Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 15°C on May 15?
open
Total volume
$387
$1,038 in 24h
Trades
29
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$2,823
Latest YES mid
6¢
Latest NO mid
94¢
End date
2026-05-15
First seen
2026-05-13
last 05-14 12:09
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 1 | — | $14 | $14 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 18 | $14 | $342 | $328 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 8 | $1 | $128 | $127 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | — | $2 | $2 |
| Median | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
| Below median | 5 | $2 | $12 | $10 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $11 | — | +$11 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $211 | $211 |
| unranked | 1 | — | $5 | $5 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bouncy-Return 0xfe57…4406 | No | +223 | $211 | $211 | 1 | 05-14 11:40 |
| Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | Yes | +89 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 11:40 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +47 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 05-13 23:19 |
| Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | +46 | $43 | $43 | 1 | 05-13 20:23 |
| Astonishing-Pseudoscience 0x1bce…24cd | No | +22 | $20 | $20 | 2 | 05-13 09:42 |
| Bitter-Humanity 0x9bd5…ac4d | Yes | +18 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 15:58 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +14 | $14 | $14 | 4 | 05-14 10:14 |
| Keen-News 0x451a…3b01 | Yes | +12 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 06:14 |
| Detailed-Pan 0x222b…1e07 | Yes | +10 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 06:14 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 05-13 20:33 |
| Fussy-Skylight 0xb226…4163 | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-13 20:28 |
| Worrisome-Markup 0x2c0a…c480 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 10:54 |
| Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | +5 | $5 | $14 | 5 | 05-13 22:11 |
| Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 08:16 |
| Compassionate-Font 0x5c5d…1e18 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-14 09:19 |
| Famous-Moody 0x988e…d0d0 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 21:31 |
| Tan-Confectionery-Arthur 0xf884…8f01 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 12:09 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 12:09:11 | Tan-Confectionery-Arthur 0xf884…8f01 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xa04d40… |
| 05-14 12:02:37 | Breakable-Box 0xf841…915b | Yes | SELL | 60 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x6f4e03… |
| 05-14 11:40:31 | Academic-Elicit 0x139e…a5de | Yes | BUY | 89 | 10¢ | $9 | 0xeaff02… |
| 05-14 11:40:29 | Bouncy-Return 0xfe57…4406 | No | BUY | 223 | 95¢ | $211 | 0x9ada7f… |
| 05-14 10:54:38 | Worrisome-Markup 0x2c0a…c480 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x3e3703… |
| 05-14 10:14:37 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x292b88… |
| 05-14 09:19:16 | Compassionate-Font 0x5c5d…1e18 | No | BUY | 2 | 93¢ | $2 | 0x7fad9b… |
| 05-13 23:19:18 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 47 | 93¢ | $43 | 0xf2daae… |
| 05-13 22:30:50 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0xf2768d… |
| 05-13 22:11:59 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | SELL | 3 | 88¢ | $3 | 0x83a5e4… |
| 05-13 22:11:56 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | BUY | 3 | 93¢ | $3 | 0x3a34d3… |
| 05-13 22:08:06 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | SELL | 2 | 92¢ | $2 | 0x5606f8… |
| 05-13 22:08:01 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $2 | 0x50539e… |
| 05-13 22:07:56 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 2 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x963d82… |
| 05-13 22:07:47 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0xddcbf8… |
| 05-13 21:31:44 | Famous-Moody 0x988e…d0d0 | No | BUY | 2 | 96¢ | $2 | 0xb6d6b9… |
| 05-13 20:33:56 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 8 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x3a9b1b… |
| 05-13 20:28:35 | Fussy-Skylight 0xb226…4163 | No | BUY | 6 | 93¢ | $5 | 0x49380d… |
| 05-13 20:23:36 | Sure-Footed-Cherry 0xa98a…a5a8 | No | BUY | 46 | 93¢ | $43 | 0x31b33d… |
| 05-13 20:22:59 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 7¢ | $0 | 0x5cc4ab… |
| 05-13 20:22:56 | Junior-Resale 0x9646…d98d | No | BUY | 5 | 93¢ | $5 | 0xc5d17a… |
| 05-13 15:58:34 | Bitter-Humanity 0x9bd5…ac4d | Yes | BUY | 18 | 8¢ | $1 | 0x80daed… |
| 05-13 11:38:12 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x0401be… |
| 05-13 11:38:12 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 8¢ | $0 | 0x6d083e… |
| 05-13 09:42:59 | Astonishing-Pseudoscience 0x1bce…24cd | No | BUY | 10 | 90¢ | $9 | 0x3c6714… |
| 05-13 09:42:54 | Astonishing-Pseudoscience 0x1bce…24cd | No | BUY | 12 | 90¢ | $11 | 0x4e73ee… |
| 05-13 08:16:27 | Used-Spleen 0xc279…7023 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x8916e4… |
| 05-13 06:14:41 | Keen-News 0x451a…3b01 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 17¢ | $2 | 0xcdb5b8… |
| 05-13 06:14:32 | Detailed-Pan 0x222b…1e07 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 10¢ | $1 | 0xe2425b… |