Stormy-Bracket — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$68

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

87.0%

Resolved

2,131

Trades

4,012

lifetime

Volume

$13.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

8 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 10-27 03:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 131 days

Categories

Other

96% 76% -$3

Crypto

3% 39% -$62

Politics

0% 0% -$3

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

39 active days in 12wk • peak 123 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+2	$2	100¢	$2	+$1	10-26 00:43
Will Trump and Putin not meet?	No	+2	$2	84¢	$2	$0	10-25 06:21
Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	+3	$2	68¢	$2	$0	10-26 00:56
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	+2	$2	68¢	$2	$0	10-27 01:08
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	+2	$1	73¢	$1	$0	10-25 06:49
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	+7	$1	6¢	$0	-$1	07-04 19:06
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	$0	97¢	$0	+$0	07-04 19:06
jd vance out as vp by december 31	No	+0	$0	96¢	$0	+$0	07-04 19:06

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in chicago on april 15 2026 72 73f	6	$126	74	74	+1	Yes	+$1	04-15 22:59
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 25°C on May 9?	4	$120	61	61	+0	No	+$0	05-09 07:14
highest temperature in austin on april 18 2026 72 73f	5	$86	48	47	+0	Yes	-$2	04-18 14:04
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on May 6?	4	$81	42	42	+0	No	+$1	05-06 23:47
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 6?	4	$81	41	41	+0	No	+$1	05-06 09:15
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on May 6?	4	$80	40	40	+0	No	+$0	05-06 07:53
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 15°C on May 7?	14	$73	39	39	+0	Yes	+$3	05-07 14:08
highest temperature in los angeles on april 17 2026 74 75f	5	$73	38	38	+0	No	+$3	04-17 23:06
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 24°C or higher on May 9?	6	$64	34	30	+4	No	+$0	05-09 06:40
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on May 9?	2	$63	33	33	+0	No	+$3	05-09 10:43
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on May 9?	2	$63	33	33	+0	No	+$3	05-09 14:07
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 9?	8	$62	32	32	+0	No	+$2	05-09 16:56
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on May 9?	2	$62	32	32	+0	No	+$2	05-09 20:06
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 35°C or higher on May 10?	3	$61	32	32	+0	No	+$1	05-10 06:41
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on May 10?	5	$61	32	32	+0	No	+$1	05-10 08:46
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 38°C on May 9?	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$1	05-09 08:03
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on May 9?	2	$61	31	31	+0	No	+$1	05-09 03:40
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 10?	2	$60	31	31	+0	No	+$0	05-10 08:46
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C or higher on May 10?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-10 02:55
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 8?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-08 23:24
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 9?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-09 17:35
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 10?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-10 10:10
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 16°C on May 9?	6	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-09 18:51
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 15°C on May 9?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-09 20:22
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 9?	7	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-09 08:04
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on May 10?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-10 06:06
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on May 9?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-09 12:24
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on May 9?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-09 12:10
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C on May 9?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-09 09:38
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on May 10?	2	$60	30	30	+0	No	+$0	05-10 22:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 03:01:17	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 27?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$2	0xd9d0ee…
10-27 01:36:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 28?	No	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0xf48b41…
10-27 01:36:47	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 28?	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x937874…
10-27 01:22:33	Will Leonardo Montañez Castro win the 2027 Aguascalientes Governor Election?	No	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0x393ab9…
10-27 01:08:05	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xb06a5a…
10-27 01:06:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 28?	No	BUY	2	69¢	$2	0x7e1e46…
10-27 00:45:53	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	3	65¢	$2	0x0999c5…
10-26 14:09:32	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 26?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x6e7e00…
10-26 12:18:15	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	2	90¢	$1	0x6e5ec6…
10-26 11:42:57	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	2	78¢	$2	0x364eff…
10-26 06:09:00	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 26?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9f8947…
10-26 01:54:39	Will Jahmyr Gibbs win the 2026 NFL Offensive Player of the Year award for the 2026-27 NFL season?	No	BUY	2	75¢	$1	0x5d58a8…
10-26 01:02:09	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 26?	No	BUY	2	87¢	$1	0xfb512b…
10-26 00:56:27	Will an independent win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x96c454…
10-26 00:43:05	Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$2	0x3b190d…
10-26 00:40:27	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xb2ad6e…
10-26 00:33:45	Will ERC win the most seats in Lleida in the 2026 Spanish general election?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$2	0xcfcc63…
10-25 21:48:15	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	2	66¢	$1	0x241830…
10-25 16:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 80-81°F on October 26?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb9141f…
10-25 15:43:08	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 68-69°F on October 25?	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x9421a8…
10-25 06:49:29	Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x0b80cd…
10-25 06:49:29	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x005866…
10-25 06:23:45	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on October 26?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x75db51…
10-25 06:21:50	Will Trump and Putin not meet?	No	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0xc89027…
10-25 05:57:23	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 21°C on October 25?	No	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x12d64d…
10-25 05:53:27	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0xddb498…
10-11 21:23:55	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 18°C on October 13?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x61325c…
10-11 21:23:46	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 12?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x599fce…
10-11 21:22:25	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 17°C on October 13?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb5e03d…
10-11 04:09:38	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 11?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x94b4a0…
10-11 01:56:27	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 12?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe3e94b…
10-11 01:32:56	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 12?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd3952f…
10-11 01:02:24	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on October 11?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa7ee0f…
10-10 21:31:34	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 12?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x315f21…
10-10 18:55:33	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on October 11?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x6e5556…
10-10 16:19:52	Will the lowest temperature in London be 9°C on October 11?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x1717d3…
10-10 12:37:57	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 11?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x32aa2c…
10-10 08:45:18	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 19°C on October 11?	No	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x40930d…
10-10 07:54:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 10?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xd01eb7…
10-10 07:32:45	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 11?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x312ec9…
10-10 06:10:52	Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 15°C on October 10?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x35c3e1…
10-10 05:59:01	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on October 11?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x3f5d0d…
10-10 05:58:39	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 11?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x7a4692…
10-10 05:58:27	Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on October 9?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xf1e0d6…
10-10 01:55:10	Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on October 9?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x48998f…
10-09 22:08:17	Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 15°C on October 10?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xb95bdc…
10-09 21:22:47	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 10?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x707e59…
10-09 17:08:52	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 8°C on October 10?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xb97a42…
10-09 07:52:48	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on October 10?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x6f40ed…
10-09 05:58:25	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 10?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc40542…
10-08 21:25:59	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on October 9?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x92d83a…
10-08 20:59:51	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 8?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xadce7b…
10-08 20:40:00	Will the lowest temperature in Chicago be between 52-53°F on October 9?	No	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xb4d79a…
10-08 19:30:59	Will the lowest temperature in Milan be 13°C on October 9?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xe5c1da…
10-08 17:58:59	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on October 8?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x187a0e…
10-08 16:33:51	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 20°C on October 10?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x7b634f…
10-08 16:12:38	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 8?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xd3fd4d…
10-08 07:13:40	Will the lowest temperature in Atlanta be between 64-65°F on October 9?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xa948ec…
10-08 06:57:13	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 7?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x15a258…
10-08 05:41:55	Will the lowest temperature in Denver be between 54-55°F on October 9?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x193382…
10-07 22:55:34	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 25°C on October 9?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe15fa6…
10-07 20:46:08	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 9?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xbf78b5…
10-07 20:00:29	Will the lowest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 7?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xb72af1…
10-07 19:56:34	Will the lowest temperature in London be 8°C on October 8?	No	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xfad85b…
10-07 18:37:30	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 7?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x96adfd…
10-07 18:16:58	Will the lowest temperature in Munich be 5°C on October 7?	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x65dfe7…
10-07 18:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 32°C on October 8?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x6e0934…
10-07 15:17:58	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 7?	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf99070…
10-07 13:55:04	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 8?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb372ad…
10-07 10:45:36	Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 52-53°F on October 7?	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf71f9e…
10-07 09:58:26	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on October 8?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xdc63b0…
10-07 08:58:39	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 8?	No	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x786265…
10-07 08:58:36	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on October 8?	No	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x185e30…
10-03 21:27:49	Will the lowest temperature in Tel Aviv be 20°C on October 3?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9d6085…
10-03 18:04:24	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 3?	No	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x854745…
10-03 18:02:15	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 3?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x43f94f…
10-03 17:49:50	Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on October 3?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x27c725…
10-03 16:12:20	Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 14°C on October 3?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc9ab4a…
10-03 08:50:59	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 3?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xee1f31…
10-03 08:42:56	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C on October 3?	No	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0x109166…
10-03 07:44:50	Will the lowest temperature in Mexico City be 16°C on October 3?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xfe30be…
10-03 07:02:26	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 3?	No	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x83285c…
10-03 06:42:54	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on October 4?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$2	0x08b5d6…
10-03 06:38:00	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on October 4?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x41c19c…
10-03 05:34:57	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 31°C on October 3?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x121922…
10-03 00:11:44	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 74-75°F on October 4?	No	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x69faa2…
10-02 22:08:00	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on October 4?	No	BUY	2	67¢	$2	0x362f33…
10-02 20:26:32	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on October 3?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x20f3ba…
10-02 18:52:38	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on October 2?	No	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x1c99be…
10-02 17:53:56	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 2?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x331756…
10-02 16:37:51	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 2?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x805b40…
10-02 16:26:11	Will the lowest temperature in Wuhan be 14°C on October 3?	No	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x8eb3c3…
10-02 15:52:44	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 4?	No	BUY	3	52¢	$2	0x0700a2…
10-02 15:50:56	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 2?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xa53abe…
10-02 15:46:14	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 2?	No	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xc6e484…
10-02 14:20:38	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or higher on October 2?	No	SELL	3	98¢	$2	0x6aa281…
10-02 09:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 68-69°F on October 3?	No	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xe5fd20…
10-02 09:20:15	Will the lowest temperature in San Francisco be between 58-59°F on October 3?	No	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x7e86e0…
10-02 09:20:09	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 26°C or higher on October 2?	No	BUY	3	57¢	$1	0x849f8d…
10-02 09:20:05	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 12°C on October 3?	No	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xa46063…