Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 16?
open
Total volume
$140
Trades
33
Unique wallets
25
Liquidity
$1,039
Latest YES mid
14¢
Latest NO mid
86¢
End date
2026-05-16
First seen
2026-05-14
last 05-15 13:16
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $7 | $7 |
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $44 | $44 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 22 | $38 | $48 | $10 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $8 | $51 | $43 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $4 | $15 | $11 |
| Median | 6 | $9 | $10 | $1 |
| Below median | 6 | $9 | $13 | $3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| unranked | 3 | $7 | — | +$7 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +46 | $39 | $39 | 3 | 05-15 04:13 |
| Breakable-Box 0xf841…915b | Yes | +38 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-15 06:19 |
| Separate-Swordfish 0x2e99…b482 | Yes | +35 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-15 13:16 |
| Boiling-Want 0x4952…d9b0 | Yes | +32 | $5 | $5 | 4 | 05-15 04:00 |
| Cheap-Advocate 0x24a4…d98c | Yes | +28 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 16:43 |
| Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | Yes | +23 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-15 07:39 |
| Substantial-Setting 0xd92f…acac | Yes | +22 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-15 10:20 |
| Angry-Anywhere 0x724f…a426 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-15 08:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-14 23:27 |
| Cheery-Jewel 0x3334…69b0 | No | +11 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-15 03:18 |
| Infamous-Grabbag 0x5df1…d397 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 10:34 |
| Edible-Frosting 0xa98f…d282 | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-14 23:02 |
| Impeccable-Setting 0xc138…9baa | Yes | +10 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 12:12 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +9 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-14 20:22 |
| (anonymous) 0x3d05…a379 | Yes | +8 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 12:14 |
| Angry-Platter 0xef46…22a6 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 10:30 |
| Striped-Herring-Kick 0x982f…1105 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 23:31 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | +7 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 11:25 |
| (anonymous) 0xf868…e2d0 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 04:13 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 21:57 |
| Partial-Candidate 0xbbaa…88a2 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 10:34 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-14 16:21 |
| (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 16:43 |
| Worrisome-Markup 0x2c0a…c480 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-15 12:14 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-15 13:16:05 | Separate-Swordfish 0x2e99…b482 | Yes | BUY | 35 | 14¢ | $5 | 0x649a98… |
| 05-15 12:14:18 | (anonymous) 0x3d05…a379 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x390596… |
| 05-15 12:14:17 | Worrisome-Markup 0x2c0a…c480 | No | BUY | 1 | 87¢ | $1 | 0x5fe51e… |
| 05-15 10:30:20 | Angry-Platter 0xef46…22a6 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xa5d700… |
| 05-15 10:20:33 | Substantial-Setting 0xd92f…acac | Yes | BUY | 22 | 14¢ | $3 | 0xbd954b… |
| 05-15 08:50:49 | Angry-Anywhere 0x724f…a426 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 14¢ | $2 | 0xd7f530… |
| 05-15 07:39:26 | Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 14¢ | $2 | 0x5db61b… |
| 05-15 06:19:38 | Breakable-Box 0xf841…915b | Yes | BUY | 38 | 18¢ | $7 | 0x4428da… |
| 05-15 04:13:24 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 7 | 86¢ | $6 | 0x242d0e… |
| 05-15 04:13:24 | (anonymous) 0xf868…e2d0 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x96eb78… |
| 05-15 04:00:24 | Boiling-Want 0x4952…d9b0 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x25c142… |
| 05-15 04:00:22 | Boiling-Want 0x4952…d9b0 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xccf0f2… |
| 05-15 04:00:17 | Boiling-Want 0x4952…d9b0 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x7635fe… |
| 05-15 04:00:17 | Boiling-Want 0x4952…d9b0 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xb8b9bd… |
| 05-15 03:18:17 | Cheery-Jewel 0x3334…69b0 | No | BUY | 11 | 86¢ | $9 | 0x71870c… |
| 05-14 23:31:52 | Striped-Herring-Kick 0x982f…1105 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 14¢ | $1 | 0xe1a99a… |
| 05-14 23:27:27 | (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | No | BUY | 12 | 87¢ | $10 | 0xeb83e5… |
| 05-14 23:27:24 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 23 | 87¢ | $20 | 0x722cc5… |
| 05-14 23:22:07 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 15 | 85¢ | $13 | 0xecba4f… |
| 05-14 23:02:00 | Edible-Frosting 0xa98f…d282 | No | BUY | 10 | 88¢ | $8 | 0x8a6393… |
| 05-14 21:57:37 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xa0cb6d… |
| 05-14 21:57:37 | (anonymous) 0x8ca2…1d74 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 11¢ | $2 | 0x5a9e7d… |
| 05-14 20:22:01 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 9 | 83¢ | $7 | 0x0b0862… |
| 05-14 20:22:01 | (anonymous) 0x8ca2…1d74 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x6695f9… |
| 05-14 16:43:58 | Cheap-Advocate 0x24a4…d98c | Yes | BUY | 28 | 18¢ | $5 | 0x11cab0… |
| 05-14 16:43:58 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | No | BUY | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x723a1e… |
| 05-14 16:43:58 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | No | BUY | 0 | 84¢ | $0 | 0x5a4b21… |
| 05-14 16:21:46 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 5 | 84¢ | $4 | 0x1e24ad… |
| 05-14 12:12:32 | Impeccable-Setting 0xc138…9baa | Yes | BUY | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x5a1131… |
| 05-14 11:25:23 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 7 | 80¢ | $5 | 0x6ca4c6… |
| 05-14 10:34:29 | Partial-Candidate 0xbbaa…88a2 | No | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x57a7b9… |
| 05-14 10:34:01 | Infamous-Grabbag 0x5df1…d397 | No | BUY | 10 | 80¢ | $8 | 0xe8f5ec… |
| 05-14 07:39:11 | Ripe-Loss-Advancement 0xe12c…def5 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 20¢ | $2 | 0xf15ad3… |