Cheery-Erosion — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$156

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.5%

Resolved

2,632

Trades

4,930

lifetime

Volume

$34.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-27 23:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 219 days

Categories

Other

80% 73% -$134

Crypto

19% 34% -$38

Sports

0% 97% -$3

Politics

0% 91% +$8

Tech

0% 64% +$10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

80 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 12?	36	$1.2K	600	600	+0	No	+$3	05-12 15:48
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 7?	15	$504	256	250	+6	No	+$1	05-07 03:38
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C on May 8?	11	$404	205	200	+5	No	+$1	05-08 13:48
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C on May 1?	12	$397	200	198	+2	No	+$0	05-01 07:19
Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on May 16?	7	$396	200	200	+0	No	+$4	05-16 00:58
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on May 3?	6	$299	150	150	+0	No	+$0	05-03 06:22
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 3?	6	$297	179	120	+59	No	+$2	06-03 06:28
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 20?	9	$252	136	136	+0	No	+$14	05-19 21:53
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 5?	6	$239	120	120	+0	No	+$1	06-05 04:01
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on June 3?	5	$239	120	120	+0	No	+$1	06-03 21:03
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 13?	3	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-13 03:18
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 9?	3	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-09 11:36
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 12?	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-12 18:14
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on May 10?	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$0	05-10 04:32
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on May 10?	15	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$1	05-10 19:44
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 21°C on May 8?	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$1	05-08 17:20
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 37°C or higher on May 11?	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$1	05-11 16:37
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 10?	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$1	05-10 19:55
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 9?	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$1	05-09 16:14
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 10?	2	$199	100	100	+0	No	+$1	05-10 19:34
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 74°F or higher on May 17?	8	$198	100	100	+0	No	+$2	05-17 12:09
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on May 12?	2	$197	100	100	+0	No	+$2	05-12 23:59
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 14?	2	$197	100	100	+0	No	+$2	05-14 18:20
highest temperature in shanghai on april 9 2026 28c	12	$180	100	80	+20	No	+$0	04-09 06:55
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 20 2026 29c	24	$160	80	80	+0	No	+$0	04-20 05:54
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on June 5?	7	$141	82	60	+22	No	+$1	06-05 15:13
highest temperature in chengdu on april 10 2026 26corhigher	6	$140	70	70	+0	No	+$0	04-10 15:45
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 15 2026 29c	12	$137	77	60	+17	No	+$0	04-15 07:10
highest temperature in seoul on april 15 2026 19c	8	$121	61	60	+1	No	+$0	04-15 03:00
highest temperature in tokyo on april 22 2026 21c	8	$120	60	60	+0	No	+$0	04-22 02:32

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 23:48:27	Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on October 29?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xe791c9…
10-27 22:27:00	Will Ted Cruz post 140-159 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	0	63¢	$0	0xe28a77…
10-27 21:18:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 28?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xc20b6a…
10-27 18:44:12	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x93d513…
10-27 17:32:33	Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 26?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x0f3a53…
10-27 15:59:26	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on October 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x4ce424…
10-27 15:57:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 27?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe79e5a…
10-27 14:26:51	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xe5824e…
10-27 12:39:11	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x2cb0a4…
10-27 11:05:08	Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on October 27?	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xcffc55…
10-27 10:16:30	Will Zelenskyy post 120-139 posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0xb6929a…
10-27 10:14:45	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 30 to November 6, 2026?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x9b0d0e…
10-27 08:22:36	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x979b68…
10-27 08:19:12	Will Zelenskyy post 40-59 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x8397ed…
10-27 06:50:42	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 27?	No	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x50130a…
10-26 20:34:21	Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x15deed…
10-26 17:33:53	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0x941ff6…
10-26 16:56:38	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0xeffb00…
10-26 16:49:35	Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x336ba2…
10-26 16:01:47	Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on October 26?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd95553…
10-26 15:52:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 26?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x3c3dea…
10-26 15:48:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 26?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8a4d17…
10-26 15:26:30	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xaa75c8…
10-26 15:26:30	Will Zelenskyy post 0-19 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x6f31d3…
10-26 15:21:05	Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on October 26?	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xb6ee21…
10-26 13:35:17	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x193d49…
10-26 13:33:57	Will Tesla (TSLA) close at >$395 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 26 – Oct 30?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xf176c9…
10-26 00:23:09	Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x638b26…
10-25 16:05:59	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on October 25?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xf28254…
10-24 17:32:50	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xba83a6…
10-24 16:31:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 24?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x1d61b1…
10-24 15:23:12	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x17d641…
10-24 14:10:33	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x9a54f8…
10-24 12:37:11	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x0ebddf…
10-24 09:16:09	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on October 27?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xd6071b…
10-24 09:07:44	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on October 26?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x6b8c22…
10-24 09:01:41	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on October 25?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x6d73c0…
10-24 06:16:39	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 27 to November 3, 2026?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x0fcc0a…
10-24 02:59:12	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xc7d58b…
10-23 23:33:27	will nflx close between 60 and 70 week october 30 2026	No	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x75e99d…
10-23 22:55:03	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on October 24?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x364b4b…
10-23 22:11:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 26?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd36bd3…
10-23 20:05:44	Will Tesla (TSLA) close at >$375 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x05c3fc…
10-23 19:56:39	Will Tesla (TSLA) close at $370-$375 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?	No	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x891b8a…
10-23 16:49:21	Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at >$170 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x578702…
10-23 16:03:33	Will Muse from Meta be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb33fef…
10-23 15:55:33	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	5	2¢	$0	0xb2db8e…
10-23 15:47:12	Will CZ post 20-39 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x913d65…
10-23 14:33:11	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close at $210-$215 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x37f60d…
10-23 14:12:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x02783e…
10-23 13:56:03	Will Google have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x477675…
10-23 12:39:47	Will CZ post 40-59 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x4e5fa9…
10-23 12:07:03	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x90ff14…
10-23 12:03:30	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0x7f5e56…
10-23 11:00:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	0	53¢	$0	0xf29026…
10-23 11:00:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 25?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa8e528…
10-23 08:37:56	Will Capital One Mobile be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	No	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0xf04c9f…
10-23 07:56:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 24?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xae1e17…
10-23 05:32:12	Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on October 25?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x2cdc27…
10-23 03:41:12	reserved app 2 20261023 10172026 257117	No	BUY	3	13¢	$0	0xf0e131…
10-23 02:30:44	Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on October 24?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xeed378…
10-22 21:04:23	Will gemini-4-argon-high be the best AI model on November 2, 2026?	No	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xe42c40…
10-22 15:59:15	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 22?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x09c9e6…
10-22 15:58:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 22?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x8e8322…
10-22 14:02:20	Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x5abd98…
10-22 13:52:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xca3129…
10-22 13:32:03	Will Meta (META) close at <$660 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xfc0780…
10-22 03:08:09	Will Zelenskyy post 60-79 posts from October 16 to October 23, 2026?	No	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xb27101…
10-21 17:09:27	Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on October 23?	No	BUY	3	41¢	$1	0xddfd17…
10-21 16:01:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 23?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x176409…
10-21 15:56:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 21?	No	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xa841b3…
10-21 15:55:09	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 21?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x116757…
10-21 15:52:18	Will Zelenskyy post 80-99 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x7a6ace…
10-21 14:48:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xaf7de4…
10-21 14:15:27	Will 170-189 ships transit the Bab el-Mandeb Strait between October 19-October 25?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xfbe122…
10-21 14:03:44	Will SpaceX (SPCX) close at >$170 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0x02f396…
10-21 13:31:36	Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $60-$70 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x9140a9…
10-20 22:15:29	Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on October 22?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xf741b5…
10-20 17:41:32	Will any other model be the best AI model on October 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x91c67c…
10-20 17:40:18	Will Ted Cruz post 120-139 posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x50dbc5…
10-20 16:01:57	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 20 to October 27, 2026?	No	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0x5dbfb0…
10-20 16:01:05	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 22?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xd8e232…
10-20 15:57:53	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 20?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd3d3e2…
10-20 14:01:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 21?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0xa1cb6d…
10-20 13:13:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x2b11a8…
10-20 10:41:30	Will the price of XRP be between $1.20 and $1.30 on October 20?	No	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0xa89b54…
10-20 05:26:08	Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xbc3a79…
10-19 20:10:42	Will OpenAI have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 19?	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x74e4f1…
10-19 16:04:33	Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on October 19?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xb93d39…
10-19 16:04:33	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 19?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x6deabd…
10-19 14:46:12	Will Tesla (TSLA) close at >$375 on the final day of trading of the week of Oct 19 – Oct 23?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0x6e21af…
10-19 07:34:23	Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on October 20?	No	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x5d751c…
10-19 07:32:32	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 20?	No	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x4389b5…
10-19 06:36:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 19?	No	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0xe6b0bf…
10-19 04:44:24	Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on October 19?	No	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x503792…
10-18 15:56:18	Will the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on October 18?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xff7934…
10-18 15:54:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on October 18?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xcfcb3e…
10-18 08:36:48	will vinted pre loved marketplace be 2 free app in the us apple app store on october 23 10172026	No	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x9a25c4…
10-18 08:22:23	will chatgpt be 2 free app in the us apple app store on october 23 10172026	No	BUY	1	21¢	$0	0x6fc12d…
10-18 07:45:56	Will Muse from Meta be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 23?	No	BUY	4	21¢	$1	0x59b08a…