Will Trump's approval rating hit 49% in 2026?
open
Total volume
$248
Trades
35
Unique wallets
11
Liquidity
$814
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-06-25
last 08-06 02:59
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | $22 | $22 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $2 | $123 | $120 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 3 | $4 | — | +$4 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $93 | $93 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $0 | $30 | $30 |
| Below median | 2 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $22 | $22 |
| unranked | 3 | $2 | — | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | +42 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-25 04:53 |
| Serpentine-Illusion 0xc412…592d | No | +32 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-22 18:53 |
| Enchanting-Cable 0x84a2…c7cf | Yes | +32 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 07-22 18:53 |
| Glossy-Cashier 0x7bff…7cd6 | No | +23 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 07-13 16:14 |
| (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | +15 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-13 16:14 |
| Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 3 | 07-22 18:53 |
| (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | +2 | $1 | $185 | 12 | 08-06 02:59 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-06 02:59:03 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | SELL | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x274525… |
| 08-06 02:59:03 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x274525… |
| 08-06 02:58:48 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xd59f19… |
| 08-06 02:58:48 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | SELL | 12 | 97¢ | $12 | 0xd59f19… |
| 08-06 02:58:41 | Elastic-Banquette 0x386f…db83 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf78d78… |
| 08-06 02:58:41 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | SELL | 6 | 97¢ | $5 | 0xf78d78… |
| 08-06 02:54:54 | Elastic-Banquette 0x386f…db83 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x6d23aa… |
| 08-06 02:54:54 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | SELL | 7 | 97¢ | $7 | 0x6d23aa… |
| 08-05 09:28:54 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xf269bb… |
| 08-05 09:28:54 | Elastic-Banquette 0x386f…db83 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf269bb… |
| 08-05 09:28:54 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 23 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xf269bb… |
| 07-22 18:53:28 | Enchanting-Cable 0x84a2…c7cf | Yes | BUY | 24 | 7¢ | $2 | 0x3d6143… |
| 07-22 18:53:28 | Serpentine-Illusion 0xc412…592d | No | BUY | 32 | 93¢ | $30 | 0x3d6143… |
| 07-22 18:53:28 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x3d6143… |
| 07-13 16:14:19 | Enchanting-Cable 0x84a2…c7cf | Yes | BUY | 8 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x2a0876… |
| 07-13 16:14:19 | Glossy-Cashier 0x7bff…7cd6 | No | BUY | 23 | 93¢ | $22 | 0x2a0876… |
| 07-13 16:14:19 | (anonymous) 0x3a43…67dc | Yes | BUY | 15 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x2a0876… |
| 07-13 09:46:58 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 14¢ | $0 | 0x24ed1b… |
| 07-13 09:46:58 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | SELL | 2 | 86¢ | $2 | 0x24ed1b… |
| 07-01 19:21:44 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | SELL | 9 | 96¢ | $8 | 0xa05f2d… |
| 07-01 19:21:44 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xa05f2d… |
| 07-01 19:20:55 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x84cfab… |
| 07-01 19:20:55 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | SELL | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0x84cfab… |
| 07-01 16:54:23 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xe7a684… |
| 07-01 16:54:23 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | BUY | 55 | 95¢ | $53 | 0xe7a684… |
| 07-01 16:54:23 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xe7a684… |
| 07-01 16:54:23 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 5¢ | $1 | 0xe7a684… |
| 07-01 12:42:29 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | SELL | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0x0b1fbc… |
| 07-01 12:42:29 | Elastic-Banquette 0x386f…db83 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x0b1fbc… |
| 07-01 12:42:22 | Elastic-Banquette 0x386f…db83 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xea39a8… |
| 07-01 12:42:22 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | SELL | 8 | 97¢ | $8 | 0xea39a8… |
| 07-01 12:42:04 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | SELL | 17 | 97¢ | $16 | 0xf8c31d… |
| 07-01 12:42:04 | Elastic-Banquette 0x386f…db83 | Yes | SELL | 17 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xf8c31d… |
| 06-25 04:53:56 | (anonymous) 0xbada…d874 | No | BUY | 42 | 96¢ | $40 | 0x3b7701… |
| 06-25 04:53:56 | Squiggly-Waiting 0x23ed…aebc | Yes | BUY | 42 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x3b7701… |