Realized P&L
-$13
Unrealized P&L
-$14
Hit rate
73.8%
Resolved
21
Trades
1,761
lifetime
Volume
$1.70K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$103
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-01
last 07-01 03:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Sports
50% 42% $-10
Other
27% 83% +$0
Politics
16% 100% +$0
Crypto
7% 0% $-3
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Zcash reach $800 by December 31, 2026? No -10 $-6 84¢ $-8 $-3 06-01 14:24
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes -7 $-3 95¢ $-7 $-4 06-25 23:20
Will Donald Trump visit the United Kingdom in 2026? No -19 $-4 36¢ $-7 $-3 05-27 21:38
AI model scores ≥ 90% on FrontierMath Benchmark before 2027? Yes +6 $1 90¢ $5 +$4 06-08 17:28
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -6 $-3 82¢ $-5 $-2 05-28 04:35
Ink FDV above $500M one day after launch? No -9 $-3 53¢ $-5 $-1 05-31 19:42
Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026? Yes -27 $-4 16¢ $-4 $-1 06-30 16:09
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? No -11 $-3 38¢ $-4 $-1 06-21 12:10
Will Trump pardon Stefan Brodie before 2027? Yes +12 $6 30¢ $4 $-2 06-16 09:55
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes -8 $-3 46¢ $-3 $-0 05-29 17:04
Will Solana dip to $40 by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-4 34¢ $-3 +$0 06-06 15:13
Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? No +10 $5 33¢ $3 $-1 06-22 11:06
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +10 $3 34¢ $3 +$0 06-30 20:20
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +10 $3 30¢ $3 +$0 06-29 22:37
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? Yes +8 $2 36¢ $3 +$1 06-27 20:04
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? Yes -14 $-3 20¢ $-3 +$1 06-09 23:37
Will Zcash reach $700 by December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $3 28¢ $3 $-0 06-26 05:09
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes -10 $-4 26¢ $-3 +$1 06-15 14:18
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026? Yes -7 $-3 34¢ $-2 +$0 05-30 19:51
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +11 $3 22¢ $2 $-0 06-18 13:43
Will GPT-6 be released by December 31, 2026? No +9 $3 29¢ $2 $-1 07-01 03:43
Will Beyond Meat announce bankruptcy before 2027? Yes +8 $3 31¢ $2 $-1 06-04 18:40
Will Apple release a new product line before 2027? Yes +8 $3 31¢ $2 $-1 07-01 02:27
Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026? No +11 $3 21¢ $2 $-1 06-12 13:01
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-2 44¢ $-2 $-1 06-01 10:51
Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026? Yes -10 $-4 21¢ $-2 +$1 06-02 15:57
Will a new country buy Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? Yes +8 $3 28¢ $2 $-1 06-26 06:55
Yoon out of custody before 2027? Yes -16 $-3 13¢ $-2 +$1 06-26 04:45
Will Stephen Miller leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes +12 $3 17¢ $2 $-1 06-24 16:30
Lecornu out as French PM by December 31, 2026? Yes +9 $3 24¢ $2 $-1 06-20 22:45