Direct-Reality — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$68

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

86.9%

Resolved

Trades

135

lifetime

Volume

$4.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$33

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-03-14

last 06-03 07:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 41 days

Categories

Other

86% 72% +$58

Politics

14% 67% +$10

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-03).

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US recession by end of 2026?	No		-1	-$1	92¢	$-1	$0	05-14 19:31

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 28?	4	$424	274	274	+0	No	+$122	05-28 19:26
will the us invade iran by march 31	3	$349	193	193	+0	No	+$37	04-01 06:12
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 1?	2	$273	154	154	+0	No	+$13	06-01 15:32
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 31?	2	$226	123	123	+0	No	+$19	05-31 15:39
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 27?	2	$213	114	114	+0	No	+$13	05-27 15:12
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 26?	2	$212	114	114	+0	No	+$16	05-26 17:05
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 2?	2	$210	111	111	+0	No	+$10	06-02 16:21
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 29?	2	$209	109	109	+0	No	+$10	05-29 14:58
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 30?	2	$206	106	106	+0	No	+$6	05-30 15:14
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 3?	4	$170	283	0	+283	Yes	-$170	06-03 07:51
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 23?	2	$159	83	83	+0	No	+$6	05-23 18:49
will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	2	$156	244	244	+0	Yes	-$44	03-16 08:12
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 21?	2	$128	71	71	+0	No	+$14	05-21 15:05
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 17?	2	$88	53	53	+0	No	+$1	05-17 12:28
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 16?	2	$87	49	49	+0	No	+$1	05-16 07:53
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 24?	1	$82	99	0	+99	No	+$17	05-23 19:15
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$75	47	47	+0	No	+$17	03-17 16:15
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 22?	1	$71	77	0	+77	No	+$6	05-21 15:20
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 12?	2	$70	43	43	+0	No	+$0	05-12 12:18
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 10?	2	$65	35	35	+0	No	+$5	05-10 08:25
highest temperature in madrid on april 16 2026 27c	2	$63	33	33	+0	No	+$3	04-16 17:54
trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	2	$58	35	35	+0	No	+$0	03-16 12:51
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 8?	2	$58	36	36	+0	No	+$4	05-07 05:30
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 5?	2	$53	29	29	+0	No	+$3	05-05 16:21
highest temperature in madrid on april 19 2026 29c	4	$51	51	50	+1	No	-$3	04-19 15:20
highest temperature in madrid on april 17 2026 28c	4	$50	83	80	+3	No	-$10	04-17 20:15
will russia capture rodynske by march 31	3	$48	60	60	+0	Yes	-$44	03-21 15:13
highest temperature in madrid on april 20 2026 27c	2	$47	37	37	+1	No	+$1	04-20 05:49
highest temperature in madrid on april 20 2026 26c	2	$46	24	24	+0	No	+$0	04-19 13:26
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 18?	1	$43	58	0	+58	No	+$14	05-17 12:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 07:51:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 3?	No	BUY	63	33¢	$21	0x7e6808…
06-02 22:22:41	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 3?	No	BUY	14	58¢	$8	0x1f694c…
06-02 16:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 3?	No	BUY	144	69¢	$100	0x2a4f44…
06-02 16:21:55	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 2?	No	SELL	111	99¢	$110	0x727b2c…
06-02 12:30:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 3?	No	BUY	61	67¢	$41	0xde01a1…
06-01 16:25:03	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 2?	No	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x4d803e…
06-01 15:32:35	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 1?	No	SELL	154	93¢	$143	0x7319d3…
05-31 15:40:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on June 1?	No	BUY	154	84¢	$130	0x18a75d…
05-31 15:39:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 31?	No	SELL	123	100¢	$122	0xc11b84…
05-31 13:50:05	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on May 31?	No	SELL	11	75¢	$8	0x1f1405…
05-31 07:19:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 31?	No	BUY	123	85¢	$104	0xe94490…
05-30 15:14:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 30?	No	SELL	106	100¢	$106	0x7aa688…
05-30 06:20:17	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on May 31?	No	BUY	11	83¢	$9	0xca43f2…
05-30 05:37:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 30?	No	BUY	106	95¢	$100	0x9ce71a…
05-29 14:58:05	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 29?	No	SELL	109	100¢	$109	0x8b18b0…
05-29 07:07:22	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 29?	No	BUY	109	91¢	$99	0xd8b9af…
05-28 19:26:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 28?	No	SELL	274	100¢	$273	0x368852…
05-28 10:07:47	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 28?	No	BUY	61	44¢	$27	0x9aa6d1…
05-28 04:32:30	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 28?	No	BUY	31	45¢	$14	0xb53579…
05-28 04:30:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on May 27?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x2de1b4…
05-27 15:12:44	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 28?	No	BUY	182	61¢	$111	0x74eb17…
05-27 15:12:14	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 27?	No	SELL	114	100¢	$113	0xfedf64…
05-26 18:34:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on May 27?	No	BUY	14	94¢	$13	0x648e9f…
05-26 18:30:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 33°C on May 27?	No	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x030711…
05-26 17:05:03	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 26?	No	SELL	114	100¢	$114	0x21e517…
05-24 19:15:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 26?	No	BUY	114	86¢	$98	0x8341fa…
05-23 19:15:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 24?	No	BUY	99	83¢	$82	0x588cf9…
05-23 18:49:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 23?	No	SELL	83	100¢	$82	0x606432…
05-22 19:50:04	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on May 23?	No	BUY	83	93¢	$77	0xc2f01e…
05-21 15:20:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 22?	No	BUY	77	92¢	$71	0xddc264…
05-21 15:05:32	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 21?	No	SELL	71	100¢	$71	0x8125f4…
05-21 10:45:41	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on May 21?	No	BUY	71	80¢	$57	0xc99ee6…
05-17 12:29:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 18?	No	BUY	58	75¢	$43	0x97458c…
05-17 12:28:20	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 17?	No	SELL	53	83¢	$44	0xb68dde…
05-16 07:56:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 17?	No	BUY	53	82¢	$44	0x9bb195…
05-16 07:53:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 16?	No	SELL	49	90¢	$44	0xa7e043…
05-15 06:17:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 16?	No	BUY	49	88¢	$43	0x5a4f1e…
05-14 19:31:32	US recession by end of 2026?	No	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0xb709d8…
05-14 06:41:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on May 15?	No	BUY	42	92¢	$39	0xf43b05…
05-12 12:20:35	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 13?	No	BUY	39	88¢	$35	0x767b2b…
05-12 12:18:40	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 12?	No	SELL	43	81¢	$35	0x3efe9d…
05-10 16:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 12?	No	BUY	43	80¢	$35	0xc0a445…
05-10 08:25:54	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 10?	No	SELL	35	98¢	$35	0x727b95…
05-08 10:30:50	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 10?	No	BUY	35	85¢	$30	0xd61a2a…
05-07 05:30:56	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 8?	No	SELL	36	86¢	$31	0x5a908e…
05-06 16:33:43	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on May 8?	No	BUY	36	76¢	$27	0xaa25a1…
05-05 16:21:24	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 5?	No	SELL	29	97¢	$28	0x4f8676…
05-03 17:56:50	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 5?	No	BUY	29	88¢	$25	0x388811…
05-01 18:55:18	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 3?	No	BUY	25	95¢	$24	0x33da63…
04-30 09:58:42	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on May 1?	No	BUY	24	91¢	$21	0x98434f…
04-26 18:15:12	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 27°C on April 28?	No	BUY	22	93¢	$21	0x84721b…
04-25 14:28:16	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 25?	No	SELL	21	100¢	$21	0x0c88b7…
04-24 19:36:06	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 25?	No	BUY	21	89¢	$18	0x402ed5…
04-24 19:25:56	highest temperature in madrid on april 24 2026 23c	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x93ef96…
04-22 21:38:42	highest temperature in madrid on april 24 2026 23c	No	BUY	19	88¢	$16	0xf95f7b…
04-22 08:30:38	highest temperature in madrid on april 22 2026 26c	No	SELL	17	97¢	$16	0x275db2…
04-21 14:07:42	highest temperature in madrid on april 22 2026 26c	No	BUY	17	82¢	$14	0x5c00fa…
04-21 14:03:54	highest temperature in madrid on april 21 2026 27c	No	SELL	30	42¢	$12	0xf45cfa…
04-21 13:36:54	highest temperature in madrid on april 21 2026 30c	Yes	SELL	193	0¢	$1	0xfff0b4…
04-21 13:36:48	highest temperature in madrid on april 22 2026 30c	Yes	SELL	615	0¢	$1	0xe88447…
04-20 13:53:16	highest temperature in madrid on april 21 2026 30c	Yes	BUY	203	4¢	$8	0x68343a…
04-20 13:46:52	highest temperature in madrid on april 22 2026 30c	Yes	BUY	647	1¢	$7	0x9d38de…
04-20 05:53:50	highest temperature in madrid on april 21 2026 27c	No	BUY	28	83¢	$23	0xe581c6…
04-20 05:49:20	highest temperature in madrid on april 20 2026 27c	No	SELL	37	65¢	$24	0x3ecb9c…
04-19 20:48:44	highest temperature in madrid on april 21 2026 27c	No	BUY	2	89¢	$1	0xd203b9…
04-19 15:20:10	highest temperature in madrid on april 19 2026 29c	Yes	SELL	25	6¢	$1	0xdcfa88…
04-19 13:27:12	highest temperature in madrid on april 20 2026 27c	No	BUY	37	62¢	$23	0xc824f7…
04-19 13:26:10	highest temperature in madrid on april 20 2026 26c	No	SELL	24	97¢	$23	0x225539…
04-19 07:31:18	highest temperature in madrid on april 20 2026 26c	No	BUY	24	95¢	$23	0x8a03b5…
04-19 07:07:20	highest temperature in madrid on april 19 2026 29c	No	SELL	25	92¢	$23	0xdc60a5…
04-18 16:41:16	highest temperature in madrid on april 19 2026 29c	Yes	BUY	26	29¢	$8	0x8303a5…
04-18 06:51:56	highest temperature in madrid on april 19 2026 29c	No	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0x5199e7…
04-18 06:50:44	highest temperature in madrid on april 18 2026 29c	No	SELL	21	92¢	$20	0x2233ad…
04-17 21:40:36	highest temperature in madrid on april 18 2026 29c	No	BUY	21	91¢	$20	0x085992…
04-17 20:15:48	highest temperature in madrid on april 17 2026 28c	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xc36acd…
04-17 13:42:32	highest temperature in madrid on april 17 2026 28c	Yes	SELL	62	2¢	$1	0x164382…
04-16 20:36:46	highest temperature in madrid on april 17 2026 28c	Yes	BUY	64	23¢	$15	0x422275…
04-16 19:26:30	highest temperature in los angeles on april 16 2026 70 71f	Yes	SELL	18	8¢	$1	0x6e6a8a…
04-16 17:54:14	highest temperature in madrid on april 16 2026 27c	No	SELL	33	100¢	$33	0x480b4a…
04-16 12:59:54	highest temperature in madrid on april 17 2026 28c	No	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0xda9be3…
04-16 11:27:38	highest temperature in madrid on april 16 2026 26c	Yes	SELL	11	42¢	$5	0x4181ce…
04-16 11:25:04	highest temperature in madrid on april 16 2026 27c	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x33fd50…
04-16 00:17:02	highest temperature in madrid on april 16 2026 25c	Yes	SELL	12	30¢	$4	0xc11d71…
04-16 00:17:02	highest temperature in los angeles on april 16 2026 72 73f	Yes	SELL	21	8¢	$2	0x648972…
04-15 19:08:04	highest temperature in madrid on april 15 2026 24c	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0x040469…
04-15 16:39:16	highest temperature in madrid on april 16 2026 26c	Yes	BUY	11	40¢	$4	0x6e615c…
04-15 16:39:04	highest temperature in madrid on april 16 2026 25c	Yes	BUY	12	44¢	$5	0x8a5b2c…
04-15 08:14:46	highest temperature in madrid on april 15 2026 23c	Yes	BUY	18	26¢	$5	0x0212f7…
04-15 08:14:36	highest temperature in madrid on april 15 2026 24c	Yes	BUY	10	55¢	$5	0x51ae4d…
04-15 07:12:22	highest temperature in los angeles on april 16 2026 72 73f	Yes	BUY	22	20¢	$4	0x0c9841…
04-15 07:11:56	highest temperature in los angeles on april 16 2026 70 71f	Yes	BUY	18	31¢	$6	0x4fe3d8…
04-14 17:14:02	highest temperature in madrid on april 15 2026 23c	Yes	SELL	7	29¢	$2	0xc838d1…
04-14 17:13:58	highest temperature in madrid on april 15 2026 24c	Yes	SELL	7	46¢	$3	0x6aba55…
04-14 17:13:14	highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 72forhigher	Yes	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x6b7e0b…
04-14 17:12:50	highest temperature in los angeles on april 15 2026 70 71f	Yes	SELL	12	29¢	$3	0x153fa2…
04-14 08:32:07	highest temperature in madrid on april 15 2026 24c	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xe6937f…
04-14 08:31:53	highest temperature in madrid on april 15 2026 23c	Yes	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xb90054…
04-14 08:13:57	highest temperature in madrid on april 14 2026 21c	Yes	SELL	4	42¢	$2	0xc71bbb…
04-14 08:13:53	highest temperature in madrid on april 14 2026 20c	Yes	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0xe22993…
04-14 08:11:49	highest temperature in san francisco on april 14 2026 60 61f	Yes	SELL	4	44¢	$2	0xae2b58…