Realized P&L
+$76.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$14.3K
Hit rate
69.3%
Resolved
1,058
Trades
13,487
lifetime
Volume
$2.54M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$188
Open exposure
$128.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 09:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 194 days
Categories
Other
69% 48% +$70,585
Crypto
16% 59% +$8,592
Politics
8% 55% -$1,858
Sports
5% 43% -$2,121
Tech
2% 50% +$1,675
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk • peak 363 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +75,916 $70,062 98¢ $74.4K +$4,298 10-28 09:48
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? No +29,945 $23,859 96¢ $28.7K +$4,888 10-18 00:00
Trump out as President before 2027? No -8,198 -$7,875 96¢ $-7837 +$38 10-12 15:33
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +3,000 $2,360 96¢ $2.9K +$524 10-14 16:24
US recession by end of 2026? No +2,743 $2,549 93¢ $2.6K +$2 10-28 09:45
Papertrade FDV above $25M one day after launch? No +3,682 -$508 48¢ $1.7K +$2,257 10-20 21:44
StandX FDV above $1B one day after launch? No -1,360 -$1,330 98¢ $-1328 +$2 10-20 22:18
Opensea FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -1,261 -$1,213 95¢ $-1203 +$9 10-11 07:31
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +2,000 $182 49¢ $977 +$795 10-28 07:22
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +924 $328 100¢ $923 +$595 05-08 16:23
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes +4,065 $220 15¢ $604 +$384 04-28 13:04
Will Solana hit $60 or $140 first? $60 +1,434 $446 42¢ $596 +$150 10-08 19:23
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? No +543 $516 97¢ $529 +$13 06-16 15:56
Will Grok AI beat T1 in 2026? No +523 $487 96¢ $500 +$13 05-25 07:19
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027? No +751 $535 60¢ $450 -$84 10-23 14:23
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? No +468 $424 96¢ $450 +$26 05-21 18:40
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +1,571 $786 23¢ $355 -$431 05-01 13:38
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +435 $249 77¢ $336 +$88 04-28 13:01
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch? No -331 -$318 99¢ $-328 -$10 05-16 05:16
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No -327 -$457 97¢ $-318 +$140 10-18 16:00
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes -4,529 -$770 7¢ $-317 +$453 07-02 15:10
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes -30,021 -$180 1¢ $-225 -$45 10-26 17:20
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch? No +200 $100 82¢ $165 +$65 10-28 09:34
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? No +134 $93 96¢ $128 +$35 06-15 18:15
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? No +123 $111 97¢ $119 +$8 05-31 15:31
Will Richard Van De Water win The Bachelorette Season 22? No +115 $113 100¢ $115 +$2 04-28 12:59
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +357 $37 32¢ $114 +$77 10-04 12:19
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? No +111 $75 96¢ $106 +$31 05-08 21:57
Will Ethereum dip to $2,250 by December 31, 2026? Yes +133 $78 77¢ $103 +$24 10-13 00:07
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +109 $118 94¢ $102 -$16 10-11 07:32