Realized P&L
-$13
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
73.8%
Resolved
21
Trades
1,804
lifetime
Volume
$1.80K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$105
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-01
last 07-17 04:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Sports
47% 42% $-10
Other
27% 83% +$0
Politics
17% 100% +$0
Crypto
8% 0% $-3
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
59 active days in 12wk • peak 31 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Trump out as President before GTA VI? No -39 $-19 50¢ $-19 $-0 07-07 09:32
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes -7 $-3 92¢ $-7 $-3 06-25 23:20
Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-6 66¢ $-7 $-1 06-01 14:24
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -9 $-3 70¢ $-6 $-3 05-31 19:42
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? Yes +6 $1 88¢ $5 +$4 06-08 17:28
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? No -11 $-3 44¢ $-5 $-1 06-21 12:10
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +5 $4 82¢ $4 +$0 07-09 15:42
Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027? Yes +12 $6 32¢ $4 $-2 06-16 09:55
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -8 $-3 46¢ $-3 $-0 05-29 17:04
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? Yes -6 $-3 50¢ $-3 $-0 07-07 09:35
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -6 $-3 44¢ $-3 +$1 05-28 04:35
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-4 24¢ $-2 +$1 06-06 15:13
Anthropic IPO before 2027? No -7 $-2 34¢ $-2 $-1 07-07 09:34
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes -7 $-2 34¢ $-2 $-0 07-07 09:35
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-4 22¢ $-2 +$1 06-15 14:18
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027? Yes -18 $-2 12¢ $-2 $-1 07-07 09:33
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes -7 $-3 30¢ $-2 +$1 05-30 19:51
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? No -6 $-2 38¢ $-2 $-0 06-13 07:15
StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -12 $-2 18¢ $-2 $-0 07-07 09:34
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes -6 $-2 34¢ $-2 $-0 07-07 09:35
Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027? Yes -28 $-2 $-2 +$0 07-07 09:33
Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027? Yes -27 $-2 $-2 $-0 07-07 09:33
Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $3 26¢ $2 $-1 06-26 06:55
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? No +11 $3 18¢ $2 $-1 06-12 13:01
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $3 22¢ $2 $-1 06-20 22:45
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-1 38¢ $-2 $-1 06-02 20:23
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes -25 $-1 $-2 $-0 07-07 09:33
Will Donald Trump visit Wyoming in 2026? Yes +9 $3 20¢ $2 $-1 06-14 01:03
Remote IPO before 2027? Yes -11 $-2 17¢ $-2 $-0 07-07 09:34
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027? Yes +12 $3 16¢ $2 $-1 06-16 16:02