Instructive-Computer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

84.2%

Resolved

Trades

2,197

lifetime

Volume

$2.00K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-23

last 08-12 23:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

92% 100% +$0

Politics

5% 0% $-1

Sports

2% 0% $-1

Crypto

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

65 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	19	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	03-01 18:36
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	11	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	03-31 19:57
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	4	$4	2	2	+0	No	+$0	04-16 12:23
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$4	1	3	-2	open	—	06-23 15:33
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	3	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	07-01 13:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	8	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	06-15 04:33
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	8	$3	2	1	+1	open	—	02-28 07:16
Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	18	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-02 21:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	30	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	05-31 10:07
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	4	$3	2	1	+2	open	—	03-31 19:59
highest temperature in london on april 24 2026 17c	2	$3	2	1	+0	open	—	04-24 14:53
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-24 14:05
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	18	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	07-14 04:50
highest temperature in nyc on february 27 2026 39forbelow	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	02-27 17:46
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	11	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-26 19:25
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	4	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-06 00:14
highest temperature in atlanta on march 18 2026 52 53f	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-18 22:02
us iran nuclear deal by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-04 17:23
highest temperature in buenos aires on march 16 2026 29c	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-16 14:49
highest temperature in lucknow on march 8 2026 35corbelow	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-08 18:02
highest temperature in atlanta on march 5 2026 82forhigher	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-06 07:36
will michigan win the 2026 ncaa tournament	6	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	04-05 17:32
highest temperature in warsaw on march 22 2026 7c	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-22 10:38
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	7	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-04 17:28
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	3	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-23 06:34
kharg island no longer under iranian control by march 31	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-27 05:12
highest temperature in wellington on march 18 2026 15c	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-17 11:45
highest temperature in wellington on march 20 2026 14c	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-19 12:29
highest temperature in lucknow on march 16 2026 36c	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-16 21:27
highest temperature in sao paulo on march 14 2026 24corbelow	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	03-14 15:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-12 23:29:27	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x867b6a…
08-12 23:28:21	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x1442fa…
08-12 02:57:51	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x7dce51…
08-10 00:10:51	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xb93e20…
08-09 23:23:18	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x011baf…
08-09 23:22:57	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xca6308…
08-09 17:28:22	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0xf4e095…
08-08 19:48:33	gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd3635c…
08-06 22:40:51	US takes Panama Canal before 2027?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x01aa4c…
08-06 08:35:08	Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0xbb30c0…
08-05 18:23:12	US takes Panama Canal before 2027?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x44ea0a…
08-05 16:38:00	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	0	98¢	$0	0x8af2e6…
08-05 12:58:48	US takes Panama Canal before 2027?	No	SELL	0	96¢	$0	0x92915e…
08-04 16:56:45	US takes Panama Canal before 2027?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xaf9ba0…
08-04 14:43:51	US takes Panama Canal before 2027?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0x0ed1a0…
08-02 18:52:15	Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x82af0d…
08-02 18:44:09	Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0x999058…
08-01 17:30:03	Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xcb14a1…
08-01 06:46:44	ufc oba mic37 2026 08 01	Michael Oliveira	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x1b870a…
08-01 06:39:42	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0xc73f55…
08-01 06:38:00	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x297edd…
08-01 06:04:35	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x033720…
07-31 03:09:24	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb52e6d…
07-29 22:03:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x629763…
07-29 21:41:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x98a481…
07-29 20:37:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x20b1f1…
07-29 20:35:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xa6bc3d…
07-29 17:16:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xc88515…
07-29 16:48:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x8f5ec0…
07-29 16:48:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x340c3f…
07-29 15:54:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x7cdfb0…
07-29 15:51:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x73a317…
07-29 15:51:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x019f2c…
07-29 13:43:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xd20e62…
07-29 12:25:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x950740…
07-29 10:34:39	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x908052…
07-28 21:35:19	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x8020be…
07-28 21:35:17	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb560f5…
07-28 21:21:11	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x07495b…
07-28 21:20:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x47b90c…
07-28 21:19:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x778d56…
07-28 21:12:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x120d7e…
07-28 20:54:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x7083b6…
07-28 20:09:44	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xda4f09…
07-28 16:20:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xea5ddb…
07-28 16:20:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x4226a6…
07-28 16:19:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xfd7ba4…
07-28 16:19:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x21b6bd…
07-27 21:55:34	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x69c39b…
07-27 19:20:37	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0x084490…
07-27 18:17:09	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x436b5d…
07-27 06:13:48	Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x8ab156…
07-27 03:44:33	will base launch a token by september 30 2026	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbc1396…
07-24 18:34:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x5c1140…
07-24 18:18:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x675e8d…
07-24 16:21:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x3bf3d7…
07-24 16:20:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xaa83ac…
07-23 18:54:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x6e99a3…
07-23 13:39:01	Netanyahu out by end of 2026?	No	SELL	0	58¢	$0	0xfc81c4…
07-21 02:56:15	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	0	93¢	$0	0xcf6371…
07-21 02:22:37	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	0	92¢	$0	0x572e8a…
07-20 16:17:46	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	0	88¢	$0	0xc71f80…
07-20 16:05:24	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x8d7c91…
07-20 15:59:31	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0x225987…
07-20 15:59:21	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	0	36¢	$0	0x231425…
07-19 07:28:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd4765a…
07-16 12:43:52	Will a Chinese company have the best AI model by December 31?	No	SELL	1	90¢	$1	0x177e5f…
07-14 04:50:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xcac66b…
07-14 04:50:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xc7ec63…
07-14 04:50:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x4da58e…
07-14 04:47:47	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x7e4ffc…
07-13 23:14:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xbd9edd…
07-13 23:14:28	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x1eabd7…
07-13 20:55:50	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x71d001…
07-13 20:35:14	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xffe78a…
07-13 20:34:10	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xa69ce9…
07-13 16:19:01	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x08ee39…
07-13 16:17:41	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x1259f1…
07-13 14:39:13	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x02231d…
07-13 00:29:44	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x579cd5…
07-13 00:29:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xac13aa…
07-13 00:29:43	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x6cffc4…
07-12 07:36:46	us iran final nuclear deal by august 31 2026 20260621201255154	No	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xdc80fc…
07-12 03:51:02	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x9714bf…
07-12 03:50:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xc5dfcf…
07-11 17:33:43	ufc zac5 rya18 2026 07 11	Zachary Reese	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xbcfb65…
07-11 17:11:16	ufc rob1 nik2 2026 07 11	Robert Whittaker	SELL	1	54¢	$1	0xf55c71…
07-11 17:07:56	ufc rob1 nik2 2026 07 11	Robert Whittaker	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x2fcaf4…
07-11 17:01:02	ufc rob1 nik2 2026 07 11	Robert Whittaker	SELL	1	53¢	$0	0x01d9ef…
07-10 18:54:49	ufc rob1 nik2 2026 07 11	Robert Whittaker	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0xd9ac1b…
07-10 18:31:32	ufc rob1 nik2 2026 07 11	Robert Whittaker	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x5ed832…
07-10 16:54:53	ufc rob1 nik2 2026 07 11	Robert Whittaker	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x39393e…
07-10 15:21:08	ufc rob1 nik2 2026 07 11	Robert Whittaker	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xe5fc1e…
07-10 15:15:35	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8b233d…
07-10 14:40:14	ufc rob1 nik2 2026 07 11	Robert Whittaker	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x4e9840…
07-10 14:13:55	ufc rob1 nik2 2026 07 11	Robert Whittaker	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0xe4e61c…
07-10 13:57:44	ufc rob1 nik2 2026 07 11	Robert Whittaker	SELL	0	53¢	$0	0x3d862b…
07-10 10:00:13	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	0	97¢	$0	0xf8e39f…
07-10 02:59:08	ufc rob1 nik2 2026 07 11	Robert Whittaker	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x456cd5…
07-09 23:04:50	ufc kai2 luk12 2026 07 11	Luke Riley	BUY	2	72¢	$1	0x451e6c…