Realized P&L
+$2.23K
Unrealized P&L
-$26
Hit rate
78.7%
Resolved
4,592
Trades
10,862
lifetime
Volume
$74.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$1.14K
25 positions
First seen
2026-03-17
last 10-30 00:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 223 days
Categories
Other
96% 55% +$2,413
Politics
3% 78% -$22
Tech
1% 17% -$154
Sports
0% 62% -$3
Crypto
0% 67% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 366 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House No +250 $230 94¢ $234 +$4 10-27 15:49
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +125 $117 97¢ $122 +$4 09-23 12:54
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No +108 $97 95¢ $103 +$6 10-20 11:09
US imports Russian diesel by December 31? Yes +151 $135 65¢ $98 -$37 10-26 18:37
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +133 $101 69¢ $91 -$10 10-05 08:08
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +110 $76 80¢ $87 +$12 10-03 19:45
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? Yes +120 $86 68¢ $82 -$4 10-21 16:48
Trump meets with Putin by December 31? Yes +60 $50 84¢ $50 $0 10-03 22:41
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +50 $38 84¢ $42 +$4 09-26 15:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +38 $33 97¢ $37 +$3 10-03 22:42
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +38 $32 94¢ $36 +$4 05-30 06:18
Will Golden State Warriors win the 2027 NBA Finals? Yes +3,147 $32 1¢ $33 +$1 10-04 00:48
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +25 $23 88¢ $22 -$1 10-17 10:02
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? No +20 $16 88¢ $18 +$1 09-21 14:48
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? Yes +100 $26 16¢ $16 -$10 10-26 21:22
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? No +17 $16 96¢ $16 +$0 10-20 06:26
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +18 $14 66¢ $12 -$2 05-28 01:07
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? No +12 $10 93¢ $11 +$0 05-23 09:52
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +20 $13 53¢ $11 -$2 10-27 06:14
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +8 $7 94¢ $8 +$1 05-18 14:55
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +8 $7 92¢ $8 +$1 05-09 11:39
Will 2 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +3 $2 70¢ $2 +$0 09-18 10:21
New pandemic in 2026? No +2 $2 97¢ $2 +$0 05-21 22:47
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +3 $2 66¢ $2 $0 05-05 02:55
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +21 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 05-09 00:55