Intrepid-Constraint — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$303

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.1%

Resolved

579

Trades

1,193

lifetime

Volume

$36.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$31

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 06-30 02:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 59 days

Categories

Other

98% 80% -$239

Politics

1% 100% +$7

Sports

1% 50% +$0

Tech

1% 50% -$71

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-30).

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
highest temperature in tokyo on april 20 2026 23c	4	$1.0K	525	524	+0	No	+$7	04-20 09:03
highest temperature in los angeles on april 20 2026 72 73f	16	$532	267	267	+0	No	+$1	04-21 01:31
highest temperature in cape town on april 20 2026 18c	4	$520	262	261	+0	No	+$2	04-20 22:05
highest temperature in sao paulo on april 19 2026 31c	2	$514	258	258	+0	No	+$1	04-19 20:41
highest temperature in munich on april 19 2026 18c	2	$514	260	260	+0	No	+$5	04-19 17:34
highest temperature in taipei on april 16 2026 29c	6	$510	255	255	+0	No	+$0	04-16 08:46
highest temperature in karachi on april 19 2026 34c	2	$507	255	255	+0	No	+$2	04-19 12:56
highest temperature in busan on april 19 2026 25c	4	$506	254	254	+0	Yes	+$1	04-19 10:19
highest temperature in nyc on april 18 2026 62 63f	13	$503	252	252	+0	No	+$0	04-19 00:37
highest temperature in toronto on april 18 2026 20c	2	$493	247	247	+0	Yes	+$0	04-18 22:20
highest temperature in istanbul on april 17 2026 14c	13	$492	247	247	+0	No	+$2	04-17 17:58
highest temperature in miami on april 16 2026 86forhigher	31	$477	239	239	+0	No	+$0	04-16 21:58
highest temperature in lucknow on april 16 2026 41c	7	$472	238	238	+0	No	+$4	04-16 13:45
highest temperature in munich on april 16 2026 16c	4	$468	238	238	+0	No	+$7	04-16 13:23
highest temperature in munich on april 16 2026 19c	10	$454	229	229	+0	No	+$4	04-16 18:27
highest temperature in tokyo on april 21 2026 25c	3	$451	226	226	+0	No	+$0	04-21 07:50
highest temperature in chengdu on april 22 2026 25c	2	$451	227	227	+0	No	+$2	04-22 08:32
highest temperature in beijing on april 23 2026 26c	2	$443	225	225	+0	No	+$7	04-23 08:51
highest temperature in london on april 18 2026 18c	4	$442	223	223	+0	No	+$4	04-18 17:19
highest temperature in buenos aires on april 15 2026 23c	2	$438	221	221	+0	Yes	+$4	04-16 03:03
highest temperature in munich on april 15 2026 14c	3	$433	219	219	+0	No	+$4	04-15 18:50
highest temperature in london on april 15 2026 19corhigher	3	$428	215	215	+0	No	+$1	04-15 16:18
highest temperature in ankara on april 15 2026 23corhigher	2	$426	215	215	+0	No	+$3	04-15 13:45
highest temperature in wuhan on april 22 2026 14c	2	$425	215	215	+0	Yes	+$4	04-22 15:23
highest temperature in kuala lumpur on april 17 2026 33c	3	$422	212	212	+0	No	+$2	04-17 12:02
highest temperature in hong kong on april 21 2026 29c	2	$416	209	209	+0	No	+$2	04-21 11:51
highest temperature in paris on april 23 2026 23c	2	$408	205	205	+0	No	+$2	04-23 19:15
highest temperature in lagos on april 13 2026 37c	2	$388	194	194	+0	No	+$0	04-13 15:36
highest temperature in wuhan on april 14 2026 18c	11	$385	193	193	+0	Yes	+$0	04-14 13:55
highest temperature in toronto on april 14 2026 25c	4	$381	191	191	+0	No	+$1	04-14 23:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 02:30:46	Will global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026?	No	BUY	19	96¢	$18	0x731f4d…
06-08 01:55:43	Will Ralph Norman win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?	No	BUY	15	98¢	$15	0x133f55…
06-05 16:15:40	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 29°C on June 6?	No	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0x8ec18b…
06-05 12:22:06	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 6?	No	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x0ed2e8…
06-05 11:44:25	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 6?	No	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0xcfd4b4…
06-05 10:09:27	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 6?	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0x885683…
06-05 09:47:34	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on June 6?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xf13130…
06-05 09:39:22	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on June 6?	No	BUY	6	68¢	$4	0xb94762…
06-05 09:24:33	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on June 6?	No	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xb1ddd6…
06-05 09:10:31	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 90-91°F on June 6?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$6	0xbce589…
06-05 08:46:37	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on June 6?	No	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x4ec443…
06-05 08:38:22	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 6?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xc820a4…
06-05 08:30:37	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 6?	No	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xddfba3…
06-05 08:17:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on June 6?	No	BUY	9	65¢	$6	0xf9bdf8…
06-05 08:00:48	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on June 6?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xbd17cf…
06-05 07:43:15	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on June 6?	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0x43b341…
06-05 07:35:46	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 24°C on June 6?	No	BUY	6	63¢	$4	0xf415ed…
06-05 07:27:45	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 6?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x2db3bf…
06-05 07:11:36	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 6?	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x5818ff…
06-05 06:56:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 6?	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xad74a7…
06-05 06:33:07	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on June 6?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0xc89518…
06-05 06:16:34	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 6?	No	BUY	6	58¢	$3	0x1dd857…
06-05 06:14:43	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 16°C on June 6?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x874f3f…
06-05 06:08:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 31°C on June 6?	No	BUY	11	59¢	$6	0xc89f9c…
06-05 05:54:36	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on June 6?	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x7ef82d…
06-05 05:53:16	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 38°C or higher on June 6?	No	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x3fc10e…
06-05 05:27:48	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 6?	No	BUY	11	58¢	$6	0x0702aa…
06-03 17:59:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 5?	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xb50c60…
06-03 16:19:46	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 5?	No	BUY	1	66¢	$0	0xd918b1…
06-03 16:18:30	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 5?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x5aff71…
06-03 16:11:57	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 5?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x30d5b5…
06-03 15:49:37	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 5?	No	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x4d745d…
06-03 15:49:36	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 5?	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0xce84f2…
06-03 15:46:12	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 5?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x7dd338…
06-03 14:34:16	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 28°C on June 5?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0x28b921…
06-03 13:27:47	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 36°C on June 4?	No	BUY	11	57¢	$6	0x043935…
06-03 11:57:45	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on June 5?	No	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x93cb17…
06-03 09:38:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on June 5?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xf7ed65…
06-03 08:28:06	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 4?	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x2476e7…
06-03 07:57:56	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 24°C on June 5?	No	BUY	9	74¢	$6	0x520598…
06-03 07:34:07	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 5?	No	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0x62acac…
06-03 05:09:41	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 23°C on June 4?	No	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x4e8aa7…
06-03 03:44:52	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 4?	No	BUY	4	66¢	$3	0x2fa84f…
06-03 03:31:51	Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 4?	No	BUY	9	71¢	$6	0x459e9c…
06-03 03:25:17	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 4?	No	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x0664fd…
06-03 01:57:30	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 84-85°F on June 4?	No	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0x373e46…
06-03 01:32:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 4?	No	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x41bbf5…
06-03 01:25:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 34°C on June 4?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xf8f10b…
06-03 00:50:20	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on June 4?	No	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xba8dd6…
06-03 00:26:54	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 36°C on June 4?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xd7cead…
06-03 00:14:27	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 33°C on June 4?	No	BUY	9	72¢	$6	0x1fa7eb…
06-02 23:42:22	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on June 4?	No	BUY	7	66¢	$4	0x39ace4…
06-02 23:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 86-87°F on June 4?	No	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x312e47…
06-02 21:16:01	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June 4?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x6e5cf0…
06-02 21:13:14	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 4?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x0ef9fe…
06-02 18:48:54	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 4?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x11e816…
06-02 17:47:28	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 4?	No	BUY	9	74¢	$6	0x464146…
06-02 17:24:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 4?	No	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0xecc3e4…
06-02 15:59:03	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on June 4?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xc58947…
06-02 13:26:13	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on June 4?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x1f11eb…
06-02 13:18:03	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on June 4?	No	BUY	9	72¢	$7	0x11da1d…
06-02 12:12:45	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 4?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0x4eed36…
06-02 11:42:30	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 4?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x80e34b…
06-02 11:42:27	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 4?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x4da41a…
06-02 11:37:31	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 4?	No	BUY	6	74¢	$4	0xa1d0f3…
06-02 11:07:32	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on June 4?	No	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x991dc9…
06-02 00:23:02	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 3?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x73840d…
06-01 19:52:19	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 66-67°F on June 2?	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0x523df5…
06-01 17:28:23	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on June 3?	No	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x7544bc…
06-01 17:26:48	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 22°C on June 3?	No	BUY	9	72¢	$6	0xe06eb0…
06-01 08:10:34	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on June 3?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x790ffc…
06-01 08:03:06	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on June 2?	No	BUY	9	66¢	$6	0xcd3540…
06-01 06:40:09	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on June 2?	No	BUY	9	72¢	$6	0x159416…
06-01 04:41:39	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 2?	No	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x6f8ef6…
06-01 04:40:29	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 29°C on June 2?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x70a51c…
06-01 04:06:18	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on June 2?	No	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x7546bf…
06-01 03:44:22	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 32°C on June 2?	No	BUY	8	74¢	$6	0xc67acf…
06-01 03:27:21	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 2?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x42893f…
06-01 03:24:09	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 20°C on June 2?	No	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xdd4b8d…
06-01 01:41:52	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on June 2?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x217a4d…
06-01 00:40:47	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C on June 2?	No	BUY	9	72¢	$6	0xfbd033…
06-01 00:16:26	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on June 2?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xf82f56…
05-31 20:39:00	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 2?	No	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x0056a0…
05-31 20:38:58	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on June 2?	No	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xbf26c2…
05-31 18:59:32	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on June 2?	No	BUY	4	70¢	$3	0x303994…
05-31 18:30:26	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on June 2?	No	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0xdcf877…
05-31 17:24:59	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on June 2?	No	BUY	12	55¢	$6	0x2241d2…
05-31 15:37:42	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 24°C on June 2?	No	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0xfbfab3…
05-31 14:38:59	Will the highest temperature in Houston be 92°F or higher on June 2?	No	BUY	9	72¢	$6	0xf6b0a7…
05-31 14:22:32	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on June 1?	No	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0xb9d641…
05-31 14:12:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 29°C on June 1?	No	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x087cec…
05-31 12:09:34	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 2?	No	BUY	9	68¢	$6	0x133c0b…
05-31 11:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 25°C on June 2?	No	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xdc0bc6…
05-31 09:45:55	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on June 1?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0x0bff06…
05-31 09:22:09	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 26°C on June 1?	No	BUY	6	70¢	$4	0x2e8a99…
05-31 08:22:51	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 19°C on June 1?	No	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0xe55513…
05-31 07:55:26	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on June 2?	No	BUY	5	74¢	$4	0xda39cd…
05-31 07:50:41	Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C on June 2?	No	BUY	9	67¢	$6	0xd3731d…
05-31 04:12:26	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on June 1?	No	BUY	10	64¢	$6	0x821515…
05-31 01:29:15	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on June 1?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xc5e72f…