Baggy-Porthole — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

19.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$26

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-13 20:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

100% 50% +$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes		+2	$1	44¢	$1	$-0	05-13 20:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 6?	1	$8	0	8	-8	Yes	$-0	05-06 16:05
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	1	$7	0	8	-8	open	—	05-13 08:33
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	1	$4	10	0	+10	No	$-4	05-06 10:00
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 13?	1	$3	6	0	+6	open	—	05-13 09:16
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 10?	1	$2	6	0	+6	Yes	+$4	05-10 14:01
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	05-13 20:13
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 11?	1	$1	2	0	+2	Yes	+$1	05-11 10:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-13 20:13:57	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x829b8a…
05-13 09:16:28	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 13?	Yes	BUY	6	49¢	$3	0x3efe64…
05-13 08:33:24	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	93¢	$7	0x57e4a9…
05-11 10:47:33	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 11?	Yes	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0xcb34bc…
05-10 14:01:39	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C on May 10?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x78c807…
05-06 16:05:43	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on May 6?	Yes	SELL	8	96¢	$8	0x14e3ab…
05-06 10:00:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 4 to May 6, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xec6001…