Realized P&L (7d)
-$382
Unrealized P&L
+$425
Hit rate
58.3%
Resolved (7d)
16
Trades (7d)
52
1,953 lifetime
Volume (7d)
$2.65K
$173.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$89
Open exposure
$28.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-19
last 10-31 18:26
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 50 days
Categories
Other
61% 78% +$9,141
Politics
38% 68% +$5,433
Sports
0% 17% +$4
Crypto
0% 18% -$14
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +4,200 $3,420 90¢ $3.8K +$343 10-07 13:16
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +1,700 $1,678 98¢ $1.7K -$17 10-07 13:14
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $1,205 100¢ $1.2K +$3 05-22 08:13
Will Yair Golan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $1,206 100¢ $1.2K +$2 05-22 08:13
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $1,205 100¢ $1.2K +$3 05-22 08:13
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $1,205 100¢ $1.2K +$3 05-22 08:13
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $1,205 100¢ $1.2K +$3 05-22 08:13
Will Yoaz Hendel be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $1,206 100¢ $1.2K +$2 05-22 08:13
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $1,206 100¢ $1.2K +$1 05-22 08:13
Will Amir Ohana be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $1,205 100¢ $1.2K +$2 05-22 08:13
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $1,196 100¢ $1.2K +$11 05-22 08:13
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $1,206 99¢ $1.2K -$4 05-22 08:13
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $1,205 99¢ $1.2K -$10 05-22 08:13
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $1,153 95¢ $1.2K +$2 05-22 08:13
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $750 94¢ $1.1K +$393 05-22 08:12
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by January 31, 2027? Yes +4,413 $947 24¢ $1.0K +$90 10-30 04:01
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +5,848 $621 15¢ $848 +$227 10-31 21:04
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $1,060 67¢ $805 -$254 05-22 08:13
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,000 $790 76¢ $759 -$31 09-08 11:37
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? No +1,200 $740 59¢ $710 -$31 09-24 10:22
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +1,210 $760 57¢ $696 -$64 05-22 08:12
Will Alberto Núñez Feijóo be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +4,200 $837 16¢ $651 -$186 10-07 13:15
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +1,000 $230 29¢ $290 +$60 09-08 11:37
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -1,200 -$86 18¢ $-219 -$133 09-24 10:23
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +361 $210 52¢ $186 -$23 10-22 17:25
Will the Democratic Party win the MO-02 House seat? Yes +479 $162 38¢ $182 +$20 10-22 17:22
Will an Independent win the Montana Senate race in 2026? No +200 $180 89¢ $178 -$3 10-31 21:16
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? No +200 $178 88¢ $177 -$1 09-23 16:14
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? No +200 $178 88¢ $177 -$1 10-31 21:29
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? No +200 $154 86¢ $173 +$19 09-23 16:14