Clumsy-Runaway — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$541

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

55.3%

Resolved

2,093

Trades

5,145

lifetime

Volume

$15.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 09-20 20:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 227 days

Categories

Other

99% 43% +$556

Crypto

0% 100% +$18

Sports

0% 0% -$28

Tech

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in london on january 2 4c	2	$359	201	201	+0	Yes	+$42	01-02 18:59
highest temperature in london on january 5 2c	15	$173	130	141	-10	Yes	-$18	01-05 19:03
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	1	$159	0	159	-159	No	$0	01-02 01:23
highest temperature in london on january 3 3c	1	$120	214	0	+214	Yes	-$120	01-02 19:29
highest temperature in london on january 4 3c	2	$106	54	54	+0	Yes	+$1	01-04 16:43
highest temperature in seoul on february 11 2026 4c	9	$94	119	113	+7	Yes	+$76	02-11 06:52
highest temperature in london on january 8 8corhigher	7	$65	57	57	+0	Yes	-$6	01-08 22:11
highest temperature in london on january 5 3c	14	$52	70	70	+0	No	-$26	01-05 13:20
highest temperature in london on february 25 2026 19c	17	$51	67	0	+67	Yes	-$51	02-25 09:07
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	4	$49	57	28	+29	No	+$18	06-01 13:56
highest temperature in london on april 6 2026 15c	10	$45	64	44	+20	No	-$4	04-06 14:50
highest temperature in london on january 12 11c	18	$45	47	47	+0	Yes	+$2	01-12 14:21
highest temperature in paris on march 21 2026 16c	14	$43	66	66	+0	Yes	+$1	03-21 15:18
highest temperature in paris on march 26 2026 10c	10	$43	53	28	+25	No	+$30	03-26 14:59
highest temperature in seoul on april 6 2026 11c	9	$38	45	32	+12	No	+$7	04-06 06:13
highest temperature in seoul on march 28 2026 12c	12	$37	49	49	+0	Yes	-$1	03-28 06:28
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 9?	11	$36	43	34	+8	No	-$4	05-09 15:56
Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on May 23?	6	$35	30	30	+0	Yes	+$7	05-23 14:55
highest temperature in london on april 18 2026 16c	13	$35	51	50	+2	Yes	+$1	04-18 16:50
highest temperature in london on april 4 2026 15c	8	$34	46	25	+21	Yes	+$4	04-04 12:11
highest temperature in london on january 23 8c	13	$34	40	35	+5	No	+$4	01-23 11:48
highest temperature in toronto on march 26 2026 11c	5	$33	29	29	+0	No	+$14	03-26 17:53
highest temperature in london on january 17 11c	13	$33	31	27	+4	Yes	-$2	01-17 20:16
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 13?	12	$33	40	39	+1	Yes	-$5	05-13 12:33
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 21°C on May 9?	7	$33	1,005	21	+984	No	+$1	05-09 13:58
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 15?	11	$32	40	25	+15	Yes	+$0	05-15 14:03
highest temperature in seoul on february 1 0c	11	$32	26	26	+0	Yes	-$2	02-01 12:31
highest temperature in london on january 22 10c	9	$32	37	37	+0	No	+$7	01-22 14:04
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 27?	10	$31	34	27	+8	No	+$5	06-27 20:45
highest temperature in paris on april 6 2026 17c	8	$31	129	28	+101	No	+$9	04-06 14:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-20 20:26:29	Will FC Porto win on 2026-09-20?	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x3b7f5c…
09-15 14:25:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 15?	Yes	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0x456130…
09-15 13:58:51	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 15?	No	SELL	6	5¢	$0	0xba83f3…
09-15 13:19:19	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x9062a8…
09-15 13:15:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 15?	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x30f6d2…
09-15 12:07:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x9062d9…
09-15 12:07:37	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 15?	No	BUY	6	22¢	$1	0x159016…
09-15 11:56:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on September 15?	No	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x2d3bb6…
09-15 06:07:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 15?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x251b34…
09-15 05:54:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 15?	No	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0xb5d771…
09-15 05:53:25	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 24°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xbef8b0…
09-15 03:08:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 25°C on September 15?	No	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0x91ff86…
09-14 21:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on September 14?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8cd96e…
09-14 21:10:16	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on September 14?	No	SELL	11	93¢	$10	0x74c54d…
09-14 20:50:12	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on September 14?	No	SELL	8	79¢	$6	0xd5d7cb…
09-14 18:10:18	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xc7ec7a…
09-14 18:08:49	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xec2235…
09-14 18:08:49	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on September 14?	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xa1538f…
09-14 15:56:48	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 14?	No	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x513ef6…
09-14 15:52:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 14?	No	SELL	8	10¢	$1	0x877a9c…
09-14 15:22:34	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on September 14?	No	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x00c248…
09-14 13:27:46	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x48a6cb…
09-14 13:07:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 14?	No	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8e7a65…
09-14 12:37:36	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 14?	No	BUY	7	34¢	$3	0xd4072f…
09-14 12:26:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 14?	No	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0xe3c726…
09-14 03:46:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on September 14?	No	BUY	8	35¢	$3	0xdffb41…
09-08 13:36:00	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 8?	No	SELL	8	6¢	$0	0xdc2912…
09-08 12:03:31	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 8?	No	SELL	8	31¢	$2	0xd4d998…
09-08 12:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 8?	No	SELL	0	32¢	$0	0xf61c47…
09-08 11:58:45	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 8?	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0x063322…
09-08 10:41:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	7	34¢	$3	0xe395b5…
09-08 10:41:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x22c955…
09-08 10:41:31	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0x88b3b0…
09-08 10:39:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x393fbc…
09-08 10:39:15	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on September 8?	No	BUY	6	76¢	$5	0xe2c5ae…
09-08 10:03:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x1feae8…
09-08 08:06:55	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 8?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x3c9827…
09-08 07:57:21	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x00c9a9…
09-08 07:35:49	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x89d177…
09-08 05:53:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 8?	No	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x630ef0…
09-08 05:39:19	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	450	0¢	$1	0x70a2f5…
09-08 04:20:15	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 8?	No	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xcb4677…
09-08 04:15:13	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 8?	No	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xa901d6…
09-07 19:56:57	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x782a1a…
09-07 19:34:07	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 7?	No	SELL	9	45¢	$4	0x1f5701…
09-07 17:42:52	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 7?	No	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xdc267d…
09-07 15:37:25	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on September 7?	No	SELL	8	1¢	$0	0xa55f54…
09-07 13:25:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 7?	No	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x441e56…
09-07 13:06:25	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 38°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xd1c0b5…
09-07 13:04:22	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 7?	No	SELL	7	20¢	$1	0x0c1ff0…
09-07 11:56:25	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0xba9a59…
09-07 11:56:24	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 7?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe1ea25…
09-07 11:45:27	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 7?	No	BUY	7	25¢	$2	0xc68884…
09-07 11:45:25	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xce06c3…
09-07 10:12:13	Will the highest temperature in London be 24°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xe8c91a…
09-07 10:05:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x6c2366…
09-07 05:45:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 7?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x98dce8…
09-07 05:35:58	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on September 7?	No	BUY	9	48¢	$4	0x6c6de9…
09-07 04:15:06	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 28°C on September 7?	No	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x39efa3…
09-06 16:35:19	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on September 6?	No	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1eee4c…
09-06 15:09:28	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0xb8033e…
09-06 14:47:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 6?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x3e329b…
09-06 14:45:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 28°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0xc34fc6…
09-06 13:37:37	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 30°C on September 6?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0xa43361…
09-06 13:24:52	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on September 6?	No	SELL	8	23¢	$2	0x128937…
09-06 13:08:10	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 29°C on September 6?	No	BUY	7	31¢	$2	0x45ad28…
09-06 11:05:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x56fc16…
09-06 11:05:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xb11993…
09-06 06:16:57	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 6?	No	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x74f63b…
09-06 06:15:54	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 30°C on September 6?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x2019db…
09-05 21:30:42	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 5?	No	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x57592e…
09-05 18:23:06	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	7	32¢	$2	0xd1fe1b…
09-05 18:22:33	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 5?	No	SELL	6	68¢	$4	0xcf9bb9…
09-05 18:16:25	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on September 5?	No	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0xc401fb…
09-05 17:35:49	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 5?	No	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x16083c…
09-05 15:08:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 5?	Yes	SELL	9	25¢	$2	0x5c8c41…
09-05 14:25:57	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 5?	No	SELL	7	8¢	$1	0x5f4f0e…
09-05 13:58:00	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	43¢	$3	0x2f466b…
09-05 13:05:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on September 5?	No	BUY	7	34¢	$3	0x90a4e7…
09-05 13:05:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0xd143a7…
09-05 12:40:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on September 5?	Yes	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0x0821f1…
09-05 04:01:16	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 29°C on September 5?	No	BUY	9	46¢	$4	0xb41a1d…
09-04 21:09:18	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 4?	No	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0xfd98b5…
09-04 19:20:07	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on September 4?	No	SELL	10	82¢	$8	0x52aafb…
09-04 18:40:00	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 28°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	204	0¢	$1	0x52b7f2…
09-04 18:10:36	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on September 4?	No	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x8739e9…
09-04 18:09:16	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on September 4?	No	BUY	7	63¢	$4	0x27f78f…
09-04 16:55:49	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on September 4?	Yes	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x757620…
09-04 16:09:25	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on September 4?	No	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x1d4e80…
08-16 20:08:39	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 16?	No	SELL	6	4¢	$0	0x63ca77…
08-16 19:48:48	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on August 16?	No	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x087c2d…
08-16 16:26:03	Will the highest temperature in London be 28°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	295	0¢	$1	0xfeded2…
08-16 16:24:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xed6acc…
08-16 14:25:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 16?	No	BUY	9	47¢	$4	0x853355…
08-16 14:25:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 16?	No	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x1d9725…
08-16 11:17:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 16?	No	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x531cd8…
08-16 11:17:42	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 32°C on August 16?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xb57109…
08-16 11:03:24	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 31°C on August 16?	No	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0xc466f1…
08-16 07:16:10	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 27°C on August 16?	No	BUY	13	10¢	$1	0x7a62fc…
08-16 07:01:31	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 26°C on August 16?	No	SELL	8	97¢	$7	0x941788…