Realized P&L
+$14.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$146
Hit rate
95.0%
Resolved
184
Trades
2,053
lifetime
Volume
$180.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$88
Open exposure
$31.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-19
last 11-06 10:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 53 days
Categories
Other
60% 78% +$9,176
Politics
39% 64% +$5,035
Sports
0% 17% +$4
Crypto
0% 18% -$14
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +4,200 $3,420 89¢ $3.7K +$312 10-07 13:16
Will Trump's approval rating hit 30% in 2026? No +2,172 $1,997 95¢ $2.1K +$68 11-06 10:25
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +1,700 $1,678 99¢ $1.7K +$4 10-07 13:14
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $1,206 100¢ $1.2K +$2 05-22 08:13
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $1,196 100¢ $1.2K +$13 05-22 08:13
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $1,205 100¢ $1.2K +$3 05-22 08:13
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $1,205 100¢ $1.2K +$3 05-22 08:13
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $1,206 100¢ $1.2K +$2 05-22 08:13
Will Nir Barkat be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $1,208 100¢ $1.2K +$1 05-22 08:13
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $1,206 100¢ $1.2K +$2 05-22 08:13
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $1,205 100¢ $1.2K +$3 05-22 08:13
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $1,205 100¢ $1.2K +$3 05-22 08:13
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $1,205 100¢ $1.2K +$3 05-22 08:13
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $1,205 100¢ $1.2K +$3 05-22 08:13
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No — +1,210 $1,205 100¢ $1.2K +$3 05-22 08:13
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $1,206 100¢ $1.2K +$1 05-22 08:13
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $750 98¢ $1.2K +$437 05-22 08:12
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $1,153 91¢ $1.1K -$46 05-22 08:13
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $760 79¢ $959 +$199 05-22 08:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2027? Yes +2,014 $836 42¢ $836 +$0 11-05 21:56
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,200 $740 55¢ $658 -$82 09-24 10:22
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,000 $790 54¢ $536 -$254 09-08 11:37
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,000 $230 53¢ $530 +$300 09-08 11:37
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +4,200 $837 12¢ $525 -$312 10-07 13:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2027? Yes +2,171 $522 22¢ $467 -$56 10-29 19:24
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,368 $249 14¢ $455 +$205 11-02 17:20
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $1,060 37¢ $450 -$610 05-22 08:13
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Michigan be 5,600,000 or more? No +234 $221 97¢ $228 +$6 11-05 21:20
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +200 $154 90¢ $179 +$25 09-23 16:14
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -1,200 -$86 15¢ $-178 -$92 09-24 10:23