Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
84.2%
Resolved
8
Trades
2,140
lifetime
Volume
$1.98K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$18
18 positions
First seen
2026-02-23
last 07-23 18:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
92% 100% +$0
Politics
5% 0% $-1
Sports
2% 0% $-1
Crypto
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
65 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 86¢ $2 +$0 06-01 03:21
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 06-08 19:36
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -2 $-1 70¢ $-1 +$0 06-20 14:23
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +1 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 06-14 15:29
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 06-23 22:32
Obama arrested before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 06-23 17:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 07-09 15:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +2 $1 52¢ $1 +$0 07-19 07:28
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 07-09 02:58
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 07-09 01:17
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes +2 $1 50¢ $1 +$0 07-06 03:55
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 $-0 06-29 22:55
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 90¢ $1 $-0 06-30 17:54
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No -1 $-1 89¢ $-1 +$0 07-16 12:43
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 07-21 02:56
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -0 $-0 98¢ $-0 $-0 07-07 14:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -0 $-0 99¢ $-0 $-0 07-23 18:54
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -0 $-0 57¢ $-0 +$0 07-23 13:39