Realized P&L
-$533
Unrealized P&L
+$109
Hit rate
40.9%
Resolved
6,984
Trades
21,461
lifetime
Volume
$7.15K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$115
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 11-05 06:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 114 days
Categories
Other
76% 12% -$510
Crypto
16% 23% -$108
Politics
5% 8% +$224
Sports
3% 6% -$114
Tech
0% 13% -$19
Pop-Culture
0% 6% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk • peak 1167 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more? Yes +100 $0 96¢ $96 +$96 10-20 07:01
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +331 $0 2¢ $6 +$6 10-04 22:06
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? Yes +5 $1 65¢ $3 +$2 09-06 18:01
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? No +5 $3 35¢ $2 -$1 09-08 20:38
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia? Yes — +1,000 $1 0¢ $2 +$0 08-28 13:54
Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026? Yes +778 $0 0¢ $1 +$1 09-15 22:15
Will Aaron Kahng win The Bachelorette Season 22? Yes +99 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 10-29 23:44
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +54 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 09-01 18:33
Will Israel strike 14 countries in 2026? Yes +290 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-15 22:15
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +280 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-27 15:49
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +14 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 09-11 05:50
Will Elisabeth Thand Ringqvist be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +78 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-15 15:19
Will Sal Stewart win the 2026 NL Rookie of the Year award? No +5 $0 5¢ $0 +$0 11-04 02:09
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +156 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-31 08:36
Will Israel Katz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +78 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-25 02:14
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 1.0% and 2.0%? Yes +34 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 10-28 01:50
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +56 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-14 21:26
Will Moshe Feiglin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +156 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-20 23:47
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-07 08:43
Will Yariv Levin be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-08 01:23
Will Ayelet Shaked be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes — +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-06 19:47
Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-11 01:59
Will Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +33 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-04 06:26
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 2.75% at the end of 2026? Yes +100 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-26 04:22
Will Hull City win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +63 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-05 06:22
Will 4 Fed rate hikes happen in 2026? Yes +78 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 09-10 18:29
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +78 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 11-02 11:17
Will Maryam Rajavi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +78 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-08 20:19
Will Bologna win the 2026-27 Serie A Championship? Yes +78 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-13 17:46
Will Benny Gantz be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +78 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 10-28 09:08