Realized P&L
+$4.14K
Unrealized P&L
+$8.54K
Hit rate
80.4%
Resolved
2,716
Trades
17,420
lifetime
Volume
$336.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$79.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-25
last 10-26 22:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 24 days
Categories
Other
62% 88% +$241
Politics
34% 74% +$4,075
Sports
2% 100% +$46
Tech
1% 96% +$37
Pop-Culture
1% 76% -$187
Crypto
0% 76% -$73
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
19 active days in 12wk • peak 2854 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +34,133 $30,386 100¢ $34.1K +$3,713 10-26 22:40
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +15,435 $12,505 100¢ $15.4K +$2,914 10-26 22:44
Will Lionel Messi win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +3,638 $3,598 100¢ $3.6K +$37 10-26 22:35
Will Khvicha Kvaratskhelia win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +3,428 $3,423 100¢ $3.4K +$1 10-26 22:06
Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +3,315 $3,312 100¢ $3.3K -$1 10-26 22:34
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +2,039 $1,114 98¢ $2.0K +$885 10-26 08:17
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%? No +1,101 $777 100¢ $1.1K +$322 10-25 20:09
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,693 $979 60¢ $1.0K +$45 10-26 22:47
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +1,085 $800 93¢ $1.0K +$210 10-26 19:38
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? No +972 $788 100¢ $972 +$184 10-25 20:11
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? No +1,177 $772 82¢ $959 +$187 10-26 21:43
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +1,299 $869 65¢ $839 -$29 10-26 17:48
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +840 $836 99¢ $831 -$5 10-26 22:31
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +875 $858 93¢ $812 -$47 10-25 17:41
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? No +1,423 $863 56¢ $790 -$74 10-24 11:44
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,345 $745 32¢ $750 +$5 10-26 22:49
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +2,142 $681 35¢ $750 +$68 10-26 17:00
Will Erling Haaland win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +699 $698 100¢ $698 $0 10-21 21:37
Will Fabian Ruiz win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +668 $667 100¢ $667 $0 10-24 18:51
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +694 $641 96¢ $663 +$22 10-26 21:28
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +969 $688 68¢ $659 -$29 10-26 18:17
Will Lamine Yamal finish 2nd in the 2026 Ballon d'Or? No +655 $553 98¢ $639 +$86 10-26 22:20
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +680 $628 94¢ $636 +$8 10-26 22:14
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%? No +600 $578 100¢ $599 +$21 10-24 23:01
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +735 $591 78¢ $573 -$17 10-26 22:43
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +607 $560 89¢ $541 -$19 10-26 18:59
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +741 $509 72¢ $535 +$25 10-26 21:56
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +541 $531 98¢ $531 -$1 10-26 11:19
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%? No +530 $504 99¢ $527 +$24 10-25 20:16
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +562 $501 90¢ $504 +$4 10-26 16:00