Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 12?
open
Total volume
$83
$1,310 in 24h
Trades
30
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$2,563
Latest YES mid
36¢
Latest NO mid
64¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 10:18
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $2 | $2 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $2 | $25 | $23 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $21 | $18 | +$3 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | — | $8 | $8 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | $13 | $2 | +$11 |
| Median | 3 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| Below median | 3 | $2 | $5 | $3 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | — | $23 | $23 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $4 | $6 | $2 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| unranked | 2 | — | — | +— |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | +30 | $21 | $21 | 1 | 05-11 08:00 |
| Miserable-Buggy 0xf419…5f89 | Yes | +23 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-10 10:35 |
| Massive-Bookend 0x2c47…79f8 | Yes | +22 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 19:39 |
| Specific-Rent 0xa498…727b | Yes | +14 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 05-11 03:13 |
| Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-10 09:02 |
| Precious-Liquid 0x8be9…845f | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 03:05 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 10:17 |
| Kooky-Scrap 0x4a52…baaf | Yes | +6 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 03:01 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 10:17 |
| Ready-Lap 0x618e…9981 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 03:07 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +3 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-11 10:18 |
| Arid-Socialism 0xe481…32a3 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 07:30 |
| Minor-Mom 0x5d7b…435c | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 01:09 |
| Unsung-Instant 0x34bb…db52 | No | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 09:04 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 10:18:08 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 67¢ | $1 | 0x593100… |
| 05-11 10:18:01 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 67¢ | $1 | 0xdf978b… |
| 05-11 10:17:59 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | No | BUY | 7 | 67¢ | $4 | 0xeef76a… |
| 05-11 10:17:47 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 5 | 66¢ | $3 | 0x991109… |
| 05-11 09:04:50 | Unsung-Instant 0x34bb…db52 | No | BUY | 2 | 73¢ | $1 | 0xb33a4e… |
| 05-11 08:00:03 | (anonymous) 0xd56e…9457 | No | SELL | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xd39c1a… |
| 05-11 08:00:03 | Tepid-Monopoly 0x28bf…4a4e | No | BUY | 30 | 71¢ | $21 | 0xd32983… |
| 05-11 07:30:11 | Arid-Socialism 0xe481…32a3 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 33¢ | $1 | 0x92cb98… |
| 05-11 06:04:37 | Average-Zampone 0x2a25…8055 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x5cd3e9… |
| 05-11 04:18:37 | Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | SELL | 5 | 68¢ | $3 | 0x1ab4d2… |
| 05-11 03:13:22 | Specific-Rent 0xa498…727b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x446d50… |
| 05-11 03:07:27 | Specific-Rent 0xa498…727b | Yes | BUY | 7 | 29¢ | $2 | 0x61b79b… |
| 05-11 03:07:08 | Ready-Lap 0x618e…9981 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x868197… |
| 05-11 03:05:53 | Precious-Liquid 0x8be9…845f | Yes | BUY | 8 | 28¢ | $2 | 0xcfa506… |
| 05-11 03:01:16 | (anonymous) 0x46d3…2c20 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 26¢ | $0 | 0x990d46… |
| 05-11 03:01:13 | Kooky-Scrap 0x4a52…baaf | Yes | BUY | 6 | 29¢ | $2 | 0xd6d690… |
| 05-11 03:01:13 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 26¢ | $0 | 0x332ef4… |
| 05-11 03:01:13 | (anonymous) 0xb7a0…b8aa | Yes | SELL | 1 | 26¢ | $0 | 0xf2f228… |
| 05-11 03:01:04 | (anonymous) 0x46d3…2c20 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 26¢ | $0 | 0x50cea0… |
| 05-11 03:01:02 | (anonymous) 0x46d3…2c20 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 27¢ | $0 | 0xdce348… |
| 05-11 02:55:14 | Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | BUY | 5 | 72¢ | $4 | 0x05e523… |
| 05-11 01:09:39 | Minor-Mom 0x5d7b…435c | No | BUY | 2 | 74¢ | $2 | 0x39a691… |
| 05-10 19:49:29 | Variable-Fritter 0xb26b…ec9c | Yes | SELL | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x0f3fec… |
| 05-10 19:39:38 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | Yes | SELL | 7 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xf959b8… |
| 05-10 19:39:34 | (anonymous) 0x46d3…2c20 | Yes | SELL | 9 | 26¢ | $2 | 0xe98539… |
| 05-10 19:39:32 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 27¢ | $0 | 0xdd9838… |
| 05-10 19:39:31 | Massive-Bookend 0x2c47…79f8 | Yes | BUY | 22 | 28¢ | $6 | 0xbf2449… |
| 05-10 10:35:51 | (anonymous) 0x97f1…a523 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 19¢ | $0 | 0xb5b4b8… |
| 05-10 10:35:49 | Miserable-Buggy 0xf419…5f89 | Yes | BUY | 23 | 29¢ | $7 | 0x901f1b… |
| 05-10 09:02:24 | Squiggly-Access-Lane 0xcb26…0e22 | No | BUY | 8 | 74¢ | $6 | 0xc372ea… |