Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 8?
open
Total volume
$174
$563 in 24h
Trades
35
Unique wallets
31
Liquidity
$1,865
Latest YES mid
15¢
Latest NO mid
85¢
End date
2026-05-08
First seen
2026-05-06
last 05-07 12:05
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $15 | $15 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 29 | $7 | $142 | $135 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | — | $4 | $4 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 7 | — | $41 | $41 |
| Median | 7 | — | $19 | $19 |
| Below median | 5 | $2 | $15 | $13 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $5 | $13 | $8 |
| unranked | 6 | — | $65 | $65 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Direct-Reality 0x4bbb…04fe | No | +36 | $27 | $27 | 1 | 05-06 16:33 |
| Calm-Pike 0xd85e…de9e | No | +34 | $29 | $29 | 1 | 05-07 10:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xe314…3c94 | No | +33 | $26 | $34 | 2 | 05-06 15:10 |
| All-Cranberry 0x8bc9…c353 | Yes | +32 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 12:05 |
| Sweet-Derrick 0x6409…9411 | No | +15 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-07 10:42 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +13 | $11 | $11 | 1 | 05-07 08:09 |
| Extroverted-Sidewalk 0xcca3…7450 | No | +10 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-07 08:09 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-07 08:33 |
| Angry-Platter 0xef46…22a6 | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-06 06:24 |
| Free-Identity 0x635d…2f28 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-07 11:20 |
| Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 08:09 |
| (anonymous) 0xca30…7eb2 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 03:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x78e7…5fdd | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-07 03:27 |
| Soggy-Baseline 0x3999…664b | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-06 08:24 |
| Guilty-Tension 0x5c3a…58d3 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 06:23 |
| (anonymous) 0x2c9c…2476 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 03:27 |
| Untidy-Television 0x21b1…ba4a | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 14:45 |
| Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-06 17:03 |
| (anonymous) 0x2c40…4e32 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 11:26 |
| Noxious-Medium 0x7ec4…cb91 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 11:31 |
| (anonymous) 0x66c6…ffa9 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 11:26 |
| (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 11:26 |
| Soulful-Pie 0x9c90…f556 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 10:10 |
| (anonymous) 0x363e…928a | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 03:27 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-07 12:05:52 | All-Cranberry 0x8bc9…c353 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 15¢ | $5 | 0xaf5296… |
| 05-07 11:31:20 | Noxious-Medium 0x7ec4…cb91 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0xb16ca1… |
| 05-07 11:26:14 | (anonymous) 0x66c6…ffa9 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x6e5807… |
| 05-07 11:26:09 | (anonymous) 0x2c40…4e32 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x653b9a… |
| 05-07 11:26:02 | (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x28ff5e… |
| 05-07 11:20:43 | Free-Identity 0x635d…2f28 | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x68ec69… |
| 05-07 11:14:27 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x2ab4a2… |
| 05-07 10:42:33 | Sweet-Derrick 0x6409…9411 | No | BUY | 15 | 86¢ | $13 | 0x118cfa… |
| 05-07 10:10:28 | Soulful-Pie 0x9c90…f556 | No | BUY | 1 | 86¢ | $1 | 0x64a067… |
| 05-07 10:03:57 | Calm-Pike 0xd85e…de9e | No | BUY | 34 | 87¢ | $29 | 0xef2de6… |
| 05-07 08:33:57 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xf46f44… |
| 05-07 08:33:57 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0xdde8bc… |
| 05-07 08:33:57 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 8 | 88¢ | $7 | 0x63fb30… |
| 05-07 08:33:57 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 3 | 12¢ | $0 | 0xbebfa3… |
| 05-07 08:33:57 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x42317d… |
| 05-07 08:09:29 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 13 | 87¢ | $11 | 0x5a18a9… |
| 05-07 08:09:23 | Fine-Flanker 0x0e7f…2015 | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0x106a60… |
| 05-07 08:09:20 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x0880ee… |
| 05-07 08:09:04 | Extroverted-Sidewalk 0xcca3…7450 | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $9 | 0x1b14b0… |
| 05-07 08:08:29 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x82cee3… |
| 05-07 08:08:26 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x9840b7… |
| 05-07 08:08:26 | Broken-Consensus 0xc90b…7190 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 12¢ | $1 | 0x7e75e7… |
| 05-07 06:23:20 | Guilty-Tension 0x5c3a…58d3 | No | BUY | 2 | 87¢ | $2 | 0x7371ed… |
| 05-07 03:27:58 | (anonymous) 0x363e…928a | No | BUY | 1 | 93¢ | $1 | 0xff5cd4… |
| 05-07 03:27:56 | (anonymous) 0x78e7…5fdd | No | BUY | 4 | 93¢ | $4 | 0x93cd21… |
| 05-07 03:27:52 | (anonymous) 0x2c9c…2476 | No | BUY | 2 | 91¢ | $2 | 0x7c883b… |
| 05-07 03:27:51 | (anonymous) 0xca30…7eb2 | No | BUY | 4 | 91¢ | $4 | 0x2782f6… |
| 05-07 00:53:12 | Dimpled-Technologist 0x16d4…a868 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x43579d… |
| 05-06 17:03:06 | Deserted-Menopause 0x6a49…59e0 | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0x882435… |
| 05-06 16:33:43 | Direct-Reality 0x4bbb…04fe | No | BUY | 36 | 76¢ | $27 | 0xaa25a1… |
| 05-06 15:10:22 | (anonymous) 0xe314…3c94 | No | SELL | 6 | 64¢ | $4 | 0xd69697… |
| 05-06 14:57:39 | (anonymous) 0xe314…3c94 | No | BUY | 39 | 76¢ | $30 | 0x28bb8d… |
| 05-06 14:45:19 | Untidy-Television 0x21b1…ba4a | No | BUY | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x51330b… |
| 05-06 08:24:24 | Soggy-Baseline 0x3999…664b | No | BUY | 3 | 75¢ | $2 | 0x846a61… |
| 05-06 06:24:52 | Angry-Platter 0xef46…22a6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 31¢ | $2 | 0x3a5565… |