(anonymous) 0x56954e…4b002b
bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$134
Unrealized P&L
+$75
Hit rate
43.3%
Resolved
123
Trades
1,110
lifetime
Volume
$10.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$534
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-19
last 10-28 11:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 53 days
Categories
Other
61% 37% -$67
Politics
18% 20% -$33
Crypto
12% 80% -$14
Tech
9% 28% -$20
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 149 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-06 House seat? Yes +121 $115 96¢ $117 +$2 09-11 21:06
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +85 $79 94¢ $80 +$1 10-28 11:10
Consensys IPO closing market cap above $1B? No +85 $79 93¢ $79 $0 10-28 07:38
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch? No +66 $64 97¢ $64 +$0 10-23 20:03
Will the Republican Party win the MS-01 House seat? Yes +58 $55 96¢ $56 +$1 09-04 18:09
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-15 House seat? Yes +52 $50 96¢ $50 $0 10-23 19:29
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $1.25T and $1.5T at market close on IPO day? No +22 $21 92¢ $21 $0 10-04 03:42
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027? Yes +35 $16 38¢ $13 -$3 10-26 22:25
Will the Hodge Conjecture be the next Millennium Prize Problem solved by AI? No +18 $11 75¢ $13 +$2 10-26 15:28
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? Yes +17 -$3 64¢ $11 +$14 10-26 22:25
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.75% or lower before 2027? No +11 $11 98¢ $10 $0 10-26 15:28
Will Consensys IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +88 $5 4¢ $3 -$1 10-28 07:38
Metamask FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +3 $1 96¢ $2 +$2 08-24 09:19
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +134 $3 2¢ $2 $0 10-24 13:13
Will Anthropic IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +2 $0 95¢ $1 +$2 10-19 08:23
Will there be no next Google Gemini Pro model release by November 1, 2026? No +67 $6 2¢ $1 -$5 10-11 20:20
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? Yes +2 -$1 88¢ $1 +$2 10-24 13:12
Will Trump resign by December 31, 2026? Yes +73 $1 2¢ $1 $0 10-19 08:11
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +1 $3 88¢ $1 -$2 09-04 00:09
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? Yes +66 $1 1¢ $1 $0 10-22 04:53
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +13 $1 6¢ $1 +$0 08-24 08:45
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch? Yes +16 $0 4¢ $1 +$1 10-01 00:51
Will the next Google Gemini Pro model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1500? No +1 $2 76¢ $1 -$1 09-30 23:32
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? Yes +1 -$19 82¢ $1 +$20 10-16 14:19
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? No +4 -$5 12¢ $0 +$6 10-19 08:23
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes +3 $1 13¢ $0 -$1 09-07 12:26
Will OpenAI's IPO valuation be less than $1T? Yes +1 -$5 23¢ $0 +$5 10-28 11:09
Will Felix Protocol launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +3 -$27 9¢ $0 +$28 10-22 04:52
Will Anthropic's initial public offering occur in December 2026 (ET)? No +0 -$4 94¢ $0 +$4 10-19 08:23
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +0 -$1 75¢ $0 +$1 10-28 11:09