Quizzical-Satin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$176

Unrealized P&L

+$20

Hit rate

34.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.74K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$41

Open exposure

$290

6 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 06-12 21:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

71% 100% +$4

Crypto

20% — —

Sports

6% 0% $-180

Politics

3% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 27 trades/day

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	+100	$99	100¢	$100	+$1	06-08 00:09
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	No	+100	$99	99¢	$99	+$0	06-08 11:40
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?	No	+37	$13	92¢	$34	+$21	06-03 16:06
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	+30	$29	97¢	$29	+$0	06-08 12:54
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?	No	+31	$29	88¢	$27	$-2	06-12 21:55
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	+100	$1	0¢	$0	$-1	06-08 03:57

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	9	$1.1K	527	650	-123	open	—	05-23 22:48
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	6	$507	1,034	0	+1,034	open	—	03-05 19:17
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 700k 862	1	$264	303	0	+303	open	—	02-07 05:16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$244	249	0	+249	open	—	04-07 10:00
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$180	500	0	+500	No	$-180	02-25 20:03
jang dong hyeok out as people power party leader by march 31 2026	4	$167	186	0	+186	open	—	02-22 03:36
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$133	500	30	+470	open	—	01-06 00:56
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	2	$108	600	0	+600	open	—	03-10 03:42
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$100	103	0	+103	open	—	01-21 03:00
bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	01-20 07:22
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	23	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	06-08 11:40
Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	3	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	06-08 00:09
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$96	100	0	+100	Yes	+$4	04-01 19:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$66	66	0	+66	open	—	05-15 00:32
no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$63	64	0	+64	open	—	01-21 01:49
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$58	180	0	+180	open	—	01-01 06:10
MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	1	$53	54	0	+54	open	—	05-15 00:32
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	1	$51	51	0	+51	open	—	05-23 22:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	3	$48	15	45	-30	open	—	05-23 22:17
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	1	$46	115	0	+115	open	—	01-01 08:40
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	3	$29	30	0	+30	open	—	06-08 12:54
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?	4	$29	31	0	+31	open	—	06-12 21:55
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	1	$24	100	0	+100	open	—	05-15 07:33
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	3	$20	1,200	17	+1,183	open	—	01-21 01:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1	$14	76	0	+76	open	—	03-31 19:33
Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?	2	$13	37	0	+37	open	—	06-03 16:06
ufc oba jon21 2026 01 31	1	$11	24	0	+24	open	—	01-31 23:38
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	1	$10	740	0	+740	open	—	03-31 19:33
ufc sea2 ant 2026 02 21	1	$9	13	0	+13	open	—	02-22 03:36
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)	1	$8	20	0	+20	open	—	05-15 02:15

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 21:55:03	US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?	No	BUY	17	93¢	$16	0x283c9a…
06-12 11:23:12	US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6ba9e9…
06-12 03:53:55	US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x14e0e3…
06-08 12:54:34	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	25	97¢	$24	0xddf4d8…
06-08 11:58:25	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$4	0xc0211b…
06-08 11:40:13	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0x37c2b1…
06-08 11:27:58	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6b05a7…
06-08 11:14:46	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xd855b7…
06-08 10:42:25	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x8e10fb…
06-08 10:37:09	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x9eb7f8…
06-08 09:41:34	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xb8b2db…
06-08 08:23:45	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5dffd3…
06-08 07:56:55	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xe17834…
06-08 07:55:34	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf23b1c…
06-08 07:43:00	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x09fffb…
06-08 07:39:42	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xf9bdb7…
06-08 06:05:51	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x06b575…
06-08 05:49:55	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3aacab…
06-08 05:43:48	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x26ee6a…
06-08 05:42:37	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0xa3dbd2…
06-08 04:55:37	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9c16b7…
06-08 04:46:10	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x59cc58…
06-08 03:57:42	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x6c018e…
06-08 03:53:52	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x06dfa6…
06-08 02:24:54	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0xab2e7c…
06-08 01:46:31	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0x5fd853…
06-08 01:14:16	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe7f0c4…
06-08 01:12:24	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6bac24…
06-08 00:32:52	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdd4bfa…
06-08 00:09:45	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	BUY	90	99¢	$89	0x54e694…
06-07 23:36:18	Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xdf60dc…
06-07 23:15:49	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	BUY	0	99¢	$0	0x97d186…
06-07 23:00:42	Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6d9c2c…
06-07 22:42:40	US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?	No	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x5cf1de…
06-07 22:39:18	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0xd31e2a…
06-03 16:06:22	Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0x70c93f…
06-03 15:24:21	Jang Dong-hyeok out as PPP Leader by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x87b6fa…
05-23 22:48:03	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	SELL	325	89¢	$289	0xd0f62e…
05-23 22:43:44	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	SELL	325	91¢	$296	0x0ade2e…
05-23 22:35:22	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0x378162…
05-23 22:35:20	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	28	87¢	$24	0x39dfbb…
05-23 22:35:17	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	164	87¢	$143	0xa8bb4d…
05-23 22:31:21	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x7c78dc…
05-23 22:31:17	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0x889e8a…
05-23 22:17:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	35	80¢	$28	0x488b2d…
05-23 22:16:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0x70e65f…
05-23 22:15:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0x586230…
05-23 22:14:55	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$51	0x08c478…
05-23 22:14:22	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	127	94¢	$120	0x2820df…
05-23 20:15:06	Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoeven	Usyk	BUY	100	93¢	$93	0x14ad6d…
05-15 07:33:43	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0x435ad2…
05-15 02:15:34	UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)	Dooho Choi	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0xa292a5…
05-15 00:32:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	66	100¢	$66	0x8243b9…
05-15 00:32:02	MicroStrategy announces >1000 BTC purchase May 12-18?	Yes	BUY	54	98¢	$53	0x394e92…
04-07 10:00:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	249	98¢	$244	0x60576f…
04-01 19:18:07	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x151ae0…
03-31 19:33:37	Will the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	740	1¢	$10	0x2aacb4…
03-31 19:33:03	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	76	19¢	$14	0xa93d4b…
03-10 03:42:19	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	590	18¢	$106	0xde41a1…
03-10 03:41:51	Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	18¢	$2	0xe9b369…
03-05 19:17:21	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	885	49¢	$434	0x23d2c0…
03-05 18:37:51	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x426620…
03-05 18:29:03	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x51b361…
03-05 18:24:31	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x63f09d…
03-05 18:20:11	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	98	49¢	$48	0x2f9a60…
03-05 18:10:39	Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	34	49¢	$17	0x64afad…
02-25 20:03:50	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	495	36¢	$178	0x483e02…
02-25 19:57:14	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x255a80…
02-22 05:38:58	the ring high stakes ryan garcia vs mario barrios	Barrios	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x495c56…
02-22 03:36:42	ufc sea2 ant 2026 02 21	Hernandez	BUY	13	71¢	$9	0x7fa1dc…
02-22 03:36:00	jang dong hyeok out as people power party leader by march 31 2026	No	BUY	53	93¢	$50	0x7aa7ce…
02-12 00:24:07	jang dong hyeok out as people power party leader by march 31 2026	No	BUY	40	89¢	$36	0x3ad114…
02-07 05:16:33	will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 700k 862	Yes	BUY	303	87¢	$264	0xa9b974…
02-01 00:09:16	boxing lopez vs stevenson	Lopez	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x1935ae…
02-01 00:03:08	boxing lopez vs stevenson	Lopez	BUY	1	27¢	$0	0xe4090b…
01-31 23:41:12	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x830d97…
01-31 23:38:58	ufc oba jon21 2026 01 31	Elliott	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0x4f6f18…
01-31 23:38:04	jang dong hyeok out as people power party leader by march 31 2026	No	BUY	37	87¢	$32	0x484a43…
01-22 15:05:36	jang dong hyeok out as people power party leader by march 31 2026	No	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x860ca7…
01-21 03:00:48	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xd766a5…
01-21 01:49:30	no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	64	99¢	$63	0x64ed03…
01-21 01:47:22	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	No	SELL	17	3¢	$0	0x9bf69f…
01-20 07:33:42	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	No	BUY	600	2¢	$10	0x81e039…
01-20 07:22:08	bank of japan decreases interest rates after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfa5c41…
01-20 07:20:52	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	No	BUY	600	2¢	$10	0x08e2f7…
01-06 00:56:05	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	500	22¢	$110	0x3eb69e…
01-06 00:54:55	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	No	SELL	30	78¢	$23	0xb721e6…
01-02 13:39:47	will aztec launch a token by march 31 2026	No	BUY	30	7¢	$2	0x097054…
01-01 12:45:21	EdgeX FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0x83a816…
01-01 12:45:05	will edgex launch a token in 2025	No	BUY	528	0¢	$1	0x45a866…
01-01 08:40:31	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	115	40¢	$46	0x0aef6f…
01-01 06:10:37	Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	Yes	BUY	180	32¢	$58	0xc6e8ff…