Realized P&L
-$536
Unrealized P&L
+$207
Hit rate
40.9%
Resolved
7,007
Trades
21,552
lifetime
Volume
$7.15K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$232
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-28
last 11-06 04:44
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 115 days
Categories
Other
76% 12% -$513
Crypto
16% 23% -$108
Politics
5% 8% +$224
Sports
3% 6% -$114
Tech
0% 13% -$19
Pop-Culture
0% 6% -$6
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 1167 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 Texas Senate election by 12% or more? Yes +100 $0 97¢ $97 +$97 10-20 07:01
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-03 House election by 40%-45%? Yes +156 $0 19¢ $29 +$29 11-05 03:22
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Wyoming gubernatorial election by 50% or more? Yes +25 $0 92¢ $23 +$23 11-04 08:53
Will Francis James Allison Oyague win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +331 $0 2¢ $7 +$7 10-04 22:06
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Louisiana be between 1,300,000 and 1,400,000? Yes +205 $0 3¢ $7 +$6 11-05 06:52
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 KY-03 House election by 0%-5%? Yes +242 $0 3¢ $6 +$6 10-04 18:43
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? Yes +5 $1 97¢ $5 +$4 09-06 18:01
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? No +5 $4 95¢ $5 +$1 09-10 11:07
Will Rome Odunze have 399.5+ receiving yards in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +5 $4 94¢ $5 +$1 09-11 15:45
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-26 House election? Yes +167 $0 3¢ $4 +$4 11-04 20:47
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IA-03 House election by 18% or more? Yes +162 $0 3¢ $4 +$4 11-04 22:27
Will Kyle Pitts have 8.5+ receiving touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? No — +5 $4 86¢ $4 +$0 10-18 21:02
Will RB Leipzig qualify for the 2027-28 UEFA Europa League? No +5 $3 62¢ $3 $0 09-21 15:52
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 CO-03 House election by 9%-12%? Yes — +328 $0 1¢ $3 +$2 11-05 23:27
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Connecticut gubernatorial election? Yes +325 $0 1¢ $3 +$2 11-04 08:54
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +54 $0 5¢ $2 +$2 09-01 18:33
Will Anthropic's IPO valuation be between $1.25T and $1.50T? Yes +7 $0 34¢ $2 +$2 09-05 09:23
Will Ashton Jeanty have 3.5+ rushing touchdowns in the 2026-27 NFL regular season? Yes +5 $3 42¢ $2 -$1 10-21 12:25
Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 TX-31 House election by 25%-30%? Yes — +162 $0 1¢ $2 +$2 11-04 21:13
Will Edmundo González be the de facto leader of Venezuela at the end of 2026? Yes +85 $0 2¢ $2 +$2 10-25 16:33
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,300,000 and 1,400,000? Yes — +143 $0 1¢ $2 +$2 11-05 14:07
Will APT. – ROSÉ & Bruno Mars be the top song in the US for 2026? Yes +218 $0 1¢ $2 +$2 11-04 21:24
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 MD-03 House election by 20%-25%? Yes — +106 $0 2¢ $2 +$1 11-05 03:22
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 IL-16 House election? Yes +68 $0 2¢ $2 +$1 10-25 13:10
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 North Carolina Senate election by 15%-18%? Yes +100 $0 2¢ $2 +$1 11-04 16:27
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Australia? Yes — +1,000 $1 0¢ $2 +$0 08-28 13:54
Will Green Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election? Yes +296 $0 0¢ $1 +$1 11-06 04:11
Will the Democratic Party candidate win the 2026 TX-31 House election? Yes +162 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 11-04 21:13
Will the Republican Party candidate win the first round of the 2026 Maine Senate election by 12% or more? Yes +100 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 11-04 04:42
Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Senator from Oklahoma be between 1,000,000 and 1,100,000? Yes +99 $0 1¢ $1 +$1 11-05 14:07