Substantial-Setting — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$69

Unrealized P&L

-$15

Hit rate

42.8%

Resolved

Trades

839

lifetime

Volume

$5.70K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$35

1 position

First seen

2026-04-17

last 06-12 03:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

85% 24% $-69

Other

14% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

45 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No		+417	$50	8¢	$35	$-15	06-04 15:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	2	$351	99	301	-202	open	—	06-01 03:12
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	22	$310	553	0	+553	open	—	05-29 19:00
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	13	$238	345	0	+345	open	—	05-29 03:03
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	4	$173	110	110	+0	open	—	05-28 03:44
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	4	$105	402	139	+263	open	—	06-02 16:39
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	3	$85	132	0	+132	open	—	06-02 13:45
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	5	$81	144	0	+144	open	—	05-21 17:32
Solana Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	10	$81	144	0	+144	open	—	05-29 16:00
Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	8	$80	113	0	+113	open	—	06-01 12:00
Solana Up or Down - May 22, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	6	$79	115	0	+115	open	—	05-22 11:00
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	7	$79	132	0	+132	open	—	05-21 20:45
Valorant: Karmine Corp vs Eternal Fire (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 2	5	$70	53	53	+0	open	—	05-22 17:56
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	12	$63	108	0	+108	open	—	05-28 02:01
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	3	$60	88	0	+88	open	—	05-27 19:15
Solana Up or Down - May 25, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	6	$60	103	0	+103	open	—	05-26 02:00
Solana Up or Down - May 27, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	3	$59	106	0	+106	open	—	05-27 20:16
fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	3	$59	74	57	+18	open	—	06-10 18:53
sol updown 15m 1780770600	4	$55	352	0	+352	open	—	06-06 18:36
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	3	$51	267	5	+262	open	—	06-02 16:48
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	5	$50	85	0	+85	open	—	05-28 14:30
World Championships: Norway vs. Latvia	1	$50	94	0	+94	open	—	05-28 12:30
Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	1	$50	417	0	+417	open	—	06-04 15:43
World Championships: Canada vs. Finland	1	$50	196	0	+196	open	—	05-30 18:30
Solana Up or Down - May 21, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	3	$50	86	0	+86	open	—	05-21 13:30
Solana Up or Down - June 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	2	$49	264	0	+264	open	—	06-02 16:30
fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 3pt5	2	$49	114	114	+0	open	—	06-10 18:26
Solana Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	7	$46	80	0	+80	open	—	05-28 21:00
Solana Up or Down - May 20, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	4	$43	89	0	+89	open	—	05-20 23:09
Solana Up or Down - May 19, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	4	$40	75	0	+75	open	—	05-20 01:30
Solana Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$40	65	0	+65	open	—	06-03 16:00

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 03:08:06	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	Under	SELL	17	89¢	$15	0xf24c26…
06-11 06:13:39	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 btts	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x114e76…
06-10 18:53:33	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0xd65896…
06-10 18:53:00	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xaffe17…
06-10 18:26:16	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 3pt5	Over	SELL	114	21¢	$24	0x1c1e3b…
06-10 18:26:06	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	Over	SELL	57	43¢	$24	0x69855f…
06-09 16:12:00	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	114	22¢	$25	0xc8c045…
06-09 16:11:30	fifwc mex rsa 2026 06 11 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	57	44¢	$25	0xef1f41…
06-06 18:36:16	sol updown 15m 1780770600	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x24fe57…
06-06 18:34:48	sol updown 15m 1780770600	Up	BUY	203	11¢	$22	0xd0e67d…
06-06 18:31:13	sol updown 15m 1780770600	Up	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x32f6b9…
06-06 18:30:12	sol updown 15m 1780770600	Up	BUY	56	41¢	$23	0x2b33ac…
06-06 16:30:18	sol updown 15m 1780763400	Down	BUY	42	58¢	$25	0xd5bf31…
06-06 13:51:19	sol updown 15m 1780753500	Down	SELL	11	75¢	$8	0x550ba9…
06-06 13:45:13	sol updown 15m 1780753500	Down	BUY	11	43¢	$5	0x249be7…
06-06 13:31:22	sol updown 15m 1780752600	Down	SELL	8	76¢	$6	0x0b9c16…
06-06 13:30:21	sol updown 15m 1780752600	Down	BUY	8	57¢	$5	0xe0acbe…
06-06 10:15:31	sol updown 15m 1780740900	Down	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x542f20…
06-06 10:15:31	sol updown 15m 1780740900	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x19c963…
06-06 10:15:30	sol updown 15m 1780740900	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xfbf82f…
06-06 08:54:10	sol updown 15m 1780735500	Up	SELL	11	77¢	$8	0xd1b825…
06-06 08:45:07	sol updown 15m 1780735500	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x32350f…
06-06 07:45:24	sol updown 15m 1780731900	Up	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xa466bb…
06-06 07:15:33	sol updown 15m 1780730100	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0xfbce87…
06-05 16:11:37	solana up or down june 5 2026 12pm et	Down	SELL	25	80¢	$20	0xa264fe…
06-05 16:00:33	solana up or down june 5 2026 12pm et	Down	BUY	25	59¢	$15	0x718d38…
06-05 14:09:30	solana up or down june 5 2026 10am et	Up	SELL	25	79¢	$19	0xa03339…
06-05 14:00:25	solana up or down june 5 2026 10am et	Up	BUY	25	61¢	$15	0x838b61…
06-05 09:25:43	solana up or down june 5 2026 5am et	Up	SELL	2	96¢	$2	0xbfd0d4…
06-05 09:20:30	solana up or down june 5 2026 5am et	Up	SELL	8	91¢	$7	0xd63867…
06-05 09:05:10	solana up or down june 5 2026 5am et	Up	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x1e6ad0…
06-05 08:18:00	solana up or down june 5 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0xe71df2…
06-05 08:17:51	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	10	85¢	$8	0xebe398…
06-05 08:17:40	ethereum up or down june 5 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x0240a5…
06-05 08:17:31	xrp up or down june 5 2026 4am et	Down	SELL	10	87¢	$9	0xc7fe62…
06-05 08:06:13	solana up or down june 5 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x8b6863…
06-05 08:06:09	ethereum up or down june 5 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xb20482…
06-05 08:05:58	xrp up or down june 5 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x35f968…
06-05 08:05:52	bitcoin up or down june 5 2026 4am et	Down	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xcadea2…
06-05 06:32:27	solana up or down june 5 2026 2am et	Down	SELL	11	97¢	$11	0x39f936…
06-05 06:12:04	solana up or down june 5 2026 2am et	Down	BUY	11	62¢	$7	0x37c6e1…
06-04 15:43:30	Will Neymar play in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	417	12¢	$50	0x6dd473…
06-04 14:17:25	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 9am et	Up	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x2a4a5f…
06-04 13:50:06	bitcoin up or down june 4 2026 9am et	Up	BUY	12	54¢	$6	0x3b609b…
06-04 03:00:12	sol updown 15m 1780542000	Up	BUY	11	55¢	$6	0xe41333…
06-04 02:00:07	sol updown 15m 1780538400	Up	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xb080cd…
06-03 21:30:09	sol updown 15m 1780522200	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$3	0xda2fd4…
06-03 21:30:07	sol updown 15m 1780522200	Down	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0x880607…
06-03 20:24:28	sol updown 15m 1780517700	Down	BUY	9	62¢	$6	0x62581e…
06-03 20:24:25	sol updown 15m 1780517700	Down	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x8f2b15…
06-03 16:45:07	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	58¢	$7	0x0d1457…
06-03 16:00:15	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	41	62¢	$25	0xfecce3…
06-03 16:00:15	Solana Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	62¢	$15	0x9c078e…
06-02 23:45:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	66	57¢	$37	0xca5850…
06-02 20:00:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Down	BUY	65	60¢	$39	0x229068…
06-02 16:48:03	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	85	29¢	$25	0xafdea8…
06-02 16:47:34	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x3343ae…
06-02 16:46:52	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	181	14¢	$25	0x5bd0df…
06-02 16:39:50	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	181	14¢	$25	0xc91f80…
06-02 16:38:01	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	82	30¢	$25	0xe17894…
06-02 16:37:33	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	SELL	139	22¢	$30	0x6be6a7…
06-02 16:36:51	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	139	18¢	$25	0x7888b7…
06-02 16:30:00	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	186	13¢	$25	0x3dfa12…
06-02 16:20:26	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	78	31¢	$24	0x24b682…
06-02 16:04:52	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	84	30¢	$25	0x889f2c…
06-02 15:30:07	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	45¢	$6	0x53aaad…
06-02 13:45:16	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0xcba7cd…
06-02 13:45:13	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	119	65¢	$77	0xb51315…
06-02 13:45:07	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0xd88008…
06-02 08:15:11	Solana Up or Down - June 2, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x8b903b…
06-02 01:00:12	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x761b95…
06-02 01:00:10	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0xe2d739…
06-01 12:00:29	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xfcfc4d…
06-01 12:00:29	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$3	0x16bac4…
06-01 12:00:10	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0xddd3fb…
06-01 12:00:10	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x60c9cb…
06-01 12:00:08	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	23	71¢	$16	0xd4feeb…
06-01 12:00:08	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	71¢	$6	0x9bd231…
06-01 12:00:08	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0x1a0b43…
06-01 12:00:06	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	71¢	$3	0xd156f4…
06-01 03:12:10	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	Finland	SELL	301	100¢	$301	0x623064…
06-01 00:30:42	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	48¢	$0	0x19a53a…
06-01 00:30:40	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0xdbda4b…
05-31 20:00:09	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x49fe87…
05-31 19:21:07	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Finland	Finland	BUY	99	51¢	$50	0xb2e1bc…
05-30 18:30:25	World Championships: Canada vs. Finland	Finland	BUY	196	25¢	$50	0x643706…
05-30 13:45:38	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x1e509b…
05-30 13:45:22	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	0	55¢	$0	0x39f9e7…
05-30 13:42:50	World Championships: Switzerland vs. Norway	Norway	BUY	123	16¢	$20	0x660a25…
05-29 19:00:40	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	56¢	$1	0xe14739…
05-29 19:00:40	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0x25594b…
05-29 19:00:38	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	24	56¢	$13	0x9e9cf7…
05-29 19:00:38	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	15	56¢	$8	0x8be428…
05-29 19:00:38	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	56¢	$1	0x8394e2…
05-29 19:00:38	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x816669…
05-29 19:00:38	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x756d02…
05-29 19:00:38	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	60	56¢	$34	0x4bd2c5…
05-29 19:00:38	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	145	56¢	$81	0x479935…
05-29 19:00:38	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	56¢	$17	0x25c0b7…
05-29 19:00:38	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x08f908…