Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.8%

Resolved

Trades

1,853

lifetime

Volume

$1.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 07-24 10:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 11 days

Categories

Sports

46% 42% $-10

Other

28% 83% +$0

Politics

17% 100% +$0

Crypto

8% 0% $-3

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

52 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	66	$115	121	121	+0	Yes	+$0	04-13 09:23
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	23	$60	74	74	+0	open	—	04-13 18:39
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	23	$39	87	69	+18	open	—	04-09 00:28
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	32	$32	102	90	+12	open	—	04-12 07:19
Will the New York Knicks win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	20	$27	117	58	+58	open	—	04-21 02:30
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	23	$26	113	79	+33	open	—	03-07 00:30
Will the Detroit Pistons win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	22	$26	73	73	+0	open	—	04-10 01:36
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	25	$25	97	97	+0	open	—	03-19 02:25
Will Leeds be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?	28	$25	125	97	+28	open	—	04-12 08:44
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	20	$23	75	75	+0	No	$-0	03-03 13:48
Will Liverpool finish in 3rd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	21	$22	72	71	+1	open	—	04-18 12:40
Will the Denver Nuggets win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	22	$22	82	70	+12	open	—	04-19 05:03
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	17	$20	53	53	+0	open	—	03-09 06:21
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	16	$20	56	56	+0	open	—	03-06 16:41
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	17	$20	60	60	+0	open	—	04-10 21:54
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	15	$20	49	49	+0	open	—	03-31 04:42
Trump out as President before GTA VI?	1	$19	0	39	-39	open	—	07-07 09:32
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?	7	$18	27	27	+0	open	—	07-07 09:34
Will Trump endorse Ken Paxton for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET?	11	$17	32	32	+0	open	—	04-18 04:26
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	22	$17	59	75	-16	No	+$2	03-06 21:33
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	17	$16	74	74	+0	open	—	03-28 02:36
Will Tulsi Gabbard leave the Trump administration before 2027?	7	$14	20	20	+0	open	—	04-25 09:48
Will Wolves finish in last place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?	14	$14	50	35	+15	open	—	03-03 09:41
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	4	$13	15	15	+0	open	—	07-24 10:10
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?	10	$13	31	31	+0	open	—	02-27 12:38
Will Real Betis win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	18	$12	60	60	+0	open	—	03-25 21:10
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	8	$12	20	20	+0	open	—	07-02 17:24
Will Trump endorse Steve Hilton in CA-Gov for Nov 2 2026 ET?	6	$12	40	12	+28	open	—	04-11 10:05
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	7	$12	21	21	+0	Yes	+$0	03-30 21:36
Will Harry Kane be the 2025/2026 top UCL goal scorer?	8	$12	31	31	+0	No	+$1	04-01 18:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-24 10:11:04	Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	2¢	$0	0xb2e9b4…
07-24 10:10:55	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0x8873a6…
07-24 10:10:22	Will Austria recognize Palestine before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x32f1f9…
07-24 10:10:19	Will XRP dip to $1.00 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	16¢	$1	0x9d76ca…
07-24 10:10:19	Will Chainlink reach $18 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	11¢	$1	0x7df855…
07-24 10:10:18	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0x242a2a…
07-24 10:10:16	Cap on gambling loss deductions repealed before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	15¢	$1	0x3df457…
07-24 10:10:16	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	10¢	$1	0x239736…
07-24 10:10:12	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	7¢	$0	0xf2bed1…
07-24 10:10:10	Will Dogecoin reach $0.16 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0x1a73a8…
07-24 10:10:09	Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	20¢	$2	0x162a2d…
07-24 10:10:07	Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	11¢	$1	0x0e1bce…
07-24 10:10:04	Will Donald Trump visit Saudi Arabia in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	21¢	$2	0xea0a15…
07-24 10:10:03	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0xf69e4f…
07-24 10:10:01	Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	4¢	$0	0x5e2139…
07-24 10:10:01	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x338dc7…
07-24 10:10:00	Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x95c500…
07-24 10:10:00	US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x510979…
07-24 10:10:00	Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	14¢	$1	0x2d32a8…
07-24 10:09:58	Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	22¢	$2	0xf8a034…
07-24 10:09:55	Will Trump cut corporate taxes before 2027?	Yes	SELL	9	5¢	$0	0xab8bdd…
07-24 10:09:54	Will Donald Trump visit Wyoming in 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	12¢	$1	0x9bf098…
07-24 10:09:51	Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x020d7c…
07-24 10:09:49	Will Ventuals launch a token by September 30 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x394c9a…
07-24 10:09:48	Kraken IPO closing market cap above $18B?	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x6e011b…
07-24 10:09:46	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Canada" before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x984e9a…
07-24 10:09:43	Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x951ebb…
07-24 10:09:43	Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0x64ea3a…
07-24 10:09:42	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	11	15¢	$2	0x218c3f…
07-24 10:09:40	Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0x9265f5…
07-24 10:09:40	Will New Zealand recognize Palestine before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	10¢	$1	0x778e8a…
07-24 10:09:39	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	SELL	11	7¢	$1	0x6fadb3…
07-24 10:09:37	Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	6¢	$1	0xcd84b9…
07-24 10:09:37	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Mexico" before 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0xabe591…
07-24 10:09:36	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	10¢	$1	0x88ef6f…
07-24 10:09:36	Anthropic acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x7271b5…
07-24 10:09:34	Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	6¢	$1	0xff515e…
07-24 10:09:31	Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0xc9f467…
07-24 10:09:30	Joseph Aoun out as President of Lebanon by December 31?	Yes	SELL	12	5¢	$1	0xa6f624…
07-24 10:09:30	Obama arrested before 2027?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0x48dd34…
07-24 10:09:24	OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027?	Yes	SELL	13	9¢	$1	0xf43747…
07-24 10:09:18	Anduril IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	14	6¢	$1	0x80a34b…
07-24 10:09:07	US national Ethereum reserve before 2027?	Yes	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0xd76ae3…
07-24 10:09:07	Obama federally charged before 2027?	Yes	SELL	17	4¢	$1	0x2299d6…
07-24 10:09:00	Xi Jinping out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	18	5¢	$1	0x8fa36e…
07-24 10:08:55	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	4¢	$1	0xf8e5e1…
07-24 10:08:54	Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	6¢	$1	0xa8573e…
07-24 10:08:48	Will Mamdani pass the 2% Millionaire Tax before 2027?	Yes	SELL	23	5¢	$1	0x31d238…
07-24 10:08:33	Will Tarcisio de Frietas qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	SELL	31	1¢	$0	0x9bb347…
07-17 04:04:43	Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	3¢	$0	0xf04e8b…
07-17 03:04:49	Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0xf2588c…
07-17 02:01:49	Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	3¢	$0	0x7c6bec…
07-13 22:26:40	Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0xfeeeea…
07-11 10:38:10	Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027?	Yes	SELL	1	28¢	$0	0xaa1fe4…
07-09 15:42:53	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x175ef9…
07-07 09:35:26	Will XRP dip to $0.60 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	46¢	$1	0x00a077…
07-07 09:35:13	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	31¢	$2	0x6a13df…
07-07 09:35:11	Will Mamdani raise the minimum wage to $30 before 2027?	Yes	SELL	6	10¢	$1	0x0d410a…
07-07 09:35:10	Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	14¢	$1	0x8b2003…
07-07 09:35:08	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	32¢	$2	0xfca7f4…
07-07 09:35:08	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x235ab4…
07-07 09:35:04	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0xb82edf…
07-07 09:34:55	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	7	24¢	$2	0x1db1e1…
07-07 09:34:50	Hyperbeat FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	7	23¢	$2	0x9cfa9e…
07-07 09:34:49	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	30¢	$2	0xbccebb…
07-07 09:34:49	Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0x3effef…
07-07 09:34:47	Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027?	Yes	SELL	8	29¢	$2	0xbcd6dd…
07-07 09:34:41	Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0010 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	38¢	$3	0x165613…
07-07 09:34:38	Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	31¢	$3	0xd6e277…
07-07 09:34:37	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9	23¢	$2	0x73ef62…
07-07 09:34:32	Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B?	Yes	SELL	9	19¢	$2	0x5c7c60…
07-07 09:34:29	AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026?	No	SELL	9	30¢	$3	0x10f388…
07-07 09:34:26	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0xaad8b9…
07-07 09:34:17	Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?	No	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0xf2b8b9…
07-07 09:34:17	Will Perplexity AI be acquired before 2027?	Yes	SELL	10	21¢	$2	0x28a19a…
07-07 09:34:14	Remote IPO before 2027?	Yes	SELL	11	17¢	$2	0x1f759b…
07-07 09:34:13	Will Pump.fun reach $0.0034 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	30¢	$3	0x7dc027…
07-07 09:34:11	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	17¢	$2	0x14649a…
07-07 09:34:07	StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	12	17¢	$2	0x0f8f28…
07-07 09:33:59	Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	20¢	$2	0xdb24bb…
07-07 09:33:38	Lee Jae-myung impeached before 2027?	Yes	SELL	16	6¢	$1	0x29b040…
07-07 09:33:32	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "South Africa" before 2027?	Yes	SELL	18	9¢	$2	0x46329b…
07-07 09:33:13	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	25	6¢	$1	0x90ab4c…
07-07 09:33:07	Will Rand Paul announce a presidential run before 2027?	Yes	SELL	27	7¢	$2	0xe079cd…
07-07 09:32:49	Trump out as President before GTA VI?	No	SELL	39	50¢	$19	0x36d66b…
07-07 04:10:34	Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x87d90e…
07-06 22:09:50	Will Pump.fun dip to $0.0010 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	37¢	$3	0x291946…
07-05 21:56:14	Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	35¢	$3	0x0e2e9d…
07-04 21:46:58	Will Chainlink reach $16 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0x2164eb…
07-03 09:03:46	Will Pump.fun reach $0.0034 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x8a434f…
07-02 17:24:32	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x3d8936…
07-02 17:14:41	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0xf3474f…
07-01 03:43:23	Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	9	35¢	$3	0xe7426a…
07-01 02:27:25	Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x66887f…
06-30 20:20:55	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xfb34f5…
06-30 17:53:10	Reya FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	5	78¢	$4	0xe65337…
06-30 16:09:34	Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	13¢	$1	0xfc7237…
06-30 15:40:10	Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x527902…
06-29 22:37:20	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x209622…
06-29 22:01:32	Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xcd5911…