Substantial-Setting — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$88

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.2%

Resolved

1,587

Trades

3,755

lifetime

Volume

$29.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 07-31 03:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 97 days

Categories

Crypto

70% 58% -$592

Other

27% 30% +$524

Sports

2% 8% -$18

Politics

0% 30% -$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-31).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 4?	11	$1.2K	11,211	1,211	+10,000	Yes	+$1,188	05-04 03:09
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	3	$446	301	301	+0	Finland	+$156	06-01 03:12
Will Switzerland win the 2026 IIHF World Championship?	2	$412	588	588	+0	No	+$212	05-31 08:01
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	22	$310	553	0	+553	Down	-$310	05-29 19:00
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	13	$238	345	0	+345	Up	+$107	05-29 03:03
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 13:50 UTC	14	$200	311	0	+311	Down	+$111	07-08 13:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-10 01:50 UTC	15	$195	316	0	+316	Up	+$121	07-10 01:50
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$183	1,042	1,042	+0	No	-$17	06-18 10:26
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	4	$173	110	110	+0	Down	+$45	05-28 03:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 12:35 UTC	2	$147	233	0	+233	Down	-$147	07-14 12:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 13:35 UTC	5	$145	229	0	+229	Down	+$84	07-07 13:38
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 4?	138	$134	14,169	0	+14,169	No	-$134	05-04 03:02
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-09 13:30 UTC	5	$130	212	0	+212	Down	+$82	07-09 13:30
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 13?	3	$121	115	115	+0	Yes	+$91	05-13 12:37
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	4	$119	1,260	1,260	+0	No	-$1	06-09 17:52
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	4	$105	402	139	+263	Down	-$45	06-02 16:39
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 17?	10	$103	95	95	+0	Yes	+$83	05-17 13:09
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$100	417	417	+0	Yes	+$0	06-18 17:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-08 09:15 UTC	7	$100	165	0	+165	Down	+$65	07-08 09:16
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 12?	50	$98	50,754	0	+50,754	No	-$98	05-12 14:59
fifwc fra irq 2026 06 22 spread home 2pt5	2	$98	88	88	+0	France	-$2	06-22 18:53
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-07 19:10 UTC	2	$98	149	0	+149	Down	+$51	07-07 19:13
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C or higher on May 13?	17	$95	9,358	0	+9,358	Yes	-$95	05-13 09:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 05:40 UTC	2	$91	58	58	+0	Down	+$22	07-17 05:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-15 14:00 UTC	2	$90	56	56	+0	Up	+$21	07-15 14:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 12:50 UTC	3	$90	57	57	+0	Up	+$20	07-14 12:54
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 17?	11	$88	143	143	+0	Yes	+$59	07-17 13:47
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 7?	2	$87	81	81	+0	Yes	+$61	06-07 16:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-12 01:05 UTC	2	$85	118	0	+118	Up	+$33	07-12 01:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-14 00:45 UTC	3	$85	116	0	+116	Up	+$31	07-14 00:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-31 03:15:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-31 03:15 UTC	Down	BUY	17	70¢	$12	0x1c4fe3…
07-30 13:50:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-30 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	19	62¢	$12	0xb7d6b1…
07-29 21:05:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	19	61¢	$12	0x1a4ea0…
07-29 19:50:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 19:50 UTC	Down	BUY	21	52¢	$11	0x6d27ba…
07-29 19:35:35	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 19:35 UTC	Down	BUY	21	58¢	$12	0x6caf64…
07-29 13:40:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-29 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	19	62¢	$12	0x1e0384…
07-28 13:46:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 13:45 UTC	Down	BUY	19	62¢	$12	0x2918ba…
07-28 13:40:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	19	57¢	$11	0x2b4bfd…
07-24 23:38:28	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 23:35 UTC	Down	BUY	87	59¢	$51	0xb7eed3…
07-24 21:48:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 21:45 UTC	Down	BUY	82	66¢	$54	0xc4a013…
07-24 21:08:46	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 21:05 UTC	Down	BUY	86	60¢	$52	0x3a7214…
07-24 13:40:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	74	59¢	$44	0xe1af2b…
07-24 13:10:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	36	61¢	$22	0xed3309…
07-24 13:10:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-24 13:10 UTC	Down	BUY	38	61¢	$23	0x726be3…
07-23 13:51:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	82	54¢	$44	0x9c34d9…
07-23 07:19:37	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	51	70¢	$35	0xf042b8…
07-23 07:19:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	28	70¢	$20	0x3336ee…
07-23 04:08:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	104	49¢	$51	0x3d7a90…
07-23 02:03:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 02:00 UTC	Down	BUY	75	70¢	$53	0x2a48f6…
07-23 00:48:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	22	77¢	$17	0xaa061c…
07-23 00:48:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xd9762b…
07-23 00:48:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0xc52933…
07-23 00:48:43	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-23 00:45 UTC	Up	BUY	39	77¢	$30	0x978a71…
07-22 07:20:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	15	63¢	$9	0x26cc5d…
07-22 07:20:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x74d668…
07-22 07:20:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 07:20 UTC	Down	BUY	36	63¢	$23	0x1e1cf5…
07-22 07:18:51	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	90	54¢	$49	0x84d3fe…
07-22 04:34:06	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 04:30 UTC	Down	BUY	85	63¢	$53	0x4b3caa…
07-22 02:59:30	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 02:55 UTC	Down	BUY	86	60¢	$52	0x94496a…
07-21 14:25:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 14:25 UTC	Up	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x0f5bcc…
07-21 14:20:43	Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	24	60¢	$15	0x32b26c…
07-21 14:05:19	Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	54¢	$14	0x1e3046…
07-21 13:43:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	62	71¢	$44	0x44eb5f…
07-21 13:38:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	63	69¢	$44	0x942181…
07-21 04:50:27	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 04:50 UTC	Up	BUY	25	60¢	$15	0x45afa4…
07-21 04:00:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0x9af25f…
07-21 04:00:36	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	3	57¢	$2	0xbb12a4…
07-21 04:00:21	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 04:00 UTC	Up	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x1ae1da…
07-21 02:48:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	28	60¢	$17	0xfd8e03…
07-21 02:48:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	19	60¢	$12	0xef2667…
07-21 02:48:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$4	0x75cec5…
07-21 02:48:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x50be59…
07-21 02:48:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x121b0a…
07-21 02:48:45	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 02:45 UTC	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x02746c…
07-21 02:29:09	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	62	65¢	$40	0xd99883…
07-21 02:20:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0x94ceac…
07-21 02:10:42	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 02:10 UTC	Up	BUY	26	56¢	$15	0x82142b…
07-21 02:05:10	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 02:05 UTC	Up	BUY	25	58¢	$15	0x69050d…
07-21 02:00:34	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-21 02:00 UTC	Up	BUY	29	50¢	$15	0x6d4f3a…
07-21 00:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - July 20, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	65	66¢	$43	0xdc8cde…
07-20 18:55:15	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 18:55 UTC	Up	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0xcb81db…
07-20 18:50:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 18:50 UTC	Up	BUY	25	57¢	$14	0x3dc6bd…
07-20 18:45:16	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 18:45 UTC	Up	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x0039de…
07-20 18:35:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	24	59¢	$14	0xd84fce…
07-20 18:35:18	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 18:35 UTC	Up	BUY	1	59¢	$1	0xd65fb6…
07-20 18:25:37	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	26	57¢	$15	0x0e3c57…
07-20 18:15:57	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 18:15 UTC	Up	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0xaad37e…
07-20 18:00:33	ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 18:00 UTC	Up	BUY	29	49¢	$14	0x7cca42…
07-20 13:56:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 13:55 UTC	Down	BUY	57	61¢	$35	0x085790…
07-20 13:51:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 13:50 UTC	Down	BUY	55	64¢	$35	0x69cb74…
07-20 07:19:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 07:15 UTC	Down	BUY	69	34¢	$23	0x3ec796…
07-20 06:40:25	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-20 06:40 UTC	Down	BUY	56	62¢	$34	0x529b85…
07-19 18:23:10	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 18:20 UTC	Down	BUY	74	59¢	$44	0xc234e1…
07-19 17:04:01	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 17:00 UTC	Down	BUY	62	67¢	$41	0x3f4a83…
07-19 09:38:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 09:35 UTC	Down	BUY	79	54¢	$43	0xbc221b…
07-19 08:18:49	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 08:15 UTC	Down	BUY	64	69¢	$44	0x4cf658…
07-19 00:24:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 00:20 UTC	Down	BUY	76	56¢	$43	0xf9fd4b…
07-18 22:54:54	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	28	45¢	$13	0x9b3497…
07-18 22:54:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	40	45¢	$18	0xd78515…
07-18 22:54:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xc94283…
07-18 22:54:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	8	45¢	$4	0xc2135b…
07-18 22:54:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 22:50 UTC	Up	BUY	19	45¢	$8	0xc19cbd…
07-18 20:30:48	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 20:30 UTC	Down	BUY	59	58¢	$34	0x1ff9d8…
07-18 18:25:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 18:25 UTC	Up	BUY	66	52¢	$34	0xf5e5de…
07-18 15:18:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xf27a55…
07-18 15:18:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xe57a2e…
07-18 15:18:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	1	55¢	$0	0xa663a4…
07-18 15:18:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x707f19…
07-18 15:18:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x13390a…
07-18 15:18:22	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	13	55¢	$7	0x03de6e…
07-18 15:18:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0xec12d1…
07-18 15:18:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0x8e9072…
07-18 15:18:21	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 15:15 UTC	Up	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x16078c…
07-18 03:13:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 03:10 UTC	Down	BUY	66	66¢	$44	0x5395a3…
07-17 22:00:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 22:00 UTC	Up	BUY	56	62¢	$34	0x37a084…
07-17 18:43:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 18:40 UTC	Up	BUY	66	66¢	$44	0x721acd…
07-17 15:30:40	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 15:30 UTC	Up	BUY	56	62¢	$35	0x6c7c4f…
07-17 15:10:19	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	56	61¢	$34	0x2d254f…
07-17 14:40:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 14:40 UTC	Down	BUY	56	62¢	$34	0x1006ef…
07-17 13:47:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on July 17?	Yes	SELL	143	51¢	$73	0x720040…
07-17 13:43:39	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	63	70¢	$44	0x7bcb45…
07-17 13:35:52	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 13:35 UTC	Down	BUY	58	59¢	$34	0x9dd010…
07-17 10:05:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xf021ff…
07-17 10:05:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0xa8a5f9…
07-17 10:05:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 10:05 UTC	Up	BUY	42	68¢	$29	0x55b0dd…
07-17 05:45:31	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 05:45 UTC	Down	BUY	57	60¢	$34	0x4ebe5c…
07-17 05:43:13	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 05:40 UTC	Down	SELL	58	97¢	$57	0x4c290d…
07-17 05:40:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 05:40 UTC	Down	BUY	58	59¢	$34	0x2663b0…
07-17 05:11:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on July 19?	Yes	BUY	4	19¢	$1	0x8e90b7…
07-17 03:34:27	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-17 03:30 UTC	Down	BUY	60	75¢	$45	0x99a672…