Grumpy-Haversack — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$21

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$629

lifetime

Avg / trade

$90

Open exposure

$18

1 position

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-05 20:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

93% 100% +$21

Other

7% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 5?	No		+18	$17	100¢	$18	+$0	05-05 17:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	1	$297	300	+300	Down	+$3	05-05 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$110	150	+150	open	—	05-05 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$89	100	+100	open	—	05-05 09:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$82	100	+100	Down	+$18	05-04 20:01
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 5?	1	$30	30	+30	open	—	05-05 05:05
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 5?	1	$17	18	+18	open	—	05-05 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	05-05 08:56

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-05 20:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	150	74¢	$110	0xc1d33f…
05-05 17:29:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 5?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$17	0xe1b6ba…
05-05 09:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xf4288b…
05-05 08:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xfebe15…
05-05 05:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0xebd6f2…
05-05 05:05:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 5?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0xdd0466…
05-04 20:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x9fcbea…