Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on May 9?
open
Total volume
$263
$1,023 in 24h
Trades
50
Unique wallets
45
Liquidity
$1,116
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-09
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-09 17:39
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-25.5¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $25
vs crowd: 25% YES on $232)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $25 | $25 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 43 | $59 | $148 | $89 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | $25 | $25 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $1 | $26 | $25 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 14 | — | $32 | $32 |
| Median | 11 | $1 | $82 | $81 |
| Below median | 6 | $22 | — | +$22 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | $6 | $6 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| unranked | 3 | $35 | — | +$35 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x1cbe…7b9b | Yes | +198 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 23:36 |
| Outrageous-Litigation 0x4ffb…119d | Yes | +177 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-09 12:47 |
| Cuddly-Yoga 0xb07d…23dc | Yes | +104 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 05-09 11:45 |
| General-Order 0x6282…35d0 | No | +40 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 05-09 14:08 |
| Lean-Citizenship 0xb84d…3307 | No | +30 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-09 11:10 |
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +26 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-09 13:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e5e…40fb | No | +26 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-09 10:40 |
| Beneficial-Girlfriend 0xc120…a7e3 | No | +20 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-09 12:26 |
| Alarmed-Riser 0x5f61…840a | Yes | +13 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 10:30 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 05-09 10:35 |
| Messy-Analysis 0x8645…0beb | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-08 15:32 |
| Ecstatic-Cholesterol 0xc969…0377 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 10:45 |
| Grizzled-Candidate 0x901f…64f0 | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-09 12:01 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 12:20 |
| Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-09 12:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x98a3…9f88 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 05:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xf514…8e20 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-09 05:19 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 12:18 |
| Ecstatic-Postbox 0x6bf6…2529 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 11:10 |
| Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-09 01:30 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-08 18:27 |
| Dismal-Signature 0x313f…37dc | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-09 10:14 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-09 17:39:20 | Fair-Pat 0x29a5…fe58 | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x2e57eb… |
| 05-09 15:42:50 | Cluttered-Blackboard 0x857f…ddb7 | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x9165d0… |
| 05-09 15:37:33 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x21a2bf… |
| 05-09 15:37:33 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xe32673… |
| 05-09 15:37:33 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd4ad7a… |
| 05-09 15:37:33 | Nautical-Drapes 0x1903…4372 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa951b9… |
| 05-09 15:37:33 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa667a1… |
| 05-09 15:37:33 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7af97d… |
| 05-09 15:37:33 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9c8706… |
| 05-09 15:37:33 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7f17cf… |
| 05-09 15:37:33 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4115bf… |
| 05-09 15:37:33 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5aac65… |
| 05-09 15:37:33 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6b9d86… |
| 05-09 15:37:33 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x8afd7b… |
| 05-09 15:37:33 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6a5a01… |
| 05-09 15:37:33 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0d56a1… |
| 05-09 15:37:33 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x3c8bea… |
| 05-09 15:37:33 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x250030… |
| 05-09 14:08:13 | General-Order 0x6282…35d0 | No | BUY | 40 | 99¢ | $40 | 0x375dd6… |
| 05-09 13:38:23 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 26 | 95¢ | $25 | 0x1552a8… |
| 05-09 13:28:05 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 1 | 11¢ | $0 | 0x691d84… |
| 05-09 13:18:26 | Generous-Muffin 0x0d10…a713 | Yes | SELL | 30 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x0a7af8… |
| 05-09 12:47:17 | Outrageous-Litigation 0x4ffb…119d | Yes | BUY | 177 | 14¢ | $25 | 0x517d29… |
| 05-09 12:26:54 | Beneficial-Girlfriend 0xc120…a7e3 | No | BUY | 20 | 82¢ | $16 | 0x7bfee4… |
| 05-09 12:26:54 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x3a16e5… |
| 05-09 12:21:46 | Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0xcfb8b6… |
| 05-09 12:20:57 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 34¢ | $2 | 0xe38cbf… |
| 05-09 12:18:33 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | No | BUY | 3 | 67¢ | $2 | 0xe5ab3c… |
| 05-09 12:01:00 | Grizzled-Candidate 0x901f…64f0 | No | BUY | 8 | 78¢ | $6 | 0xf03406… |
| 05-09 11:45:29 | Unfinished-Diary 0x784a…06c3 | Yes | SELL | 52 | 10¢ | $5 | 0x94b684… |
| 05-09 11:45:22 | Cuddly-Yoga 0xb07d…23dc | Yes | BUY | 104 | 19¢ | $20 | 0xd6fc21… |
| 05-09 11:10:22 | Ecstatic-Postbox 0x6bf6…2529 | No | BUY | 2 | 95¢ | $2 | 0x39f33c… |
| 05-09 11:10:16 | Lean-Citizenship 0xb84d…3307 | No | BUY | 30 | 95¢ | $29 | 0x796bf8… |
| 05-09 10:45:18 | Ecstatic-Cholesterol 0xc969…0377 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x58ec6c… |
| 05-09 10:40:19 | (anonymous) 0x1e5e…40fb | No | BUY | 26 | 95¢ | $25 | 0x0bc3e5… |
| 05-09 10:35:27 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x6c33ea… |
| 05-09 10:30:19 | Alarmed-Riser 0x5f61…840a | Yes | BUY | 13 | 7¢ | $1 | 0x38b670… |
| 05-09 10:14:48 | Dismal-Signature 0x313f…37dc | No | BUY | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xf32c80… |
| 05-09 10:05:21 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbf55b7… |
| 05-09 09:50:11 | Deserted-Legging 0xf114…6ecc | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x71ce8d… |
| 05-09 06:19:38 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x29fbf6… |
| 05-09 06:19:38 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x6f3feb… |
| 05-09 05:19:38 | (anonymous) 0xf514…8e20 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0x8bc722… |
| 05-09 05:19:34 | (anonymous) 0x98a3…9f88 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xbccf88… |
| 05-09 01:30:19 | Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xb2167e… |
| 05-08 23:36:54 | (anonymous) 0x1cbe…7b9b | Yes | BUY | 198 | 5¢ | $10 | 0xbec283… |
| 05-08 21:01:28 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x0f19b3… |
| 05-08 21:01:02 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xb03808… |
| 05-08 18:27:51 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0x70c45f… |
| 05-08 15:32:21 | Messy-Analysis 0x8645…0beb | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x514681… |