Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 6?
open
Total volume
$331
$799 in 24h
Trades
44
Unique wallets
33
Liquidity
$2,057
Latest YES mid
33¢
Latest NO mid
67¢
End date
2026-05-06
First seen
2026-05-04
last 05-05 21:09
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🦐 Shrimp | 33 | $8 | $294 | $287 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | — | $26 | $26 |
| Median | 9 | — | $69 | $69 |
| Below median | 2 | — | $10 | $10 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $3 | — | +$3 |
| unranked | 17 | $4 | $189 | $185 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ambitious-Accident 0xd628…9356 | No | +64 | $49 | $49 | 1 | 05-04 21:09 |
| Identical-Carp 0x9478…d6d5 | No | +57 | $52 | $52 | 2 | 05-05 17:32 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +54 | $43 | $43 | 2 | 05-05 19:02 |
| Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | +37 | $33 | $33 | 1 | 05-05 13:10 |
| Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | +32 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-05 21:09 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $26 | $26 | 1 | 05-05 16:47 |
| (anonymous) 0xa9bd…e555 | No | +22 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-05 18:28 |
| Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | Yes | +17 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 03:30 |
| Enchanted-Uniform 0x84b9…7f7f | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-05 13:15 |
| Narrow-Frame 0xfba8…8d3c | No | +12 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-05 09:06 |
| Violet-Value 0x0416…616c | No | +11 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-05 20:29 |
| Definitive-Plot 0x3acd…3a4f | Yes | +11 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 17:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x8edc…80d8 | No | +9 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-05 04:40 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-04 22:04 |
| Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 18:34 |
| Ringed-Making 0x517b…50b7 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-05 17:32 |
| Mortified-Frown 0x2dba…5b01 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-05 13:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | No | +4 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 13:00 |
| Disguised-Validity 0x1230…8e43 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-05 13:00 |
| Well-Worn-Venture 0xacb4…ba1a | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 03:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 13:00 |
| Neglected-Cloakroom 0xbe9b…156c | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-05 17:29 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-05 21:09:46 | Jumpy-Literate 0x8215…1279 | No | BUY | 32 | 68¢ | $22 | 0xbca96a… |
| 05-05 20:29:38 | Violet-Value 0x0416…616c | No | BUY | 11 | 88¢ | $10 | 0x5c5b48… |
| 05-05 19:02:58 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 4 | 87¢ | $3 | 0x091842… |
| 05-05 18:34:20 | Agreeable-Harvester 0xb732…6900 | No | BUY | 6 | 88¢ | $5 | 0xdf96c8… |
| 05-05 18:28:18 | (anonymous) 0xa9bd…e555 | No | BUY | 22 | 90¢ | $20 | 0x64bf95… |
| 05-05 17:34:26 | Definitive-Plot 0x3acd…3a4f | Yes | BUY | 11 | 9¢ | $1 | 0xe05376… |
| 05-05 17:32:42 | Identical-Carp 0x9478…d6d5 | No | BUY | 20 | 92¢ | $18 | 0xe3186b… |
| 05-05 17:32:38 | Ringed-Making 0x517b…50b7 | No | BUY | 5 | 92¢ | $5 | 0xf62fd2… |
| 05-05 17:32:30 | Identical-Carp 0x9478…d6d5 | No | BUY | 37 | 91¢ | $34 | 0x5190c1… |
| 05-05 17:29:54 | Neglected-Cloakroom 0xbe9b…156c | No | BUY | 1 | 91¢ | $1 | 0xbc771d… |
| 05-05 16:54:38 | (anonymous) 0x5005…620c | No | SELL | 12 | 89¢ | $11 | 0x3d7bcc… |
| 05-05 16:47:18 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 88¢ | $26 | 0x9c6aae… |
| 05-05 16:47:18 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 13¢ | $1 | 0x1845d5… |
| 05-05 16:47:18 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x680081… |
| 05-05 16:47:18 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 9¢ | $0 | 0x8b615b… |
| 05-05 13:15:30 | Enchanted-Uniform 0x84b9…7f7f | Yes | BUY | 12 | 15¢ | $2 | 0xc5b160… |
| 05-05 13:10:30 | Agreeable-Birth 0x84c3…35d4 | No | BUY | 37 | 89¢ | $33 | 0x2b8ed8… |
| 05-05 13:00:34 | (anonymous) 0xb701…8c1b | No | BUY | 1 | 84¢ | $1 | 0xa7513e… |
| 05-05 13:00:26 | Disguised-Validity 0x1230…8e43 | No | BUY | 3 | 84¢ | $3 | 0xc223e3… |
| 05-05 13:00:26 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | No | BUY | 4 | 84¢ | $3 | 0x63f7c9… |
| 05-05 13:00:22 | Mortified-Frown 0x2dba…5b01 | No | BUY | 3 | 83¢ | $2 | 0x51e633… |
| 05-05 13:00:22 | Mortified-Frown 0x2dba…5b01 | No | BUY | 2 | 83¢ | $2 | 0xc89642… |
| 05-05 12:02:00 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x4dbe94… |
| 05-05 12:00:20 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 12 | 16¢ | $2 | 0xf39626… |
| 05-05 09:10:14 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0xcbe9b7… |
| 05-05 09:10:14 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x13e0eb… |
| 05-05 09:10:14 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x43ac73… |
| 05-05 09:06:30 | Narrow-Frame 0xfba8…8d3c | No | BUY | 12 | 77¢ | $9 | 0x49e867… |
| 05-05 05:40:42 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x92e9ad… |
| 05-05 05:40:42 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x7dd9b1… |
| 05-05 05:40:42 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x50e0f8… |
| 05-05 05:40:42 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0xc0d639… |
| 05-05 05:40:42 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x2508d9… |
| 05-05 05:40:42 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x8d4da5… |
| 05-05 05:40:42 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 50 | 79¢ | $40 | 0xc25d57… |
| 05-05 05:40:42 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x40ad5a… |
| 05-05 05:40:42 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x415724… |
| 05-05 05:40:42 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x62ce75… |
| 05-05 04:40:06 | (anonymous) 0x8edc…80d8 | No | BUY | 9 | 79¢ | $7 | 0xc6a37d… |
| 05-05 03:55:26 | Well-Worn-Venture 0xacb4…ba1a | No | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xc24c3a… |
| 05-05 03:30:20 | Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 20¢ | $3 | 0x61b335… |
| 05-05 03:30:16 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xa64bc8… |
| 05-04 22:04:28 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x3c11e9… |
| 05-04 21:09:40 | Ambitious-Accident 0xd628…9356 | No | BUY | 64 | 77¢ | $49 | 0x048ed6… |