Simple-Occurrence — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$267

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

77.5%

Resolved

229

Trades

806

lifetime

Volume

$11.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-30

last 10-28 11:17

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 62 days

Categories

Other

52% 31% -$652

Politics

31% 60% +$106

Crypto

17% 40% +$280

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	6	$1.9K	1,022	1,022	+0	No	+$17	05-26 16:50
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $64,000 on June 4?	10	$1.7K	1,038	1,038	+0	Yes	+$335	06-04 16:00
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 7 265 824 655 577 216	8	$842	466	466	+0	No	+$22	06-04 10:53
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	3	$824	529	529	+0	No	+$179	06-02 15:57
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 10?	8	$800	423	423	+0	Yes	+$39	05-10 18:33
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 24?	4	$281	145	145	+0	Yes	+$8	06-24 11:36
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 25?	7	$245	140	108	+32	No	+$3	06-25 08:10
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on June 13?	2	$207	110	110	+0	No	+$11	06-13 08:31
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on May 8?	8	$203	295	0	+295	Yes	+$92	05-08 13:35
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 22?	10	$201	109	109	+0	No	+$5	06-22 15:31
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 23?	6	$154	100	100	+0	Yes	-$8	06-23 14:04
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 10?	2	$138	71	71	+0	No	+$4	05-10 18:33
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on May 10?	6	$129	230	0	+230	No	-$129	05-10 16:33
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 9?	14	$125	105	105	+0	Yes	-$3	06-09 12:01
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 21?	4	$123	66	66	+0	No	+$6	06-21 16:36
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 17°C on June 15?	3	$118	99	99	+0	Yes	+$21	06-15 13:29
israel announces lebanon ceasefire extension by june 7	2	$111	265	0	+265	Yes	-$111	06-04 01:18
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 25?	2	$103	112	0	+112	No	$0	06-25 03:53
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on June 8?	1	$99	100	0	+100	No	+$1	06-07 14:39
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C on May 11?	7	$98	119	119	+0	Yes	-$52	05-11 16:45
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 18?	1	$94	100	0	+100	Yes	+$6	05-17 17:35
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 14?	16	$84	300	300	-0	No	-$36	06-13 16:42
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 22?	9	$77	56	56	+0	Yes	-$2	06-22 16:46
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 74-75°F on May 12?	8	$75	53	53	+0	No	-$7	05-12 20:13
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on June 9?	22	$64	107	107	+0	No	+$22	06-09 11:34
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 5?	3	$59	100	22	+78	No	+$60	06-05 10:08
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 78-79°F on May 8?	31	$58	1,239	0	+1,239	No	-$58	05-08 22:01
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 22?	13	$55	60	60	+0	No	-$2	06-22 18:15
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 25?	6	$54	82	14	+67	No	-$28	06-25 05:01
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 8?	6	$53	77	77	+0	Yes	+$5	09-08 14:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 11:17:34	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 5°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	18	38¢	$7	0x5cbd4c…
10-28 07:42:35	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on October 28?	No	SELL	22	10¢	$2	0x1fdd25…
10-28 04:14:35	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 6°C on October 28?	Yes	SELL	21	0¢	$0	0xf3e539…
10-27 22:34:56	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 16°C on October 28?	No	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x5cf1aa…
10-27 21:36:50	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 5°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x273bb6…
10-27 21:31:06	Will the lowest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 6°C on October 28?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x0055d0…
10-21 10:27:06	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 21?	Yes	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x06a060…
10-20 08:27:16	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 18°C on October 20?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xe075db…
10-15 09:27:14	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	10	26¢	$3	0xfda38c…
10-15 09:27:14	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on October 15?	No	BUY	30	28¢	$8	0x6efc70…
10-12 08:57:07	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on October 12?	Yes	BUY	23	46¢	$11	0xeb110b…
10-12 08:57:07	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on October 12?	No	BUY	15	64¢	$10	0x65a8d8…
10-10 10:27:07	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on October 10?	Yes	BUY	17	4¢	$1	0x3b320b…
10-10 09:57:04	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on October 10?	No	BUY	16	65¢	$10	0xc1afc7…
10-10 09:27:10	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on October 10?	No	BUY	12	54¢	$7	0x05d8ac…
10-09 09:57:13	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on October 9?	Yes	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0xa3c9c4…
10-09 09:57:13	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on October 9?	No	BUY	12	45¢	$6	0x7cbd22…
10-08 14:36:02	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 8?	No	SELL	18	0¢	$0	0x693799…
10-08 09:57:08	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	48	18¢	$9	0xb03085…
10-08 08:32:07	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on October 8?	No	BUY	18	41¢	$7	0x71de07…
10-08 08:32:07	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on October 8?	Yes	BUY	28	31¢	$9	0x49a818…
10-07 09:27:11	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 19°C on October 7?	Yes	BUY	98	6¢	$5	0x8308e4…
10-07 09:27:11	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 20°C on October 7?	No	BUY	39	27¢	$10	0x30415a…
09-20 08:50:16	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 20?	No	BUY	20	20¢	$4	0xaee569…
09-20 08:32:53	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 20?	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa29d23…
09-19 08:41:45	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 19?	No	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x7f6d57…
09-19 08:40:37	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0x13d53c…
09-18 09:51:28	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	29	47¢	$14	0xd0900c…
09-18 09:51:28	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 18?	No	BUY	24	53¢	$13	0xc9d9f5…
09-15 09:31:36	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 23°C on September 15?	No	BUY	16	60¢	$10	0xe0ff8d…
09-15 09:31:36	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	17	56¢	$10	0x772d79…
09-14 10:11:07	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	2	17¢	$0	0xc39409…
09-14 10:11:04	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x550e4e…
09-14 10:10:34	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x3191d2…
09-14 10:10:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x53eb79…
09-14 10:09:49	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	10	17¢	$2	0x5e9163…
09-14 10:05:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 21°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0xe7ed3b…
09-14 09:17:09	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on September 14?	No	BUY	16	26¢	$4	0xa32059…
09-14 09:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on September 14?	No	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0x92fe15…
09-14 09:10:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on September 14?	No	BUY	1	26¢	$0	0xd0890e…
09-14 09:00:43	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on September 14?	No	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x107536…
09-13 10:19:49	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 13?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2b0aae…
09-12 10:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x051d2a…
09-12 10:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0xa339e3…
09-12 10:04:09	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x050138…
09-12 10:04:04	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	28	9¢	$3	0x9a1179…
09-12 10:03:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x6964a0…
09-12 10:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	0	1¢	$0	0xa4c501…
09-12 10:02:12	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on September 12?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x640843…
09-11 10:25:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd59ef4…
09-11 10:25:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 11?	No	BUY	31	19¢	$6	0x5e375b…
09-11 10:09:28	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 11?	No	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x0f66d6…
09-11 10:06:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 11?	No	BUY	3	19¢	$0	0x6eff9d…
09-11 10:06:22	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 11?	No	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0xbc7cb9…
09-11 09:59:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0x450d19…
09-10 10:38:09	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 10?	No	BUY	11	21¢	$2	0x7014f8…
09-10 10:38:00	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 10?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x6356ae…
09-10 10:38:00	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 10?	No	BUY	19	21¢	$4	0x4f31ab…
09-10 10:38:00	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 10?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x469513…
09-10 10:38:00	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 10?	No	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x24857e…
09-10 10:27:31	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 10?	No	BUY	14	21¢	$3	0x25ae35…
09-10 10:09:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	9	19¢	$2	0x3d6b2a…
09-10 10:09:03	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x26f362…
09-10 10:03:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0xff94b1…
09-10 10:03:48	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	3	19¢	$1	0x7a97f4…
09-10 09:57:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	0	19¢	$0	0x60a34c…
09-10 09:57:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	19¢	$2	0x3878c6…
09-09 09:57:10	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 9?	Yes	BUY	60	6¢	$4	0xccaf90…
09-08 14:13:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 8?	No	SELL	44	0¢	$0	0x9d4162…
09-08 14:13:06	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 8?	Yes	SELL	60	0¢	$0	0xbb7e92…
09-08 10:56:42	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 8?	No	BUY	16	12¢	$2	0xf56f73…
09-08 10:22:31	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 8?	No	BUY	5	10¢	$0	0x54409c…
09-08 10:17:15	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 8?	No	BUY	23	10¢	$2	0xde7212…
09-08 09:57:57	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0x970a64…
09-08 09:57:55	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 25°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x460519…
09-08 09:57:49	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 8?	Yes	SELL	33	87¢	$29	0xb5cd21…
09-08 09:23:40	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 24°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	33	59¢	$19	0x76f45b…
09-06 09:20:33	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x3a4671…
09-06 09:20:31	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	18	7¢	$1	0xe285c5…
09-06 08:59:57	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x792891…
09-06 08:59:57	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 30°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	2	7¢	$0	0x23c8ff…
09-06 08:58:39	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 31°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x064fb7…
09-05 13:31:01	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 5?	No	SELL	18	6¢	$1	0xe45e68…
09-05 13:30:43	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 5?	No	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0x4d784f…
09-05 13:27:13	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 5?	No	BUY	30	10¢	$3	0xdfe561…
09-05 13:25:04	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x468a21…
09-05 13:24:43	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	30	5¢	$1	0x41161d…
09-05 12:57:12	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0xaff5db…
09-05 12:08:07	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	15	72¢	$11	0x17af90…
09-05 12:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0xcde2e2…
09-05 12:07:57	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0x4cee57…
09-05 12:07:01	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0x26fb8e…
09-05 12:05:31	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on September 5?	No	SELL	12	76¢	$9	0x38fda8…
09-05 12:05:25	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on September 5?	No	SELL	6	76¢	$5	0xfbd885…
09-05 12:05:25	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on September 5?	No	SELL	10	76¢	$8	0xc49716…
09-05 12:05:25	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on September 5?	No	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x14c8b7…
09-05 10:04:57	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	17	14¢	$2	0x528e7b…
09-05 09:57:06	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 28°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	13	14¢	$2	0x714223…
09-05 09:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	10	8¢	$1	0x52f1f5…
09-05 09:27:37	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x77f912…