Alarmed-Riser — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6.96K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.8%

Resolved

3,349

Trades

10,408

lifetime

Volume

$171.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-28 06:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 260 days

Categories

Other

78% 41% +$7,430

Politics

10% 85% +$17

Crypto

10% 67% -$494

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$3

Sports

1% 60% +$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 127 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	83	$18.9K	9,262	10,163	-901	Yes	-$1	01-22 17:27
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	8	$4.5K	2,068	2,500	-432	Yes	+$1	03-01 02:26
will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 7 339 656	2	$4.0K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$0	03-11 09:19
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 280 299	16	$4.0K	1,993	1,993	+0	Yes	+$3	02-06 16:44
highest temperature in shanghai on march 13 2026 12c	1	$3.7K	3,700	0	+3,700	No	+$4	03-13 04:59
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	3	$3.1K	3,070	0	+3,070	No	+$6	03-08 04:41
will pierre yves bournazel win the paris mayor election	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$3	03-21 06:27
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	+$3	03-23 13:00
highest temperature in ankara on march 25 2026 15c	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$6	03-25 10:54
highest temperature in ankara on march 2 2026 12c	32	$2.6K	2,039	558	+1,481	Yes	+$3	03-02 16:53
will big ai be out as 1 free app in the us apple store by march 9	2	$2.4K	2,400	0	+2,400	Yes	+$2	03-11 17:01
highest temperature in chengdu on march 20 2026 18c	2	$2.2K	2,200	0	+2,200	No	+$6	03-20 05:05
elon musk of tweets january 24 january 26 115 139	7	$2.2K	1,100	1,100	+0	Yes	+$3	01-26 16:40
elon musk of tweets january 29 january 31 115 139	27	$2.1K	1,109	1,109	+0	Yes	+$12	01-31 15:51
highest temperature in shanghai on april 1 2026 18c	9	$2.1K	2,075	45	+2,030	No	+$15	04-01 05:01
will iran strike iraq in march	1	$2.0K	2,000	0	+2,000	Yes	+$12	03-07 15:28
will hamnet win exactly 1 award at the oscars	13	$1.9K	1,862	0	+1,862	Yes	+$2	03-16 02:45
bitcoin up or down on january 20	2	$1.8K	916	916	+0	Down	+$1	01-20 15:35
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	4	$1.8K	900	900	+0	No	+$0	02-14 02:40
highest temperature in ankara on march 19 2026 11c	6	$1.6K	1,000	571	+429	Yes	+$4	03-19 11:24
highest temperature in ankara on march 7 2026 9corhigher	6	$1.5K	750	750	+0	No	+$9	03-07 14:43
highest temperature in chengdu on march 26 2026 23c	13	$1.5K	1,363	501	+861	No	-$315	03-26 08:05
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 300 319	12	$1.2K	600	600	+0	No	+$4	02-06 16:26
will sentimental value win best international feature film at the 98th academy awards	22	$1.2K	1,167	0	+1,167	Yes	+$1	03-16 03:12
bitcoin up or down on february 11	19	$1.1K	849	849	+0	Down	-$22	02-11 15:32
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?	13	$1.1K	566	566	+0	Yes	+$12	01-23 17:28
Block Street FDV above $50M one day after launch?	5	$1.1K	1,116	0	+1,116	Yes	+$5	03-06 03:10
highest temperature in ankara on march 7 2026 2c	3	$1.1K	1,106	0	+1,106	No	+$1	03-07 06:31
highest temperature in ankara on march 14 2026 14c	1	$1.1K	1,100	0	+1,100	No	+$1	03-14 14:20
highest temperature in ankara on march 6 2026 11c	2	$1.1K	1,098	0	+1,098	No	+$4	03-06 14:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 06:46:28	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	114	97¢	$110	0xeebd47…
10-28 06:02:55	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xc9e95a…
10-28 06:02:55	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xa022b8…
10-28 06:01:49	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x47ff35…
10-28 05:54:19	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xae19d4…
10-28 05:54:13	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 18°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$0	0x8cf3ee…
10-28 05:51:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	114	82¢	$93	0x417162…
10-28 04:45:11	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	15	6¢	$1	0x611a1e…
10-28 04:45:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	3	6¢	$0	0x08e46a…
10-28 04:45:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0xeb9b67…
10-28 04:45:05	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x3a1cc3…
10-28 04:41:26	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	6¢	$0	0x89a225…
10-28 04:41:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	8	6¢	$0	0xd17b74…
10-28 04:32:53	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x65f1c4…
10-28 04:32:07	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0xf50895…
10-28 03:14:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x6f167b…
10-28 03:04:17	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	12	22¢	$3	0x0e3de3…
10-28 02:56:42	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	2	22¢	$1	0xafd06f…
10-28 02:53:12	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	4	22¢	$1	0xf99f31…
10-28 02:31:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xc51ed1…
10-28 01:53:59	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xd1256d…
10-28 01:53:59	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 15°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	17	13¢	$2	0x841525…
10-28 01:49:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x409787…
10-28 01:49:20	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	9	25¢	$2	0x3fbeae…
10-28 01:49:12	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	8	1¢	$0	0xf392f1…
10-28 01:49:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	61	1¢	$1	0xd1773a…
10-28 01:49:05	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	15	23¢	$4	0x794b64…
10-28 01:47:57	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	35	4¢	$1	0x5ca1f5…
10-27 14:26:17	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x5ac449…
10-27 13:55:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xcd6bea…
10-27 12:20:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	17	7¢	$1	0x8a872a…
10-27 12:01:21	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x91b4ef…
10-27 12:00:53	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C on October 27?	No	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0xde66d8…
10-27 10:31:26	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xcac1cd…
10-27 10:29:18	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	19	6¢	$1	0xb203ed…
10-27 10:27:39	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0xfc888d…
10-27 10:27:39	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	6¢	$1	0x42cafd…
10-27 10:27:06	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x6cacb3…
10-27 10:27:05	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	16	0¢	$0	0x278b38…
10-27 10:27:05	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x0fb2fd…
10-27 09:22:38	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	74	93¢	$68	0x2b9c99…
10-27 09:22:30	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	55	93¢	$51	0xdf8520…
10-27 08:52:15	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 30°C or higher on October 27?	Yes	BUY	16	5¢	$1	0x112d39…
10-27 08:50:53	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xe72e65…
10-27 08:29:26	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 27°C on October 27?	No	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x6de9a0…
10-27 08:19:35	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	37	1¢	$0	0xbe64bd…
10-27 08:17:30	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	10	17¢	$2	0xbffb80…
10-27 08:06:14	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0xea7e21…
10-27 08:00:53	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	51	1¢	$0	0x3636a6…
10-27 07:48:17	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x44edb7…
10-27 07:32:17	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x35a7d2…
10-27 07:14:17	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x8b11f9…
10-27 07:14:08	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x559cf1…
10-27 07:00:32	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	30	9¢	$3	0x20f54e…
10-27 06:57:05	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	3	7¢	$0	0x5788ec…
10-27 06:51:54	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0xc6bf03…
10-27 06:36:21	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x131042…
10-27 06:35:39	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xbe983e…
10-27 06:29:53	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x11404b…
10-27 06:29:51	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0xd094c3…
10-27 06:29:48	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x45d0f8…
10-27 06:29:47	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	14	25¢	$3	0xca0b6a…
10-27 06:29:47	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x4e7802…
10-27 06:03:17	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0xe46a17…
10-27 06:02:29	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	30	4¢	$1	0x43f3af…
10-27 05:53:42	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	13	26¢	$3	0xec527d…
10-27 05:51:59	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 15°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xa98e69…
10-27 05:50:50	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 27?	No	SELL	40	6¢	$2	0x8acf5f…
10-27 05:22:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	1	7¢	$0	0x233aa0…
10-27 05:15:42	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	7	7¢	$0	0x8a5c76…
10-27 05:15:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	12	7¢	$1	0x684dec…
10-27 04:57:12	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	27	1¢	$0	0x80eed0…
10-27 04:56:36	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	33	4¢	$1	0x357894…
10-27 04:54:44	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	38	3¢	$1	0xe1a13c…
10-27 04:50:45	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 27?	No	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0xa7287d…
10-27 04:49:29	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	60	1¢	$1	0x55e18c…
10-27 04:44:02	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	10	15¢	$2	0x884b06…
10-27 04:39:23	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0xe2c421…
10-27 04:39:23	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0x269e65…
10-27 04:38:06	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 19°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	1	6¢	$0	0xe6b1a0…
10-27 04:30:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 18°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	27	6¢	$2	0x8737b7…
10-27 04:29:33	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 27?	No	SELL	32	99¢	$31	0xb4be01…
10-27 04:29:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on October 27?	No	BUY	32	75¢	$24	0xa8a019…
10-27 04:26:18	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	36	7¢	$2	0x4f0e3d…
10-27 04:22:20	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	0	15¢	$0	0x8747a7…
10-27 04:21:59	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xab5bee…
10-27 04:19:15	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	27	1¢	$0	0xbce5f4…
10-27 04:19:08	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 27?	No	SELL	20	23¢	$5	0x3451e6…
10-27 04:13:26	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xffc34d…
10-27 04:12:30	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0xe3434a…
10-27 04:10:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	35	4¢	$1	0x61ea32…
10-27 04:10:42	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 14°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$1	0x798d43…
10-27 04:08:24	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	15	21¢	$3	0x302110…
10-27 03:40:29	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x6ad3ba…
10-27 03:25:17	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 21°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xd152b2…
10-27 03:25:12	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 19°C on October 27?	No	BUY	20	32¢	$6	0x1b665f…
10-27 03:19:18	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	85	4¢	$3	0x474fb4…
10-27 03:18:56	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on October 27?	Yes	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0xd4d98e…
10-27 03:10:41	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 17°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	35	5¢	$2	0xdb1e29…
10-27 03:09:59	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	72	0¢	$0	0xd9e43d…