Stormy-Bracket — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.5%

Resolved

153

Trades

1,714

lifetime

Volume

$4.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-11

last 07-04 19:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

99% — —

Crypto

1% 37% $-13

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in chicago on april 15 2026 72 73f	6	$126	74	74	+1	open	—	04-15 22:59
highest temperature in austin on april 18 2026 72 73f	5	$86	48	47	+0	open	—	04-18 14:04
highest temperature in los angeles on april 17 2026 74 75f	5	$73	38	38	+0	open	—	04-17 23:06
highest temperature in los angeles on april 17 2026 72 73f	22	$52	104	100	+4	open	—	04-17 23:06
highest temperature in paris on april 18 2026 19c	16	$47	25	24	+0	open	—	04-18 12:06
highest temperature in nyc on april 17 2026 77forbelow	6	$40	31	31	+1	open	—	04-17 21:33
highest temperature in london on april 18 2026 15c	9	$30	15	15	+0	open	—	04-18 12:05
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 21 2026 20c	4	$28	53	2	+51	open	—	04-21 17:24
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 18 2026 26c	10	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	04-18 08:23
highest temperature in paris on april 18 2026 18c	7	$26	13	13	+0	open	—	04-18 08:19
highest temperature in shanghai on april 17 2026 19c	5	$26	16	11	+5	open	—	04-17 04:29
highest temperature in denver on april 17 2026 50 51f	4	$26	16	11	+5	open	—	04-16 19:36
highest temperature in tokyo on april 17 2026 18c	3	$24	15	15	+0	open	—	04-17 08:03
highest temperature in los angeles on april 17 2026 70 71f	2	$24	15	14	+0	open	—	04-17 19:54
highest temperature in warsaw on april 18 2026 16c	9	$24	13	13	+0	open	—	04-18 12:06
highest temperature in jeddah on april 18 2026 37c	8	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	04-18 08:12
highest temperature in lucknow on april 18 2026 39corbelow	8	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	04-18 08:12
highest temperature in nyc on april 15 2026 79forbelow	5	$24	12	12	+0	open	—	04-15 07:37
highest temperature in seattle on april 17 2026 52 53f	4	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	04-17 14:17
highest temperature in san francisco on april 17 2026 62 63f	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	04-17 15:03
highest temperature in tokyo on april 17 2026 19c	3	$17	12	7	+5	open	—	04-17 06:57
highest temperature in tokyo on april 17 2026 17c	4	$17	19	6	+13	open	—	04-17 05:42
highest temperature in chicago on april 15 2026 70 71f	6	$17	10,004	4	+10,000	open	—	04-15 23:31
highest temperature in madrid on april 18 2026 26c	6	$16	9	9	+0	open	—	04-18 12:07
highest temperature in nyc on april 18 2026 60 61f	5	$16	10	8	+2	open	—	04-18 08:19
highest temperature in paris on april 19 2026 16c	8	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	04-19 13:31
highest temperature in guangzhou on april 17 2026 28c	3	$16	11	6	+5	open	—	04-17 02:33
highest temperature in milan on april 18 2026 23c	5	$16	8	8	+0	open	—	04-18 12:06
highest temperature in nyc on april 17 2026 78 79f	4	$16	9	9	+0	open	—	04-17 23:07
highest temperature in tokyo on april 17 2026 20c	3	$15	11	6	+5	open	—	04-17 05:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-04 19:06:23	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xb097f5…
07-04 19:06:23	jd vance out as vp by december 31	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x11f06d…
07-04 19:06:22	jd vance out as vp by december 31	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x722bb7…
07-04 19:06:20	Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xf13dcc…
07-04 19:06:20	Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc4ea0f…
07-04 19:06:20	Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x561386…
07-04 19:06:19	jd vance out as vp by december 31	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0xd781e5…
07-04 19:06:19	Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x7d3ccc…
07-04 19:06:17	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0xe7826f…
07-04 19:06:16	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xbce67c…
07-04 19:06:16	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	SELL	7	12¢	$1	0x462a6e…
07-04 19:06:14	US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xc7eb7d…
07-04 19:06:13	US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xd5a908…
07-04 19:06:10	Obama arrested before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xaa2ba9…
07-04 19:06:10	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x62812a…
07-04 19:06:07	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0xe272fc…
07-04 19:06:07	Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	92¢	$1	0x2aeadd…
07-04 19:06:07	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	1	86¢	$1	0x146a86…
07-04 19:06:05	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0xbe6afc…
07-04 19:06:05	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x8393ae…
07-04 19:06:04	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x833088…
07-04 19:06:02	US takes Panama Canal before 2027?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x3ad761…
06-24 10:36:47	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x645722…
06-24 10:36:44	jd vance out as vp by december 31	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x48483b…
06-24 10:36:41	jd vance out as vp by december 31	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xffcbe7…
06-23 23:10:34	Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x66dc11…
06-23 22:59:43	Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x509642…
06-23 22:34:31	Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x1dec4d…
06-23 22:32:47	Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xa6e203…
06-23 21:04:20	jd vance out as vp by december 31	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x3c92e0…
06-23 20:27:26	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x6c3d82…
06-23 20:27:22	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x76c6d8…
06-23 20:27:19	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x4b5b8b…
06-23 20:11:20	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	No	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0x6b5445…
06-23 18:49:31	congress passes iran war powers resolution by june 30	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x46c0d0…
06-23 18:09:17	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x119b18…
06-23 17:59:49	US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x675267…
06-23 17:52:26	US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xc46205…
06-23 17:37:55	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x2e5f64…
06-23 17:35:58	Kash Patel out by June 30?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xe3b2d1…
06-23 17:24:32	Obama arrested before 2027?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x417755…
06-23 14:58:11	Tim Walz charged by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb83b57…
06-23 14:57:10	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x828056…
06-23 14:07:16	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0x7f62cc…
06-23 14:02:01	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x19e066…
06-23 13:26:32	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xe3dd70…
06-23 13:20:01	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xc033e3…
06-23 13:04:37	US takes Panama Canal before 2027?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x4554ba…
05-08 10:54:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4bbc6a…
05-08 10:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x4a8a8c…
05-08 10:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0bcddf…
05-08 10:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9c4bf7…
05-08 10:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Down	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0x66e209…
05-08 10:29:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xd84a79…
05-08 10:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x2585f8…
05-06 18:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x00668e…
05-06 18:12:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x01aaa8…
05-06 18:09:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x478334…
05-06 18:09:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x022569…
05-06 18:04:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xd1d751…
05-06 18:04:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xee7706…
05-06 17:49:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb7aac5…
05-06 17:44:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfa9fe2…
05-06 17:44:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xc34772…
05-06 16:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0x327452…
05-06 16:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xd7f8f4…
05-06 16:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xdbd850…
05-06 15:59:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbbb79d…
05-06 15:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x9fe992…
05-06 15:54:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x12cd06…
05-06 15:54:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xca08b1…
05-06 15:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	3¢	$0	0xaa33f7…
05-06 15:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x116d7f…
05-06 15:48:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xc67aeb…
05-06 15:44:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x0b50f4…
05-06 15:44:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xe92b26…
05-06 15:38:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb73608…
05-06 15:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x716c27…
05-06 15:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7fc469…
05-06 15:34:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xa04f9b…
05-06 15:29:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfcf58b…
05-06 15:29:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x1c2a9f…
05-06 15:24:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xadb74b…
05-06 15:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xc867c1…
05-06 15:17:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x476a04…
05-06 15:17:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x6c6472…
05-06 15:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xbe026d…
05-06 15:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x30572f…
05-06 15:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xa03484…
05-06 15:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xea2ca3…
05-06 14:58:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xb18672…
05-06 14:58:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xb21456…
05-06 14:54:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x16e7d4…
05-06 14:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Up	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0x3ec140…
05-06 14:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x7a0b60…
05-06 14:44:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xc9731e…
05-06 14:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xaa8e01…
05-06 14:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0xfd2897…
05-06 14:33:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x9766bc…
05-06 14:33:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xc70f21…