Realized P&L
+$76.9K
Unrealized P&L
+$14.3K
Hit rate
69.3%
Resolved
1,058
Trades
13,487
lifetime
Volume
$2.54M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$188
Open exposure
$128.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-28 09:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 194 days
Categories
Other
69%
48%
+$70,585
Crypto
16%
59%
+$8,592
Politics
8%
55%
-$1,858
Sports
5%
43%
-$2,121
Tech
2%
50%
+$1,675
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
37 active days in 12wk
• peak 363 trades/day
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| will eleven die in stranger things season 5 | 238 | $214.0K | 277,566 | 119,052 | +158,514 | No | +$715 | 01-02 18:55 |
| no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting | 53 | $131.7K | 196,446 | 22,345 | +174,101 | Yes | -$93 | 01-26 23:00 |
| us recession in 2025 | 2 | $124.6K | 124,772 | 0 | +124,772 | No | +$157 | 01-01 07:05 |
| fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting | 156 | $102.0K | 297,494 | 177,191 | +120,303 | No | +$985 | 01-28 18:59 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026? | 19 | $88.8K | 90,000 | 0 | +90,000 | No | +$1,212 | 06-02 21:25 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | 3 | $72.4K | 77,135 | 1,218 | +75,916 | open | — | 10-28 09:48 |
| cbb sfl lou 2026 03 19 | 397 | $68.1K | 79,551 | 35,699 | +43,852 | Louisville Cardinals | -$267 | 03-19 16:17 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.0T and $1.2T at market close on IPO day? | 1 | $63.2K | 63,304 | 0 | +63,304 | No | +$63 | 06-12 19:29 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be less than $1.0T at market close on IPO day? | 1 | $60.3K | 60,318 | 0 | +60,318 | No | +$60 | 06-12 19:29 |
| Zama FDV above $4B one day after launch? | 10 | $54.6K | 55,591 | 225 | +55,366 | No | +$1,245 | 01-30 05:49 |
| us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983 | 37 | $49.1K | 56,436 | 7,195 | +49,241 | No | +$148 | 01-02 17:14 |
| Clavicular pregnancy in 2026? | 3 | $43.2K | 22,222 | 22,222 | +0 | Yes | -$85 | 04-28 12:58 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch? | 2 | $41.8K | 22,222 | 22,222 | +0 | Yes | +$0 | 04-28 12:52 |
| khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28 | 178 | $37.9K | 77,254 | 0 | +77,254 | Yes | +$1,241 | 02-28 15:42 |
| cbb siena duke 2026 03 19 | 91 | $36.1K | 45,335 | 31,222 | +14,114 | Duke Blue Devils | -$138 | 03-19 13:17 |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 101 | $33.9K | 80,824 | 43,149 | +37,675 | No | +$34 | 07-19 22:02 |
| Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day? | 1 | $33.4K | 33,437 | 0 | +33,437 | Yes | +$33 | 06-12 19:35 |
| Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | 2 | $33.4K | 66,666 | 0 | +66,666 | No | -$33 | 04-28 13:37 |
| Will Narendra Modi win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | 90 | $32.1K | 34,309 | 10,133 | +24,176 | No | -$59 | 07-27 05:58 |
| SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? | 18 | $29.8K | 44,939 | 11,865 | +33,074 | Yes | +$921 | 06-12 20:22 |
| ukraine agrees not to join nato before july | 3 | $29.0K | 29,000 | 0 | +29,000 | No | +$29 | 01-01 07:43 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $5,000 by end of December? | 21 | $23.9K | 29,945 | 0 | +29,945 | open | — | 10-18 00:00 |
| Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31? | 8 | $22.0K | 12,345 | 12,345 | +0 | No | +$0 | 04-28 16:05 |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15? | 12 | $20.7K | 12,345 | 12,345 | +0 | No | +$0 | 04-28 12:53 |
| fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting | 25 | $20.5K | 210,000 | 253,874 | -43,874 | No | +$158 | 01-26 19:36 |
| fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting | 14 | $20.0K | 10,000 | 53,874 | -43,874 | No | +$59 | 01-26 18:05 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | 13 | $20.0K | 20,000 | 0 | +20,000 | Yes | +$20 | 06-17 07:50 |
| Zama FDV above $2B one day after launch? | 65 | $17.3K | 19,070 | 9,801 | +9,269 | No | +$1,054 | 01-28 13:36 |
| bun b04 stu 2026 01 10 stu | 63 | $15.9K | 13,704 | 9,100 | +4,604 | Yes | -$3,187 | 01-10 17:36 |
| bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026 | 51 | $15.6K | 8,906 | 7,525 | +1,381 | No | +$486 | 03-19 04:15 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||