Realized P&L
+$8
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
88.7%
Resolved
1,862
Trades
2,561
lifetime
Volume
$2.29K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$23
25 positions
First seen
2026-02-23
last 08-29 11:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 158 days
Categories
Other
92% 89% +$5
Politics
5% 84% -$3
Sports
2% 80% +$6
Crypto
1% 75% +$0
Tech
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
14 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +2 $1 88¢ $2 +$1 07-29 21:41
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 94¢ $2 +$1 06-01 03:21
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +2 $1 98¢ $2 +$0 06-01 06:58
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 08-08 19:48
Trump out as President before 2027? No -1 -$1 97¢ $-1 $0 04-30 09:19
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -1 -$1 84¢ $-1 $0 04-29 03:47
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191 No +1 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 08-12 23:29
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 06-14 15:29
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 08-02 18:52
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 06-23 22:32
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 08-01 17:30
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 07-09 01:17
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 07-09 02:58
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -1 -$1 94¢ $-1 $0 05-03 07:20
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 08-06 22:40
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes +2 $1 42¢ $1 $0 05-02 19:18
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 08-29 11:37
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 08-02 18:44
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 08-08 19:42
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +1 $0 84¢ $0 +$0 08-12 02:57
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -0 $0 80¢ $-0 $0 07-27 19:20
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -0 $0 98¢ $-0 $0 07-07 14:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +2 $1 12¢ $0 -$1 07-19 07:28
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No -0 $0 97¢ $-0 $0 08-06 08:35
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -0 $0 99¢ $-0 $0 04-29 11:21