Will Trump's approval rating hit 20% in 2026?
open
Total volume
$9
Trades
18
Unique wallets
8
Liquidity
$5,172
Latest YES mid
3¢
Latest NO mid
97¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-25 02:25
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
NO holders
No active NO holders.
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 2 | $0 | $2 | $2 |
| 🐟 Fish | 4 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 2 | $0 | $2 | $2 |
| Below median | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| unranked | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +18 | $0 | $2 | 6 | 06-25 02:25 |
| (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | +12 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-21 16:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x285b…f3d3 | Yes | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-06 15:28 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-25 02:25:28 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x69b79c… |
| 06-25 02:25:28 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | SELL | 7 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x69b79c… |
| 06-25 02:25:23 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x657a48… |
| 06-25 02:25:23 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 11 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x657a48… |
| 06-21 16:40:10 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x3f40b4… |
| 06-21 16:40:10 | Jumbo-Discharge 0x9070…e32c | Yes | BUY | 7 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3f40b4… |
| 06-21 16:40:10 | (anonymous) 0x4bac…5e79 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x3f40b4… |
| 06-07 08:59:09 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0x69d5db… |
| 06-07 08:59:09 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x69d5db… |
| 06-07 08:56:37 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xed2e04… |
| 06-07 08:56:37 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xed2e04… |
| 06-07 02:25:43 | Mediocre-Reform 0x156b…0f5b | No | SELL | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xbb7417… |
| 06-07 02:25:43 | Juvenile-Hypothesis 0x3bef…f04e | Yes | SELL | 1 | 7¢ | $0 | 0xbb7417… |
| 06-06 15:28:06 | (anonymous) 0x285b…f3d3 | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x7cfbee… |
| 06-06 15:28:06 | (anonymous) 0x156b…0f5b | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x7cfbee… |
| 05-29 20:08:48 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xe3d48a… |
| 05-29 20:08:48 | Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0xe3d48a… |
| 05-29 20:08:48 | Sentimental-Chafe 0x8370…b108 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xe3d48a… |