Will Trump's approval rating hit 20% in 2026?
open
Total volume
$49
Trades
45
Unique wallets
16
Liquidity
$5,172
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 08-15 03:17
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
NO holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $0 | $7 | $6 |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 5 | $2 | — | +$2 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| Median | 3 | $0 | $7 | $6 |
| Below median | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | — | — | +— |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| unranked | 4 | $2 | — | +$2 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +43 | $0 | $3 | 9 | 08-05 17:51 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +21 | $-0 | $2 | 5 | 08-15 03:17 |
| Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 08-12 18:39 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $1 | 2 | 08-05 10:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 08-05 10:48 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-15 03:17:51 | (anonymous) 0x584d…32b4 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6eb5ee… |
| 08-15 03:17:51 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6eb5ee… |
| 08-12 18:39:49 | Youthful-Calico 0x285b…f3d3 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbad96b… |
| 08-12 18:39:49 | Quick-Witted-Cook 0x7be4…8477 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xbad96b… |
| 08-07 20:54:51 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x195a6e… |
| 08-07 20:54:51 | (anonymous) 0xd98e…fbd9 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x195a6e… |
| 08-07 15:33:07 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd5bb26… |
| 08-07 15:33:07 | Youthful-Calico 0x285b…f3d3 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xd5bb26… |
| 08-05 17:51:11 | (anonymous) 0xd98e…fbd9 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x295bfd… |
| 08-05 17:51:11 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 3 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x295bfd… |
| 08-05 17:08:26 | (anonymous) 0xd98e…fbd9 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xa69443… |
| 08-05 17:08:26 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xa69443… |
| 08-05 16:54:02 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb43692… |
| 08-05 16:54:02 | (anonymous) 0xd98e…fbd9 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0xb43692… |
| 08-05 10:48:15 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2b855c… |
| 08-05 10:48:15 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 31 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x2b855c… |
| 08-05 10:48:15 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2b855c… |
| 08-05 10:48:15 | (anonymous) 0xd98e…fbd9 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x2b855c… |
| 08-05 10:48:15 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x2b855c… |
| 08-05 08:47:08 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x6b68bd… |
| 08-05 08:47:08 | Capital-Eviction 0xf769…0114 | No | SELL | 10 | 99¢ | $10 | 0x6b68bd… |
| 08-05 08:47:08 | (anonymous) 0x861e…36f6 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6b68bd… |
| 08-05 08:47:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 30 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6b68bd… |
| 07-13 18:40:55 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 18 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x93a89c… |
| 07-13 18:40:55 | (anonymous) 0x1bdf…1b74 | No | SELL | 18 | 97¢ | $18 | 0x93a89c… |
| 07-07 14:05:08 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6abb20… |
| 07-07 14:05:08 | Youthful-Calico 0x285b…f3d3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6abb20… |
| 06-25 02:25:28 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x69b79c… |
| 06-25 02:25:28 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x69b79c… |
| 06-25 02:25:23 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x657a48… |
| 06-25 02:25:23 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x657a48… |
| 06-21 16:40:10 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3f40b4… |
| 06-21 16:40:10 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x3f40b4… |
| 06-21 16:40:10 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3f40b4… |
| 06-07 08:59:09 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x69d5db… |
| 06-07 08:59:09 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x69d5db… |
| 06-07 08:56:37 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xed2e04… |
| 06-07 08:56:37 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xed2e04… |
| 06-07 02:25:43 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xbb7417… |
| 06-07 02:25:43 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xbb7417… |
| 06-06 15:28:06 | (anonymous) 0x285b…f3d3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7cfbee… |
| 06-06 15:28:06 | (anonymous) 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x7cfbee… |
| 05-29 20:08:48 | Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xe3d48a… |
| 05-29 20:08:48 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xe3d48a… |
| 05-29 20:08:48 | Sentimental-Chafe 0x8370…b108 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xe3d48a… |