(anonymous) 0x56954e…4b002b
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
318
lifetime
Volume
$1.55K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$31
13 positions
First seen
2026-06-19
last 07-22 10:03
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
64% — —
Politics
21% — —
Tech
11% — —
Crypto
5% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk • peak 38 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +83 $5 10¢ $9 +$4 07-19 20:22
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +14 $10 36¢ $5 $-5 07-19 15:23
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $-0 07-08 19:57
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,200 (LOW) in December? Yes +13 $6 26¢ $3 $-3 06-30 22:23
Will any AI model reach 1550 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +24 $8 14¢ $3 $-5 07-20 00:06
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +3 $2 78¢ $2 +$0 06-30 08:24
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +4 $-2 26¢ $1 +$3 07-01 08:27
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +1 $0 70¢ $1 +$1 06-28 16:13
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +1 $0 52¢ $1 +$0 07-10 18:02
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +1 $0 66¢ $0 +$0 06-28 06:41
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? Yes +4 $-0 12¢ $0 +$0 07-06 04:06
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +1 $0 40¢ $0 $-0 06-30 06:23
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +1 $0 36¢ $0 +$0 07-14 20:40