +$5
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +4,200 $3,420 86¢ $3.6K +$179 10-07 13:16
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +1,700 $1,678 98¢ $1.7K -$12 10-07 13:14
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $1,208 100¢ $1.2K +$1 05-22 08:13
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $1,206 100¢ $1.2K +$2 05-22 08:13
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $1,205 100¢ $1.2K +$3 05-22 08:13
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $1,206 100¢ $1.2K +$2 05-22 08:13
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $1,205 100¢ $1.2K +$3 05-22 08:13
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $1,205 100¢ $1.2K +$3 05-22 08:13
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $1,206 100¢ $1.2K +$2 05-22 08:13
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $1,205 100¢ $1.2K +$3 05-22 08:13
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No — +1,210 $1,205 100¢ $1.2K +$3 05-22 08:13
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $1,205 100¢ $1.2K +$3 05-22 08:13
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $1,196 100¢ $1.2K +$13 05-22 08:13
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $1,153 98¢ $1.2K +$38 05-22 08:13
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $750 92¢ $1.1K +$369 05-22 08:12
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $760 74¢ $889 +$130 05-22 08:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +3,360 $715 24¢ $790 +$74 10-25 07:03
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,000 $790 77¢ $766 -$24 09-08 11:37
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +4,200 $837 16¢ $693 -$144 10-07 13:15
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,200 $740 56¢ $667 -$74 09-24 10:22
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $1,060 38¢ $457 -$603 05-22 08:13
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,000 $230 29¢ $285 +$55 09-08 11:37
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,329 $32 16¢ $219 +$187 10-24 22:32
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +361 $210 58¢ $211 +$2 10-22 17:25
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -1,000 -$230 18¢ $-185 +$45 09-24 10:23
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat? Yes +479 $162 38¢ $182 +$20 10-22 17:22
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +200 $178 90¢ $179 +$1 09-23 16:14
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -1,200 -$86 14¢ $-170 -$84 09-24 10:23
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +200 $154 82¢ $163 +$9 09-23 16:14
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? No +350 $132 34¢ $117 -$15 10-17 17:15