Greedy-Shoelace — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.9%

Resolved

Trades

521

lifetime

Volume

$426

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-02

last 08-12 04:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 14 days

Categories

Sports

72% 66% +$1

Politics

13% 100% +$0

Other

12% 100% +$0

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	8	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	05-23 08:27
us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	06-17 21:53
Trump out as President by April 30?	13	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-27 14:40
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-24 14:05
Will the Dallas Stars win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$2	25	0	+25	open	—	04-10 09:09
nhl min nsh 2026 04 11	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-11 20:15
nhl car phi 2026 04 13	2	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	04-14 00:13
nhl wpg utah 2026 04 14	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-14 14:37
Golden Knights vs. Ducks	2	$2	3	0	+3	Golden Knights	+$1	05-09 01:54
nhl stl utah 2026 04 16	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-16 23:07
Bruins vs. Sabres	2	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-28 23:07
Spread: Thunder (-15.5)	2	$2	4	0	+4	Thunder	+$2	05-06 00:26
Hawks vs. Knicks	2	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	04-28 17:21
Sabres vs. Bruins	2	$2	8	0	+8	open	—	04-26 18:28
nhl sea col 2026 04 16	2	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-17 02:14
nhl ana edm 2026 04 20	2	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	04-20 10:37
nhl dal min 2026 04 22	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-23 02:06
Knicks vs. 76ers	2	$2	4	0	+4	Knicks	$-2	05-08 22:46
nhl bos cbj 2026 04 12	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-12 22:46
nhl lak sea 2026 04 13	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-14 01:41
nhl utah cal 2026 04 12	2	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	04-13 01:47
nhl cal sea 2026 04 11	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-12 00:00
Lightning vs. Canadiens	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-01 23:53
Spread: Pistons (-8.5)	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	05-03 19:31
Golden Knights vs. Utah	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-25 02:04
nhl mon nyi 2026 04 12	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-12 22:42
nhl det tb 2026 04 13	2	$2	6	0	+6	open	—	04-13 23:08
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-27 22:52
nhl van sj 2026 04 11	2	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	04-12 02:32
Flyers vs. Penguins	2	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	04-27 23:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 04:09:18	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xd86200…
08-12 02:57:51	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x9764b5…
08-10 00:10:52	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x5d5f8b…
08-09 23:23:18	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xc57890…
08-09 23:22:57	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x0d7c31…
08-09 17:28:22	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x896f8a…
08-09 11:08:22	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xcd9a59…
08-08 19:57:39	ufc bil2 tym 2026 08 08	Ty Miller	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x25869b…
08-06 08:35:06	Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x0e800a…
08-02 18:44:09	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	90¢	$0	0xe8f08f…
08-01 17:30:03	Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x65cfa4…
08-01 07:15:44	trump out as president by august 31 20260730185655928	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x898bf2…
08-01 06:46:44	ufc oba mic37 2026 08 01	Michael Oliveira	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x38ab05…
08-01 06:39:38	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xff60ef…
08-01 06:38:00	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x7ce050…
07-27 03:13:46	will openai ipo by august 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa054b8…
07-21 02:56:15	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x9db801…
07-21 02:22:37	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x2197b6…
07-20 16:17:46	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0x57fb33…
07-20 16:05:24	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x0c5949…
07-20 12:14:51	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf5e1ae…
07-16 12:43:52	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$0	0xe6f43b…
07-07 14:58:49	Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xa46f81…
07-06 03:55:58	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xdb1a43…
07-06 02:37:43	Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0xbb16ec…
07-06 02:37:43	Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x5b1a8f…
07-04 10:25:49	will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa9ec19…
07-02 16:21:55	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 3 2026 20260622191708359	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2e1cca…
07-01 02:08:10	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x29aeab…
07-01 01:12:56	US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x3a8772…
06-30 23:31:10	trump out as president by july 31 20260626202639374	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbe7aa6…
06-21 08:29:17	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x99560b…
06-18 23:01:13	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	No	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x2abfad…
06-18 23:00:38	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x39204d…
06-18 22:23:02	will base launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0x1965db…
06-18 14:18:59	Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x49ac2f…
06-18 11:35:14	will spacexs valuation hit high 4pt0t by june 30	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb66f38…
06-17 21:53:04	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xa465b1…
06-17 07:01:37	will anthropics valuation hit high 1pt75t by june 30	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe6a713…
06-17 02:33:37	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7387f7…
06-15 16:01:10	us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd5838f…
06-15 15:56:22	us and iran sign an agreement by june 15 2026 20260611221049851	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd9cc93…
06-15 11:12:57	will wti crude oil wti hit high 175 in june	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x91c8f6…
06-15 07:24:01	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x873e44…
06-15 06:55:33	will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x11cc80…
06-14 22:20:30	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xf295eb…
06-14 16:28:31	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xed7894…
06-14 16:28:30	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x84f6c3…
06-14 16:28:30	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x738362…
06-14 16:28:27	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x36625e…
06-14 16:28:27	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x0e78e5…
06-13 22:06:22	Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xff86c3…
06-11 02:29:25	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x9f55ce…
06-06 22:50:36	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf42205…
06-06 22:46:25	Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x7a500d…
06-05 14:55:04	ufc bre1 edm 2026 06 06	Edmen Shahbazyan	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xfe280d…
06-05 00:27:21	nhl las car 2026 06 04	Golden Knights	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x838634…
06-04 16:27:30	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbdf70d…
06-04 09:09:22	Will Trump be impeached by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xb1e0c5…
06-04 01:10:40	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x93c5fd…
06-03 21:45:31	Will Trump be impeached by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x3c965e…
06-03 21:43:54	Trump out as President by June 30?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x5781a0…
06-03 18:38:12	Xi Jinping out by June 30?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x26e0c5…
06-03 15:13:58	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xc083a9…
06-03 14:10:06	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x5d0506…
06-02 13:22:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcd05c2…
06-01 13:32:20	Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30?	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0xc80e32…
05-30 07:27:10	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x965274…
05-30 03:58:44	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xdde6c3…
05-27 14:46:37	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xd4e09d…
05-27 14:41:52	Will SpaceX IPO by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x205f8e…
05-27 12:08:52	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x99da5b…
05-26 06:07:05	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x7b3beb…
05-23 08:27:37	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	40¢	$0	0x15bf79…
05-23 08:22:25	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0x7e68cd…
05-23 08:20:45	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0x750ea4…
05-23 08:18:38	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0x01b15b…
05-23 08:17:43	Knicks vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x2b0acc…
05-23 08:16:11	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	1	36¢	$0	0xe08489…
05-23 06:37:09	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	2	34¢	$1	0x3b2512…
05-23 06:36:41	Israel closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	0	39¢	$0	0xe5cd23…
05-23 00:50:31	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Avalanche	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x835b56…
05-23 00:36:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x8cb41a…
05-23 00:36:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0xdc8b6f…
05-23 00:36:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x0e3e05…
05-23 00:36:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0x07db3f…
05-22 16:49:59	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xba4cfa…
05-21 14:44:33	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1726b3…
05-20 09:57:53	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x87eaee…
05-20 05:00:02	Will South Korea send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6e3ccd…
05-18 16:59:26	Will Trump say "Six Seven" this week?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x031f99…
05-18 11:45:24	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x59ec41…
05-16 21:49:35	UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Ivan Erslan	SELL	1	59¢	$0	0x39856d…
05-16 08:49:17	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2682f2…
05-16 08:03:26	MVP Fight Night: Francis Ngannou vs. Philipe Lins	Ngannou	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x74adad…
05-16 07:34:37	UFC Fight Night: Alice Ardelean vs. Polyana Viana (Women's Strawweight, Prelims)	Polyana Viana	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x917abf…
05-16 03:03:52	UFC Fight Night: Tuco Tokkos vs. Ivan Erslan (Light Heavyweight, Prelims)	Ivan Erslan	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xac7639…
05-16 02:37:59	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf0db97…
05-15 23:25:12	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	0	21¢	$0	0xf87f9a…
05-15 23:25:12	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	0	20¢	$0	0xed7bee…