Realized P&L (90d)
-$0
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
80.7%
Resolved (90d)
17
Trades (90d)
18
2,561 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$7
$2.29K lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$24
26 positions
First seen
2026-02-23
last 08-29 11:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 160 days
Categories
Other
92% 89% +$5
Politics
5% 84% -$1
Sports
2% 80% +$6
Crypto
1% 75% +$0
Tech
0% 0% $0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +2 $1 90¢ $2 +$1 07-29 21:41
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +2 $1 96¢ $2 +$1 06-01 03:21
gianni infantino out as fifa president by december 31 20260706195547871 No +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 08-08 19:48
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -1 -$1 90¢ $-1 $0 04-29 03:47
Trump out as President before 2027? No -1 -$1 98¢ $-1 $0 04-30 09:19
us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026 191 No +1 $1 88¢ $1 +$0 08-12 23:29
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-14 15:29
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-23 22:32
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 08-01 17:30
Will Nebius Group be acquired before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 08-02 18:52
Obama arrested before 2027? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-23 17:24
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 07-09 01:17
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 07-09 02:58
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 06-29 22:55
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No -1 -$1 95¢ $-1 $0 05-03 07:20
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 08-06 22:40
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 08-29 11:37
Delcy Rodríguez out as leader of Venezuela by December 31, 2026? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 08-02 18:44
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes +1 $1 96¢ $1 +$0 08-08 19:42
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +1 $0 96¢ $1 +$0 08-12 02:57
will base launch a token by june 30 2027 Yes +2 $1 16¢ $0 -$1 08-01 06:39
Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026? No -0 $0 99¢ $-0 $0 07-07 14:58
Netanyahu out by end of 2026? No -0 $0 50¢ $-0 +$0 07-27 19:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +2 $1 10¢ $0 -$1 07-19 07:28
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? No -0 $0 98¢ $-0 $0 08-06 08:35
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No -0 $0 99¢ $-0 $0 04-29 11:21