Realized P&L
-$9.83K
Unrealized P&L
-$647
Hit rate
6.1%
Resolved
1,640
Trades
18,531
lifetime
Volume
$1.11M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$60
Open exposure
$2.77K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-13
last 10-29 12:57
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 114 days
Categories
Other
63% 20% -$7,315
Politics
29% 6% -$2,025
Tech
4% 10% -$245
Crypto
2% 0% -$187
Sports
1% 39% -$33
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$26
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 595 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +1,306 $1,201 90¢ $1.2K -$20 10-29 09:47
Will Mark Warner vote "Yea" on the Clarity Act? No +850 $816 91¢ $772 -$44 10-29 09:25
Predict.fun FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +964 $855 59¢ $564 -$291 10-28 07:26
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +188 $171 90¢ $170 -$1 10-29 13:02
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +50 $49 88¢ $44 -$5 10-28 07:01
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? Yes +34 $9 74¢ $25 +$16 10-25 00:12
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026? No +34 $28 26¢ $9 -$20 10-20 19:49
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +5 $4 78¢ $4 +$0 08-06 12:48
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +5 $6 22¢ $1 -$4 10-18 20:26
Will Oura's market cap be at least $20B at market close on IPO day? No +0 $7 97¢ $0 -$7 09-08 09:28
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? No +0 $11 99¢ $0 -$11 10-22 12:03
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? No +0 $36 98¢ $0 -$36 10-25 22:34
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by October 31? No +0 $7 97¢ $0 -$7 10-24 19:02
US x China agree to pace the AI frontier in 2026? No +0 $2 94¢ $0 -$2 10-16 03:27
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026? No +0 $6 94¢ $0 -$6 10-25 23:09
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? Yes +0 $73 100¢ $0 -$73 10-12 09:38
Will commitments to the 1W public sale exceed $10M? Yes +0 $1 100¢ $0 -$1 10-26 19:39
Will Saudi airspace be closed by October 31? No +0 $32 98¢ $0 -$32 10-26 02:16
Iran leadership change by November 30? No +0 $10 92¢ $0 -$10 10-28 18:46
Will the total domestic gross for Resident Evil be between 160m and 170m by October 31? No +0 $4 99¢ $0 -$4 10-18 15:31
Macron out by December 31, 2026? No +0 $1 97¢ $0 -$1 10-25 18:16
Israeli airspace closed by October 31, 2026? No +0 $24 99¢ $0 -$24 10-19 18:08
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026? No +0 -$2 94¢ $0 +$2 10-08 00:30
Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? Bibi +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$0 10-19 08:00
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? No +0 $40 99¢ $0 -$40 10-10 18:13
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +0 $3 94¢ $0 -$3 09-29 16:52
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +0 $8 98¢ $0 -$8 10-13 18:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in October? No +0 $3 98¢ $0 -$3 10-20 13:54
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 $6 77¢ $0 -$6 10-11 13:55
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? No +0 $5 96¢ $0 -$5 10-29 13:07