Realized P&L
-$2
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
84.2%
Resolved
8
Trades
2,068
lifetime
Volume
$1.96K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$15
13 positions
First seen
2026-02-23
last 07-02 16:50
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Other
93% 100% +$0
Politics
5% 0% $-1
Sports
2% 0% $-1
Crypto
1%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 45 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -2 $-2 100¢ $-2 $-0 06-23 15:33
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 84¢ $2 +$0 06-01 03:21
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -2 $-1 86¢ $-1 $-0 06-20 14:23
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 +$0 07-01 13:53
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 06-14 15:29
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 06-23 22:32
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 06-30 17:54
Obama arrested before 2027? No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 06-23 17:24
China x Philippines military clash before 2027? No +1 $1 86¢ $1 +$0 06-23 23:47
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 07-01 02:08
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 $-0 06-08 19:36
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 $-0 06-29 22:55
Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31? No -1 $-1 89¢ $-1 +$0 06-21 08:29