Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 13?
open
Total volume
$238
$1,165 in 24h
Trades
49
Unique wallets
43
Liquidity
$332
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-13
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-13 13:58
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+37.2¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $2
vs crowd: 63% YES on $196)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 40 | $119 | $73 | +$46 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | $12 | — | +$12 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 8 | $40 | $37 | +$3 |
| Median | 12 | $29 | — | +$29 |
| Below median | 9 | $13 | $17 | $4 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 5 | $21 | $16 | +$5 |
| unranked | 3 | $6 | $3 | +$3 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Known-Commotion 0xd43e…3604 | Yes | +48 | $18 | $18 | 1 | 05-12 22:05 |
| Separate-Swordfish 0x2e99…b482 | Yes | +30 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-13 03:16 |
| Realistic-Increase 0x0eee…74e8 | Yes | +27 | $16 | $16 | 1 | 05-13 12:23 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +24 | $15 | $15 | 1 | 05-13 00:57 |
| Ironclad-Diamond 0x2869…527d | No | +24 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 05-13 09:28 |
| Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | +21 | $9 | $9 | 5 | 05-13 06:08 |
| Pungent-Dinner 0x86bd…2c98 | Yes | +14 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-12 20:41 |
| Hasty-Complicity 0xe805…e416 | No | +14 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-13 05:14 |
| Negative-Catalogue 0x1f12…9424 | Yes | +12 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 08:31 |
| Intrepid-Constraint 0x11a9…4182 | No | +12 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-13 05:17 |
| Adorable-Night 0xdbe9…6e7c | Yes | +12 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 06:09 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | +11 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-11 18:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xd674…4405 | Yes | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 07:59 |
| Ringed-Sound 0xd7f0…8943 | Yes | +10 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 08:43 |
| Swift-Roof 0x6df1…3661 | Yes | +10 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-13 04:36 |
| Hairy-Chives-Soy 0x4167…f99a | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-11 10:22 |
| Mixed-Popcorn 0x675b…e889 | Yes | +9 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 19:02 |
| Outlandish-Anxiety 0xa11e…1b2d | No | +7 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 09:54 |
| Useless-Sage 0x9410…9160 | No | +7 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 22:21 |
| (anonymous) 0xac44…f420 | Yes | +7 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 06:16 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 13:58 |
| Baggy-Porthole 0x7855…1b17 | Yes | +6 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 09:16 |
| Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | +5 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-12 00:18 |
| Rosy-Planula 0x1096…a162 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-12 16:16 |
| Clumsy-Runaway 0x8a89…0e5d | Yes | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 13:43 |
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 13:58 |
| Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | No | +5 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-12 22:21 |
| Menacing-Round 0x6284…f369 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 16:27 |
| Sandro 0xbc5d…4536 | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-11 10:17 |
| Past-Chaos 0xd049…269d | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 05:42 |
| Separate-Physiology 0xb545…589c | Yes | +3 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-12 03:12 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-13 13:58:22 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 44¢ | $3 | 0xe5a21e… |
| 05-13 13:58:22 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 31¢ | $2 | 0xfeba06… |
| 05-13 13:43:23 | Clumsy-Runaway 0x8a89…0e5d | Yes | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0x1f629b… |
| 05-13 13:33:17 | Spiffy-Buckwheat 0x543f…b33b | Yes | SELL | 13 | 62¢ | $8 | 0x6d2868… |
| 05-13 12:23:29 | Realistic-Increase 0x0eee…74e8 | Yes | BUY | 27 | 59¢ | $16 | 0x30519a… |
| 05-13 10:04:46 | Carefree-Multimedia 0xa162…b0ff | Yes | SELL | 20 | 50¢ | $10 | 0xf34b5d… |
| 05-13 09:54:39 | Outlandish-Anxiety 0xa11e…1b2d | No | BUY | 7 | 49¢ | $3 | 0x6a23a5… |
| 05-13 09:38:58 | Frightened-Knee 0x9b7d…ebc1 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 49¢ | $2 | 0x782c70… |
| 05-13 09:28:56 | Ironclad-Diamond 0x2869…527d | No | BUY | 24 | 52¢ | $12 | 0x2d3ea6… |
| 05-13 09:28:54 | Carefree-Multimedia 0xa162…b0ff | Yes | BUY | 20 | 49¢ | $10 | 0xe36c85… |
| 05-13 09:16:28 | Baggy-Porthole 0x7855…1b17 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 49¢ | $3 | 0x3efe64… |
| 05-13 09:04:36 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 50¢ | $2 | 0x780b8c… |
| 05-13 08:43:57 | Ringed-Sound 0xd7f0…8943 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 50¢ | $5 | 0xca4aec… |
| 05-13 08:31:28 | Negative-Catalogue 0x1f12…9424 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 49¢ | $6 | 0x1b2412… |
| 05-13 08:09:36 | Dry-Tomb 0xa903…e8ef | Yes | SELL | 9 | 45¢ | $4 | 0xd5a7e4… |
| 05-13 07:59:55 | (anonymous) 0xd674…4405 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 47¢ | $5 | 0xe5094e… |
| 05-13 06:31:25 | Willing-Drill 0x3024…8ece | Yes | SELL | 3 | 41¢ | $1 | 0xd7d56a… |
| 05-13 06:16:24 | Fearless-Penny 0x13e0…82f9 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 42¢ | $2 | 0x69436d… |
| 05-13 06:16:22 | Well-To-Do-Male 0x6d1d…953b | Yes | SELL | 8 | 44¢ | $4 | 0xe2eb8a… |
| 05-13 06:16:15 | (anonymous) 0xac44…f420 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 46¢ | $3 | 0x17c45f… |
| 05-13 06:09:15 | Adorable-Night 0xdbe9…6e7c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 43¢ | $5 | 0xb66c89… |
| 05-13 06:08:19 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 43¢ | $2 | 0x18d935… |
| 05-13 05:42:34 | Past-Chaos 0xd049…269d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 43¢ | $1 | 0xd68bad… |
| 05-13 05:17:31 | Intrepid-Constraint 0x11a9…4182 | No | BUY | 12 | 61¢ | $7 | 0x92747d… |
| 05-13 05:14:18 | Hasty-Complicity 0xe805…e416 | No | BUY | 14 | 61¢ | $9 | 0x1bdc3b… |
| 05-13 05:11:09 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 45¢ | $2 | 0x367219… |
| 05-13 04:36:49 | Swift-Roof 0x6df1…3661 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 42¢ | $4 | 0xc0d45f… |
| 05-13 04:12:09 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 43¢ | $1 | 0x5ff229… |
| 05-13 03:16:47 | Separate-Swordfish 0x2e99…b482 | Yes | BUY | 30 | 42¢ | $13 | 0xb46c29… |
| 05-13 02:08:59 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 42¢ | $1 | 0xe68524… |
| 05-13 01:08:41 | Different-Okra 0x0484…4830 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 39¢ | $2 | 0xccde57… |
| 05-13 00:57:57 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 24 | 60¢ | $15 | 0xcc9023… |
| 05-13 00:57:56 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 40¢ | $0 | 0x0c4d0f… |
| 05-13 00:02:53 | Trusting-Shootdown 0x92b2…31c9 | Yes | SELL | 14 | 41¢ | $6 | 0x9a02de… |
| 05-12 23:52:06 | Musty-Carpenter 0xe799…c2fb | Yes | SELL | 5 | 40¢ | $2 | 0xcfeda2… |
| 05-12 22:21:46 | Slippery-Cable 0x01f2…c3de | No | BUY | 5 | 61¢ | $3 | 0x3a1f22… |
| 05-12 22:21:06 | Useless-Sage 0x9410…9160 | No | BUY | 7 | 67¢ | $4 | 0x8c2b95… |
| 05-12 22:05:49 | Known-Commotion 0xd43e…3604 | Yes | BUY | 48 | 39¢ | $18 | 0x6798e4… |
| 05-12 20:41:07 | Pungent-Dinner 0x86bd…2c98 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 35¢ | $5 | 0x91abe2… |
| 05-12 19:02:21 | Mixed-Popcorn 0x675b…e889 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 34¢ | $3 | 0xf7b164… |
| 05-12 16:27:11 | Menacing-Round 0x6284…f369 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 38¢ | $1 | 0x48ef7a… |
| 05-12 16:16:27 | Rosy-Planula 0x1096…a162 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0x2d9894… |
| 05-12 16:11:19 | Trusting-Shootdown 0x92b2…31c9 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 38¢ | $4 | 0xa7fd05… |
| 05-12 03:12:52 | Separate-Physiology 0xb545…589c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 31¢ | $1 | 0x84e3cf… |
| 05-12 00:18:30 | Quaint-Hash 0x76b3…7d44 | No | BUY | 5 | 71¢ | $4 | 0x9b163c… |
| 05-11 18:22:53 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 11 | 71¢ | $8 | 0x9cee73… |
| 05-11 14:25:56 | Rewarding-Most 0x1293…04c8 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x65669f… |
| 05-11 10:22:55 | Hairy-Chives-Soy 0x4167…f99a | No | BUY | 10 | 73¢ | $7 | 0xdea9af… |
| 05-11 10:17:47 | Sandro 0xbc5d…4536 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 30¢ | $1 | 0x224be1… |