Yearly-Cold — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$51

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

98.1%

Resolved

Trades

6,777

lifetime

Volume

$423.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 06-08 12:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Other

59% 100% +$4

Crypto

38% 98% $-55

Politics

2% — —

Sports

1% — —

Tech

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

74 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be 5 7 inches of snow in dc this weekend	7	$2.0K	2,019	+2,019	open	—	01-27 13:15
highest temperature in seoul on january 29 neg 2c	9	$1.8K	1,800	+1,800	open	—	01-29 06:33
Will the US strike Somalia next?	11	$1.7K	1,710	+1,710	open	—	01-27 23:16
val ulf vit 2026 01 21 vit to win a map	9	$1.7K	1,699	+1,699	open	—	01-27 10:12
Over $2M committed to the Bitway public sale?	6	$1.7K	1,700	+1,700	open	—	01-26 07:56
highest temperature in seoul on january 27 neg 2c	14	$1.5K	1,488	+1,488	open	—	01-27 07:24
btc updown 15m 1770224400	5	$1.5K	1,500	+1,500	open	—	02-04 17:15
highest temperature in seoul on january 30 neg 4c	5	$1.2K	1,200	+1,200	open	—	01-30 06:27
btc updown 15m 1771098300	22	$1.1K	1,204	+1,204	open	—	02-14 20:01
will laura virginia fernndez delgado win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	6	$1.1K	1,120	+1,120	open	—	02-02 13:21
will trump say no no no this week february 1	4	$1.1K	1,100	+1,100	open	—	01-28 02:20
highest temperature in wellington on april 8 2026 19c	9	$997	1,000	+1,000	open	—	04-08 02:59
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 Week of May 25 2026?	4	$926	930	+930	open	—	05-29 22:30
will silver si hit low 85 by end of february 666 983 156 154 856 746 471 757	3	$898	900	+900	open	—	01-31 13:07
Ethereum Up or Down on May 19?	3	$897	900	+900	open	—	05-23 08:05
btc updown 15m 1771029900	7	$875	921	+921	open	—	02-14 01:00
will israel strike lebanon on january 30 2026	5	$740	742	+742	open	—	01-30 18:12
btc updown 15m 1770642900	3	$666	700	+700	open	—	02-09 13:30
internet access restored in iran by friday 263	5	$658	659	+659	open	—	01-31 02:00
xrp updown 15m 1770273900	4	$652	666	+666	open	—	02-05 07:00
will the price of xrp be less than 1pt50 on january 31	3	$604	606	+606	open	—	01-31 17:32
dota2 z10 pi 2026 01 27 game1	3	$604	605	+605	open	—	01-26 20:56
will silver si hit low 95 by end of february 137 363 345 839 282 643 945 788	4	$599	600	+600	open	—	01-31 13:21
highest temperature in dallas on february 3 2026 56 57f	2	$599	600	+600	open	—	02-03 10:18
will trump say television or tv this week february 1	3	$599	600	+600	open	—	01-28 07:21
si hit 70 low jan 2026 929 537 842	2	$599	600	+600	open	—	01-31 15:22
will there be 12 14 inches of snow in nyc in january	3	$599	600	+600	open	—	02-01 13:48
highest temperature in dallas on february 12 2026 78 79f	4	$599	600	+600	open	—	02-13 07:20
highest temperature in seoul on february 4 2026 5c	3	$599	600	+600	open	—	02-04 04:11
vz quarterly earnings nongaap eps 01 30 2026 1pt05	2	$599	600	+600	open	—	01-30 12:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 12:08:43	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x85b948…
06-08 12:08:34	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x9fce6f…
06-05 18:50:03	btc updown 5m 1780685100	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x85b254…
06-05 10:13:36	xrp up or down on may 19 2026	Down	SELL	61	99¢	$61	0x375b79…
06-05 10:12:57	solana up or down on may 18 2026	Down	SELL	300	99¢	$297	0x0764b6…
06-04 16:39:58	btc updown 5m 1780590900	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x802340…
06-04 15:20:13	btc updown 5m 1780586100	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x82fd91…
06-04 14:40:46	eth updown 5m 1780583700	Down	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0xa9f84f…
06-04 08:00:07	btc updown 5m 1780559700	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x228f41…
06-04 04:11:30	xrp up or down on may 19 2026	Down	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0xd10931…
06-02 19:50:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x95191a…
06-02 19:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2c7a18…
06-02 19:40:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x513504…
06-02 19:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x23dee6…
06-02 19:40:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x5936bf…
06-02 19:40:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0xf4e049…
06-02 19:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x4d12f3…
06-02 05:02:41	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 26-June 1?	No	BUY	55	99¢	$54	0x479a9f…
06-02 05:00:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7f42fc…
06-02 04:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xeced11…
05-29 22:30:51	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 Week of May 25 2026?	No	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x41d928…
05-29 22:25:30	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 Week of May 25 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x7031f3…
05-29 21:19:28	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 Week of May 25 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xa923eb…
05-29 21:06:38	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $450 Week of May 25 2026?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xe59de3…
05-29 19:30:27	XRP Up or Down on May 19?	Down	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1b9397…
05-28 10:09:02	XRP Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xeb4341…
05-28 07:16:03	hype up or down on may 18 2026	Up	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xd49d30…
05-26 19:13:04	XRP Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0f0818…
05-26 15:35:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf1f5e7…
05-26 13:25:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfef480…
05-25 18:17:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x93bea6…
05-25 09:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x4273ab…
05-25 01:06:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xcc13a7…
05-24 17:15:12	XRP Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xa0ac4e…
05-24 16:25:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x99d58b…
05-24 09:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	18	99¢	$18	0xe01753…
05-24 09:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET	Up	BUY	82	99¢	$81	0x921e2e…
05-24 02:25:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf07e95…
05-23 17:35:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0xe2377e…
05-23 17:35:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0xb38421…
05-23 14:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xb0e0d4…
05-23 08:05:35	Ethereum Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xa02a1b…
05-22 19:06:15	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of May 18 2026?	Yes	BUY	31	99¢	$30	0x9be0c8…
05-22 12:46:58	XRP Up or Down on May 18?	Down	BUY	48	100¢	$48	0x0e11ed…
05-22 06:29:14	Solana Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xa18ef6…
05-22 05:48:01	Ethereum Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	300	99¢	$297	0x694e25…
05-22 04:46:27	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	182	100¢	$182	0x7854b3…
05-22 04:46:01	Solana Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x71d8fb…
05-22 04:45:15	Ethereum Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x6d311d…
05-22 02:02:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xbc0c05…
05-22 01:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9d782f…
05-22 01:34:57	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdeca49…
05-22 01:30:41	Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0d7b6f…
05-21 06:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xc68c37…
05-21 02:25:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x0fc9ad…
05-20 21:58:48	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on May 20?	No	BUY	146	99¢	$145	0x5023f6…
05-20 21:58:38	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 20?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0xc1a538…
05-20 21:48:27	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 20?	No	BUY	229	99¢	$226	0x2b005e…
05-20 21:32:30	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on May 20?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x2c88b4…
05-20 11:40:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xe1d77a…
05-20 09:30:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa77394…
05-20 07:25:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x111758…
05-20 06:30:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x508e94…
05-20 03:30:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2b58cb…
05-19 13:30:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0728b7…
05-19 10:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x8e0a79…
05-19 05:40:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc85352…
05-18 23:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x104879…
05-18 04:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x4456f5…
05-17 23:44:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc6d7ab…
05-17 23:00:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x31d0f4…
05-17 20:25:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x11beef…
05-17 20:10:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xee1f4e…
05-17 17:15:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc6034c…
05-17 17:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x7bd973…
05-17 16:59:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x13c578…
05-17 16:04:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x0db39d…
05-17 11:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xa3c0d6…
05-17 07:40:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x24a742…
05-17 03:05:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd97cde…
05-16 15:11:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x0ea137…
05-16 14:55:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x0c0959…
05-16 09:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x886b80…
05-16 08:51:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xfa58d1…
05-16 07:05:02	Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6ceeb2…
05-16 06:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	31	99¢	$31	0x4cb6ff…
05-16 06:35:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x641cce…
05-16 06:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xded8fe…
05-16 06:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	62	99¢	$62	0x4f9ed4…
05-16 06:25:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x5f21a9…
05-16 03:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	51	92¢	$47	0xacbf53…
05-16 03:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x712185…
05-16 03:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	52	92¢	$48	0x5ed1a5…
05-16 03:20:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x21e839…
05-16 00:15:27	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 15?	No	BUY	300	100¢	$300	0x3c71e7…
05-15 23:37:23	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $104 on May 15?	No	BUY	287	100¢	$287	0xb23f30…
05-15 06:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc07277…
05-15 03:40:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x0e97bf…
05-15 02:36:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xfed6c7…
05-15 00:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xa32467…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Voluminous-Lava 0x46b3…d3de	752	$841	2,015	05-15 21:00
Impossible-Thorn 0xdc3f…f038	391	$1.27K	1,218	04-28 02:23
Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9	383	$193.4K	25,811	06-08 12:01
oVyg7f 0x5f39…a78c	379	$75.2K	11,111	04-08 08:54
Motionless-Stalk 0xe347…b438	368	$37.1K	5,449	04-25 12:03
Scientific-Sophomore 0x5f21…b376	346	$25.6K	10,068	04-27 02:42
(anonymous) 0xfbb7…6f27	333	$1.71K	1,575	04-21 18:52
(anonymous) 0x2c45…4790	295	$31.5K	376	04-28 04:57