Realistic-Increase — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$952

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.4%

Resolved

1,061

Trades

11,799

lifetime

Volume

$33.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-12

last 07-15 21:32

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 116 days

Categories

Other

93% 24% -$978

Politics

5% 56% +$141

Crypto

1% 17% -$84

Sports

0% 33% -$6

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$15

Tech

0% 0% -$10

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-15).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in paris on april 15 2026 22c	21	$1.2K	500	985	-485	Yes	+$104	04-15 19:55
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$994	588	588	+0	No	+$171	03-31 17:46
highest temperature in paris on april 23 2026 22c	90	$613	458	368	+90	Yes	+$158	04-23 15:11
highest temperature in madrid on april 10 2026 29c	48	$572	456	455	+1	No	+$49	04-10 15:04
highest temperature in madrid on april 9 2026 27corhigher	15	$527	303	377	-74	No	+$77	04-09 14:38
highest temperature in paris on april 22 2026 19c	36	$378	244	250	-6	Yes	+$111	04-22 15:14
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 10?	19	$371	212	212	+0	Yes	+$49	07-10 14:27
andrew tate of tweets february 27 march 6 2026 100 129	3	$365	100	400	-300	Yes	+$15	03-05 07:09
highest temperature in paris on april 17 2026 21c	31	$358	273	276	-3	Yes	+$176	04-17 14:21
andrew tate of tweets march 6 march 13 2026 100 129	18	$357	400	400	+0	Yes	+$161	03-12 10:13
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on May 26?	33	$352	247	247	+0	Yes	+$127	05-26 16:26
highest temperature in madrid on april 22 2026 24c	14	$345	245	245	+0	Yes	+$140	04-22 16:59
highest temperature in madrid on april 11 2026 23corhigher	52	$338	824	1,036	-212	Yes	+$42	04-11 14:09
highest temperature in paris on april 24 2026 23c	53	$328	411	392	+20	Yes	+$24	04-24 15:31
highest temperature in paris on april 16 2026 19c	36	$326	246	250	-4	Yes	+$95	04-16 14:43
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 27?	19	$304	296	200	+96	Yes	+$158	04-27 14:45
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 25?	13	$290	355	305	+50	Yes	+$252	06-25 14:29
highest temperature in madrid on april 16 2026 26c	39	$268	196	200	-4	Yes	+$71	04-16 16:05
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 1?	33	$267	264	264	+0	Yes	+$169	05-01 14:46
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on May 2?	37	$260	195	195	+0	Yes	+$128	05-02 16:02
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on May 23?	27	$258	375	184	+191	Yes	+$261	05-23 16:28
highest temperature in paris on april 18 2026 22c	37	$225	250	250	+0	Yes	+$143	04-18 13:10
andrew tate of tweets february 24 march 3 2026 130 159	6	$206	100	150	-50	Yes	+$41	03-03 16:54
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on May 25?	37	$201	525	425	+100	Yes	+$226	05-25 14:34
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 27?	64	$200	954	543	+411	No	-$46	04-27 15:59
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on May 4?	26	$190	138	138	+0	Yes	+$81	05-04 14:15
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 13?	43	$189	340	25	+315	No	-$167	05-13 13:57
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on May 27?	9	$185	145	145	+0	Yes	+$99	05-27 15:40
odds us strikes iran by feb 28 over 20 on friday 575	11	$185	330	330	+0	Yes	+$14	02-19 15:17
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 15?	17	$171	215	78	+137	Yes	+$108	05-15 12:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-15 21:32:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	17	17¢	$3	0x3a7bdf…
07-15 18:03:02	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	13	47¢	$6	0x58a4f1…
07-15 16:32:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xab89de…
07-15 15:49:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	21	47¢	$10	0xa0ae68…
07-15 15:23:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0xa5d4ea…
07-15 15:18:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0xcc403a…
07-15 15:02:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	21	47¢	$10	0xd93adc…
07-15 14:31:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	20	40¢	$8	0x5d0de0…
07-15 14:25:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	1	17¢	$0	0xa9281c…
07-15 14:25:26	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xe57fd1…
07-15 14:24:49	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	10	32¢	$3	0x024d21…
07-15 14:23:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	2	32¢	$1	0x4e2f73…
07-15 14:17:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	13	17¢	$2	0x504bfd…
07-15 14:12:35	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 16?	Yes	SELL	9	47¢	$4	0x791a60…
07-15 14:08:04	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	25	17¢	$4	0x9fe3b1…
07-15 13:59:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0x59a057…
07-15 13:57:14	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x06eeaa…
07-15 13:29:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	12	20¢	$2	0xd93a8b…
07-15 13:24:22	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	13	20¢	$3	0x8713ce…
07-15 13:18:07	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	23	15¢	$3	0x834b8c…
07-15 13:06:02	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$2	0xf3dad4…
07-15 12:59:56	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 29°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	25	38¢	$10	0x6da79f…
07-15 12:56:07	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xc899a9…
07-15 12:36:38	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	55	47¢	$26	0xd63681…
07-15 12:34:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0x5513dc…
07-15 12:04:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	25	17¢	$4	0x584069…
07-15 12:04:29	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on July 16?	Yes	BUY	15	17¢	$3	0x1deaaf…
07-15 12:00:01	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 32°C or below on July 15?	Yes	BUY	50	45¢	$22	0x1db0d4…
07-15 11:21:56	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x798b26…
07-15 11:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	15	25¢	$4	0x364798…
07-15 11:18:56	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x6e1242…
07-15 11:11:43	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	1	25¢	$0	0x501847…
07-15 11:09:50	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 33°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xf39871…
07-15 09:56:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 15?	Yes	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0xd65f23…
07-15 09:28:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 15?	No	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0x3a18f4…
07-14 18:09:22	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xfba686…
07-14 14:20:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	45	6¢	$3	0x977713…
07-14 14:20:53	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x3df5ab…
07-14 14:18:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x341ef5…
07-14 14:18:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	50	13¢	$6	0x5f78c1…
07-14 14:14:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	40	14¢	$6	0x3be993…
07-14 14:10:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	55	4¢	$2	0x56ad5a…
07-14 14:09:46	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xd31fd3…
07-14 14:08:44	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	23	14¢	$3	0x9f23fc…
07-14 14:06:31	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	38	3¢	$1	0xf6290a…
07-14 14:03:47	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xc7ba5e…
07-14 14:02:38	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xe5e430…
07-14 13:49:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x1d7807…
07-14 13:46:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	15	30¢	$4	0x7d5c16…
07-14 13:44:17	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0x2ada37…
07-14 13:44:11	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 14?	Yes	SELL	50	13¢	$6	0xf4368f…
07-14 13:40:26	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	3	3¢	$0	0x347beb…
07-14 13:37:50	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 26°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	62	3¢	$2	0x8c5af5…
07-14 13:25:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xda4cb7…
07-14 13:25:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	7	40¢	$3	0x722fd8…
07-14 13:25:43	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x507103…
07-14 13:16:05	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	28	2¢	$1	0x262861…
07-14 13:15:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0x3ebd86…
07-14 13:15:56	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	13	2¢	$0	0xc3ae1b…
07-14 13:15:01	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	17	32¢	$6	0xd82392…
07-14 13:14:02	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 14?	No	SELL	15	70¢	$10	0x50e9c3…
07-14 13:09:13	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	25	35¢	$9	0x769b26…
07-14 13:05:53	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 14?	No	SELL	10	70¢	$7	0x976221…
07-14 13:04:59	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on July 14?	No	BUY	25	55¢	$14	0xd75a80…
07-14 12:58:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x14ed5b…
07-14 12:43:31	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C or higher on July 14?	Yes	SELL	64	25¢	$16	0xf687df…
07-14 12:31:55	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C or higher on July 14?	Yes	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x2b7ef6…
07-14 12:24:07	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 29°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	50	11¢	$6	0xbafbbb…
07-14 12:15:22	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 14?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x8b4ecf…
07-14 12:11:43	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 14?	No	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0xddd863…
07-14 12:10:08	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 14?	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x3bf3e2…
07-14 12:06:19	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 26°C on July 14?	No	BUY	12	70¢	$9	0x30ffcf…
07-14 12:05:29	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C or higher on July 14?	Yes	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x5693fc…
07-14 11:10:29	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C or higher on July 14?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0xa35832…
07-14 11:10:28	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C or higher on July 14?	Yes	BUY	1	5¢	$0	0x98901e…
07-14 11:10:25	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C or higher on July 14?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0x8c1fc6…
07-14 11:10:11	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C or higher on July 14?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x8adc30…
07-14 11:08:55	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 28°C or higher on July 14?	Yes	BUY	11	5¢	$1	0x9c3203…
07-14 11:06:01	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	39	10¢	$4	0x96776b…
07-14 10:46:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x12b9b7…
07-14 10:16:20	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	1	17¢	$0	0x43cf5c…
07-14 10:15:49	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	3	17¢	$1	0x65e819…
07-14 10:15:44	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x7ab1eb…
07-14 10:15:44	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x3d82d9…
07-14 10:15:44	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 27°C on July 14?	Yes	BUY	5	17¢	$1	0x09a106…
07-13 16:13:17	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 25°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	37	80¢	$30	0x1c311b…
07-13 14:58:04	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xee6a99…
07-13 14:58:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	12	25¢	$3	0xd761b7…
07-13 14:57:31	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0xe6a637…
07-13 14:45:02	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	3	25¢	$1	0xda5e8b…
07-13 14:27:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	0	12¢	$0	0xaa032b…
07-13 14:27:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0xa22d1d…
07-13 14:27:40	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0x4ab0d2…
07-13 14:26:56	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	8	50¢	$4	0x0b8767…
07-13 14:26:38	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	0	50¢	$0	0x6e171c…
07-13 14:21:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x9b3248…
07-13 14:19:56	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x11b223…
07-13 14:19:17	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x2e5f03…
07-13 14:17:07	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	25	44¢	$11	0x7efb46…
07-13 13:54:16	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on July 13?	Yes	BUY	38	35¢	$13	0x99acf3…