(anonymous) 0x8bf225…a40d85 Create alert
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Realized P&L
-$38
Unrealized P&L
+$15
Hit rate
65.0%
Resolved
342
Trades
2,639
lifetime
Volume
$3.30K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$51
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-01
last 08-10 17:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 119 days
Categories
Other
37% 55% $0
Sports
27% 51% -$35
Politics
26% 57% -$7
Crypto
8% 78% -$1
Tech
2% 50% +$5
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-08-10).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No -12 -$5 76¢ $-9 -$4 05-07 08:55
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -9 -$3 90¢ $-8 -$4 05-31 19:42
Discord IPO before 2027? No -7 -$3 97¢ $-7 -$4 05-08 09:16
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by December 31? No -7 -$3 92¢ $-6 -$3 05-02 01:23
Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027? Yes -10 -$2 24¢ $-2 $0 07-24 10:10
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -17 -$3 12¢ $-2 +$1 05-09 07:11
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? Yes -16 -$4 12¢ $-2 +$2 05-27 19:14
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -125 -$1 1¢ $-2 -$1 07-24 10:07
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -169 -$1 1¢ $-1 $0 07-07 10:02
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? Yes -16 -$3 9¢ $-1 +$2 05-09 21:26
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes -14 -$4 7¢ $-1 +$3 06-09 23:37
U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027? Yes -9 -$2 10¢ $-1 +$1 05-02 16:22
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes -13 -$1 6¢ $-1 +$0 07-24 10:09
Will Oman join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -19 -$3 4¢ $-1 +$3 05-25 14:57
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -8 -$2 10¢ $-1 +$2 07-24 10:10
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -14 -$3 5¢ $-1 +$3 05-29 04:21
Will Trump sell 101-1k Gold Cards in 2026? Yes -16 -$1 4¢ $-1 +$1 07-24 10:09
Will Kuwait join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -14 -$3 4¢ $-1 +$3 05-27 17:29
Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes -12 -$1 4¢ $-1 +$0 07-24 10:10
NATO article 5 before 2027? Yes -19 -$3 3¢ $-1 +$2 05-15 18:22
Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice? Yes -11 -$1 5¢ $-1 +$0 07-24 10:09
Will Belgium recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes -7 -$2 8¢ $-1 +$2 05-21 03:25
Xi Jinping out before 2027? Yes -24 -$2 2¢ $-0 +$1 07-24 10:09
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027? Yes -10 $0 4¢ $-0 +$0 07-24 10:09
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? Yes -11 -$1 4¢ $-0 +$1 05-10 10:32
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -55 -$1 1¢ $-0 +$0 07-24 10:08
Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027? Yes -7 -$1 6¢ $-0 +$1 07-07 09:34
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -8 -$1 4¢ $-0 +$1 07-24 10:10
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea before 2027? Yes -11 -$2 3¢ $-0 +$2 05-09 14:20
Rippling IPO before 2027? Yes -9 -$1 4¢ $-0 +$1 05-12 19:11