Realized P&L
-$13
Unrealized P&L
-$11
Hit rate
73.8%
Resolved
21
Trades
1,673
lifetime
Volume
$1.53K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$85
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-01
last 06-10 21:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Sports
55% 42% $-10
Other
24% 83% +$0
Politics
16% 100% +$0
Crypto
5% 0% $-3
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 46 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-6 73¢ $-7 $-1 06-01 14:24
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-4 48¢ $-5 $-1 06-06 15:13
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -6 $-3 74¢ $-5 $-1 05-28 04:35
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026? No -19 $-4 23¢ $-4 $-1 05-27 21:38
Will Trump endorse Susan Collins for ME-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes -5 $-3 69¢ $-3 $-1 06-10 21:41
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -9 $-3 40¢ $-3 $-0 05-31 19:42
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes -14 $-3 25¢ $-3 +$0 06-09 23:37
Will Fomo launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +10 $3 32¢ $3 +$0 05-29 18:49
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -8 $-3 42¢ $-3 +$0 05-29 17:04
Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026? Yes -10 $-4 30¢ $-3 +$1 06-02 15:57
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +8 $3 38¢ $3 $-0 05-29 18:14
Will Viking Therapeutics be acquired before 2027? Yes +11 $3 28¢ $3 $-0 06-11 02:57
Will Tempo launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +11 $3 26¢ $3 $-0 06-10 17:14
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $3 24¢ $3 $-0 06-11 01:11
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.5% before 2027? Yes +12 $3 22¢ $3 $-0 05-31 09:38
Will Bernie endorse Zach Wahls for IA-Sen Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes -7 $-3 34¢ $-3 +$0 06-02 01:25
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? Yes +12 $3 20¢ $2 $-1 06-01 00:11
Will Pacifica launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +8 $3 32¢ $2 $-1 05-30 21:46
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +10 $3 24¢ $2 $-0 06-06 03:35
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes -7 $-3 32¢ $-2 +$0 05-30 19:51
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-2 46¢ $-2 $-1 06-01 10:51
Will Snapchat be acquired before 2027? Yes +10 $3 22¢ $2 $-1 06-10 19:04
Will Zcash reach $1000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +12 $3 18¢ $2 $-1 06-03 23:40
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $2 28¢ $2 +$0 06-10 05:56
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes +8 $3 26¢ $2 $-1 06-04 18:40
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-1 36¢ $-2 $-1 06-02 20:23
Will Zoom Video Communications be acquired before 2027? Yes -7 $-2 24¢ $-2 $-0 05-28 11:35
AI wins IMO gold medal in 2026? No +9 $3 18¢ $2 $-1 06-02 16:05
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? Yes +6 $1 26¢ $1 +$0 06-08 17:28
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? Yes +7 $2 20¢ $1 $-1 06-06 19:35