Grumpy-Haversack — Polymarket

Realized P&L (30d)

+$74

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved (30d)

Trades (30d)

20 lifetime

Volume (30d)

$1.62K

$1.62K lifetime

Avg / trade

$81

Open exposure

$515

8 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-06 14:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

59% 100% +$73

Other

41% 100% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets (5)

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 6?	No	+100	$99	100¢	$100	+$0	05-06 06:15
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C or higher on May 6?	No	+100	$100	100¢	$100	+$0	05-06 12:07
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C or higher on May 6?	No	+100	$100	100¢	$100	+$0	05-06 13:30
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 6?	No	+100	$99	99¢	$99	+$0	05-06 13:47
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C or higher on May 6?	No	+50	$50	100¢	$50	+$0	05-06 14:40
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 6?	No	+29	$28	100¢	$29	+$0	05-06 11:57
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on May 6?	No	+24	$24	100¢	$24	+$0	05-06 04:53
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C on May 6?	No	+14	$14	100¢	$14	+$0	05-06 06:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	1	$297	300	+300	Down	+$3	05-05 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$147	150	+150	open	—	05-06 11:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	1	$146	150	+150	open	—	05-06 11:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	1	$110	150	+150	Down	+$40	05-05 20:08
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C or higher on May 6?	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	05-06 13:30
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C or higher on May 6?	1	$100	100	+100	open	—	05-06 12:07
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 6?	1	$99	100	+100	open	—	05-06 06:15
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 5?	1	$99	100	+100	open	—	05-06 00:58
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 6?	1	$99	100	+100	open	—	05-06 13:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	1	$89	100	+100	Down	+$11	05-05 09:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$85	100	+100	open	—	05-06 07:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$82	100	+100	Down	+$18	05-04 20:01
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 5?	1	$30	30	+30	No	+$1	05-05 05:05
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 6?	1	$28	29	+29	open	—	05-06 11:57
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on May 6?	1	$24	24	+24	open	—	05-06 04:53
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 5?	1	$17	18	+18	open	—	05-05 17:29
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C on May 6?	1	$14	14	+14	open	—	05-06 06:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	1	$4	5	+5	Up	+$1	05-05 08:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	1	$4	5	+5	open	—	05-06 11:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 14:40:19	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 17°C or higher on May 6?	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xf9303e…
05-06 13:47:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 6?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x04e4e0…
05-06 13:30:20	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C or higher on May 6?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x527474…
05-06 12:07:18	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C or higher on May 6?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7e5d8c…
05-06 11:57:26	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 23°C on May 6?	No	BUY	29	98¢	$28	0x9dbfbc…
05-06 11:42:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	150	97¢	$146	0x2da3d5…
05-06 11:37:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0xfaa78a…
05-06 11:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	150	98¢	$147	0x62432b…
05-06 07:51:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x471094…
05-06 06:15:24	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 6?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xd3aed3…
05-06 06:14:20	Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 36°C on May 6?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xb95da9…
05-06 04:53:20	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on May 6?	No	BUY	24	99¢	$24	0xfb84f2…
05-06 00:58:30	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 5?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x943b39…
05-05 20:08:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	150	74¢	$110	0xc1d33f…
05-05 17:29:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 82-83°F on May 5?	No	BUY	18	99¢	$17	0xe1b6ba…
05-05 09:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xf4288b…
05-05 08:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xfebe15…
05-05 05:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0xebd6f2…
05-05 05:05:24	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on May 5?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0xdd0466…
05-04 20:01:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	82¢	$82	0x9fcbea…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	7	$526	29	05-06 11:42
Juicy-Comedy 0xb482…2ac7	6	$835	6	05-06 11:42
Friendly-Hammer 0x9752…62be	6	$543	6	05-06 11:42
Studious-Reality 0x167a…d542	5	$844	70	05-06 11:42
Vengeful-Utilization 0x652c…2af0	5	$594	9	05-06 11:42