Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on May 12?
open
Total volume
$76
$1,080 in 24h
Trades
31
Unique wallets
24
Liquidity
$2,597
Latest YES mid
11¢
Latest NO mid
89¢
End date
2026-05-12
First seen
2026-05-10
last 05-11 13:32
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 23 | $24 | $49 | $24 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 1 | — | $10 | $10 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $5 | — | +$5 |
| Median | 4 | $2 | $7 | $5 |
| Below median | 8 | $8 | $30 | $22 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $5 | $2 | +$4 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| unranked | 1 | — | — | +— |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +62 | $7 | $7 | 4 | 05-11 12:18 |
| Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | +25 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-11 13:32 |
| Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | +23 | $3 | $3 | 3 | 05-11 07:35 |
| Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | +21 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 01:40 |
| Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | +15 | $12 | $12 | 2 | 05-10 23:16 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +13 | $10 | $10 | 2 | 05-11 00:29 |
| Healthy-Worker 0x3a96…4007 | No | +12 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-11 01:39 |
| Attached-Gastropod 0x5186…2515 | Yes | +8 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-10 23:37 |
| Greedy-Camel 0x39bb…13d7 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 19:03 |
| Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 10:00 |
| (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 01:39 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-10 22:57 |
| Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-11 12:17 |
| Snappy-Quart 0x63bd…3480 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 23:01 |
| (anonymous) 0x1885…521b | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 23:01 |
| Minor-Mom 0x5d7b…435c | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-11 01:09 |
| Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-10 22:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x83f7…1907 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 12:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 12:17 |
| (anonymous) 0x66c6…ffa9 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 12:17 |
| (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 12:17 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-11 13:32:12 | Stunning-Barbeque 0xc80f…6147 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 11¢ | $3 | 0xc0b41a… |
| 05-11 12:18:12 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0xa05b81… |
| 05-11 12:17:16 | (anonymous) 0x46f7…5b54 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x9b6e31… |
| 05-11 12:17:16 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 0 | 11¢ | $0 | 0xdd55b9… |
| 05-11 12:17:16 | (anonymous) 0xd72d…9e9e | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0xb6d525… |
| 05-11 12:17:16 | (anonymous) 0x66c6…ffa9 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x3a821a… |
| 05-11 12:17:02 | (anonymous) 0x83f7…1907 | No | BUY | 1 | 90¢ | $1 | 0x8f1422… |
| 05-11 12:17:02 | (anonymous) 0xd56e…9457 | Yes | SELL | 31 | 10¢ | $3 | 0x953853… |
| 05-11 12:17:01 | Thankful-Irony 0xae47…638d | No | BUY | 5 | 90¢ | $5 | 0xd29d6d… |
| 05-11 12:17:01 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 52 | 11¢ | $6 | 0x6fa4b5… |
| 05-11 09:52:21 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | BUY | 5 | 11¢ | $1 | 0x30b0ec… |
| 05-11 07:35:02 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x655d22… |
| 05-11 04:47:44 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x6dc238… |
| 05-11 04:32:32 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 15¢ | $1 | 0xef345a… |
| 05-11 01:40:20 | Esteemed-Foal 0x3a2c…3d80 | Yes | BUY | 21 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x3b3fae… |
| 05-11 01:39:45 | (anonymous) 0x9b72…a958 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x6be270… |
| 05-11 01:39:45 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 18¢ | $0 | 0xe76d0b… |
| 05-11 01:39:41 | Healthy-Worker 0x3a96…4007 | No | BUY | 12 | 83¢ | $10 | 0xc1d150… |
| 05-11 01:09:42 | Minor-Mom 0x5d7b…435c | No | BUY | 2 | 83¢ | $2 | 0x72bcb9… |
| 05-11 00:29:45 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 6 | 79¢ | $5 | 0x9b6d6e… |
| 05-10 23:37:57 | Attached-Gastropod 0x5186…2515 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 24¢ | $2 | 0xc43a72… |
| 05-10 23:16:01 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 5 | 83¢ | $4 | 0x2b262a… |
| 05-10 23:15:59 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 7 | 81¢ | $6 | 0x256257… |
| 05-10 23:01:36 | Uniform-Wrench 0xe196…b2b8 | Yes | BUY | 0 | 21¢ | $0 | 0x2879e7… |
| 05-10 23:01:10 | (anonymous) 0x1885…521b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0xb999d5… |
| 05-10 23:01:08 | Snappy-Quart 0x63bd…3480 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 21¢ | $1 | 0x7acd73… |
| 05-10 22:57:44 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 6 | 78¢ | $5 | 0x25ca48… |
| 05-10 22:51:10 | Rusty-Western 0x67bb…1c2b | No | BUY | 1 | 78¢ | $1 | 0x8a4672… |
| 05-10 22:51:01 | Esteemed-Trader 0x05e1…4c1e | No | BUY | 10 | 79¢ | $8 | 0xf171ec… |
| 05-10 19:03:28 | Greedy-Camel 0x39bb…13d7 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x2d64f2… |
| 05-10 10:00:05 | Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x38d870… |