Realized P&L
+$915
Unrealized P&L
+$279
Hit rate
35.9%
Resolved
9
Trades
9,363
lifetime
Volume
$1.86M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$199
Open exposure
$10.5K
13 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 16:34
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 7 days
Categories
Other
73% 80% +$461
Crypto
15% 0% $-18
Politics
9% 0% $-9
Tech
1%
Sports
1% 100% +$480
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 353 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +7,000 $6,210 94¢ $6.5K +$335 07-20 16:34
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? No -2,222 $-2,142 97¢ $-2154 $-12 07-19 08:47
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +1,554 $1,464 94¢ $1.5K +$4 07-20 08:45
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? No +123 $111 70¢ $86 $-25 05-31 15:31
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? No +90 $100 90¢ $81 $-19 07-06 18:52
Will Russia enter Zaporizhia by December 31, 2026? No -74 $-68 98¢ $-73 $-5 06-16 15:56
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027? No +27 $23 96¢ $25 +$3 06-16 02:56
Will Max Verstappen retire from F1 in 2026? Yes +187 $26 10¢ $19 $-7 07-06 20:03
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027? No +23 $16 82¢ $19 +$3 06-15 18:15
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? Yes +1,059 $13 $15 +$3 07-03 14:39
Will Russia enter Sumy by December 31, 2026? Yes +196 $14 $15 +$1 06-08 10:43
US national Ethereum reserve before 2027? Yes +123 $7 $6 $-2 06-23 17:59
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? Yes +21 $0 $1 +$1 06-23 06:51