Realized P&L
+$5.55K
Unrealized P&L
+$2.25K
Hit rate
83.8%
Resolved
2,836
Trades
17,727
lifetime
Volume
$344.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$21.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-25
last 10-26 23:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 25 days
Categories
Other
62% 88% +$1,656
Politics
34% 75% +$4,075
Sports
2% 100% +$46
Tech
1% 96% +$37
Pop-Culture
1% 76% -$187
Crypto
0% 76% -$73
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
20 active days in 12wk • peak 2854 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +2,039 $1,114 98¢ $2.0K +$885 10-26 08:17
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? No +1,177 $772 100¢ $1.2K +$405 10-26 21:43
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%? No +1,101 $777 100¢ $1.1K +$323 10-25 20:09
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +1,693 $979 60¢ $1.0K +$28 10-26 22:47
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +1,085 $800 91¢ $992 +$192 10-26 19:38
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 20%-30%? No +972 $788 100¢ $972 +$184 10-25 20:11
Will Puma Shen win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +1,299 $869 65¢ $840 -$29 10-26 17:48
Will Together win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +840 $836 99¢ $835 -$1 10-26 22:31
Will the Democratic Party win the MT-01 House seat? No +1,423 $863 56¢ $790 -$74 10-24 11:44
Will Radomir Saičić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +875 $858 88¢ $770 -$88 10-25 17:41
Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? No +2,142 $681 35¢ $750 +$68 10-26 17:00
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,375 $755 30¢ $724 -$31 10-26 23:09
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +969 $688 70¢ $673 -$14 10-26 18:17
Will Alibaba have the best Chinese AI model at the end of October 2026? No +694 $641 96¢ $666 +$25 10-26 21:28
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? No +680 $628 94¢ $639 +$11 10-26 22:14
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by at least 40%? No +600 $578 100¢ $599 +$21 10-24 23:01
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +735 $591 81¢ $595 +$5 10-26 22:43
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +607 $560 91¢ $553 -$6 10-26 18:59
Will Santiago Abascal be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +541 $531 98¢ $531 -$1 10-26 11:19
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +741 $509 72¢ $531 +$21 10-26 21:56
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%? No +530 $504 99¢ $527 +$24 10-25 20:16
Will Philadelphia 76ers win the 2027 NBA Finals? No +562 $501 90¢ $505 +$4 10-26 16:00
Will T1 win Worlds 2026? No +591 $494 84¢ $499 +$5 10-26 05:24
Will a team from LPL (China) win LoL Worlds 2026? No +592 $509 82¢ $488 -$21 10-26 08:19
Will the ECB announce a 25 bps increase at the October 2026 meeting? No +485 $378 98¢ $477 +$99 10-07 12:41
Will the Republicans win the Nevada governor race in 2026? No +655 $400 70¢ $455 +$56 10-21 15:53
Will Pedro Sánchez be the next Prime Minister of Spain? No +510 $404 83¢ $426 +$22 10-26 18:43
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026? No +610 $430 68¢ $418 -$12 10-25 06:30
Will David Eby be the next Premier of British Columbia? No +417 $272 100¢ $416 +$144 10-24 03:21
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +420 $397 94¢ $396 -$1 10-22 13:05