Realized P&L
+$328
Unrealized P&L
+$427
Hit rate
96.5%
Resolved
102
Trades
1,043
lifetime
Volume
$374.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$359
Open exposure
$38.2K
30 positions
First seen
2026-08-06
last 10-27 11:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 40 days
Categories
Other
59% 82% -$897
Politics
38% 67% +$932
Tech
2% 100% +$141
Pop-Culture
1% — —
Crypto
1% 100% +$144
Sports
0% 100% +$7
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
75 active days in 12wk • peak 172 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +5,000 $4,090 82¢ $4.1K +$35 10-24 15:58
Will the Republican Party win the WI-05 House seat? Yes +3,063 $2,840 97¢ $3.0K +$136 08-17 19:14
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +2,803 $2,613 97¢ $2.7K +$93 08-17 21:11
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +2,047 $1,920 97¢ $2.0K +$56 08-17 16:20
Lindsay Clancy convicted of murder by December 31, 2026? No +2,015 $1,928 96¢ $1.9K +$3 10-22 01:47
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +2,000 $1,760 96¢ $1.9K +$160 10-19 09:47
Will OpenAI's valuation hit (LOW) $750B by December 31? No +2,000 $1,660 94¢ $1.9K +$220 09-04 13:12
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +2,000 $1,820 94¢ $1.9K +$50 10-01 06:32
iran coup attempt by december 31 No +2,000 $1,800 92¢ $1.8K +$40 08-17 12:13
Will the Republicans win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,106 $1,937 86¢ $1.8K -$115 10-07 13:28
Will the Republicans win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? No +1,910 $1,679 86¢ $1.6K -$46 10-23 17:58
Will the Republicans win the Idaho Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $949 96¢ $955 +$6 08-20 05:53
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $870 94¢ $945 +$75 08-25 13:01
Will none of these coins hit a $1B FDV? Yes +1,000 $850 94¢ $935 +$85 10-01 16:36
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? No +1,000 $830 86¢ $865 +$35 08-25 21:18
Will the Democrats win the Minnesota Senate race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $900 86¢ $855 -$45 08-18 13:43
Will the Republican Party win the WV-02 House seat? Yes +866 $821 97¢ $838 +$18 08-17 19:24
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,500 $1,975 34¢ $838 -$1,138 10-19 10:51
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,000 $895 83¢ $834 -$60 10-26 11:47
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +1,000 $580 78¢ $785 +$205 10-17 17:23
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +1,000 $750 72¢ $715 -$35 09-29 17:08
Will the Republicans win the Montana Senate race in 2026? Yes +747 $673 92¢ $684 +$11 10-23 08:25
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026? Yes +980 $568 70¢ $681 +$113 10-03 08:53
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House Yes +1,000 $470 66¢ $655 +$185 08-18 00:54
Will the Democrats win the Georgia governor race in 2026? Yes +1,000 $595 62¢ $625 +$30 09-02 14:49
AI bubble burst in 2026? No +627 $567 92¢ $577 +$10 10-19 09:36
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +600 $417 84¢ $501 +$84 08-26 16:17
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026? Yes +2,000 $260 21¢ $420 +$160 10-01 22:32
Will the Democratic Party win the WA-05 House seat? No +500 $383 84¢ $419 +$36 08-22 19:10
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO before 2027? No +400 $364 96¢ $384 +$20 08-27 06:42