Fussy-Skylight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$548

Unrealized P&L

+$6

Hit rate

76.9%

Resolved

2,626

Trades

3,502

lifetime

Volume

$87.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

$201

2 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 10-29 07:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 136 days

Categories

Other

86% 80% +$571

Politics

6% 73% +$218

Sports

5% 77% +$123

Crypto

2% 73% -$116

Tech

0% 60% -$51

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$196

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 154 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No		+203	$160	77¢	$156	-$5	09-07 03:14
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No		+108	$35	42¢	$46	+$11	05-23 16:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	3	$270	360	52	+308	Yes	-$200	08-01 23:08
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?	4	$218	278	12	+266	No	+$65	08-01 23:08
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	2	$210	428	0	+428	Yes	-$210	09-07 03:13
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	2	$210	237	0	+237	No	+$27	08-01 23:09
Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 20–25%?	10	$202	261	17	+244	No	+$66	07-21 23:38
Will Respublica win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	2	$201	249	0	+249	No	+$47	08-01 23:09
Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave Win the Sinquefield Cup?	2	$201	219	0	+219	No	+$17	08-01 23:09
Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	1	$200	247	0	+247	No	+$47	08-01 23:09
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	1	$200	339	0	+339	Yes	-$200	08-01 23:09
Will Cory Mills be the FL-07 Republican nominee?	2	$200	235	0	+235	No	+$35	08-01 23:09
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $215 Week of May 11 2026?	1	$200	200,000	0	+200,000	Yes	-$200	05-11 19:53
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	10	$200	397	0	+397	cancelled	-$1	07-22 17:37
Will FK Liepāja win on 2026-07-23?	1	$199	221	0	+221	No	+$22	07-22 17:10
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k?	1	$196	230	0	+230	Yes	-$196	08-01 18:18
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	1	$196	230	0	+230	No	+$35	08-01 18:18
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-08-02?	1	$196	280	0	+280	Yes	-$196	08-01 18:18
Will Kevin Hermening be the WI-07 Republican nominee?	1	$196	222	0	+222	No	+$27	08-01 18:19
Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?	1	$196	225	0	+225	No	+$29	08-01 18:18
Will Kaela Berg be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?	1	$195	234	0	+234	No	+$39	08-01 18:18
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-07-22?	4	$193	234	5	+229	No	+$44	07-21 23:04
Exact Score: Coritiba FBC 2 - 1 SE Palmeiras?	2	$186	195	0	+195	No	+$10	07-21 23:04
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 10?	1	$184	231	0	+231	No	+$47	09-09 17:05
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 10?	1	$184	288	0	+288	No	+$104	09-09 17:05
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on September 10?	1	$184	524	0	+524	Yes	-$184	09-09 17:05
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on September 10?	1	$184	344	0	+344	Yes	-$184	09-09 17:05
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 10?	1	$184	442	0	+442	No	+$258	09-09 17:05
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 10?	1	$184	514	0	+514	Yes	-$184	09-09 17:05
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 10?	1	$184	302	0	+302	Yes	-$184	09-09 17:05
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 10?	1	$184	253	0	+253	Yes	-$184	09-09 17:05
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	8	$180	256	0	+256	No	+$75	07-22 17:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 07:33:44	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	105	25¢	$26	0x312ef7…
10-29 06:34:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 30?	No	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x10dea6…
10-27 17:15:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x7f3beb…
09-29 04:22:26	Will Styvenson Valentim win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?	No	BUY	115	83¢	$95	0x6e9dfb…
09-29 04:22:21	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	187	92¢	$172	0xbefdf4…
09-29 04:22:21	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	160	86¢	$137	0x023031…
09-29 04:22:18	israel election sami abu shehadeh effectively banned	No	BUY	632	27¢	$172	0xc32129…
09-29 04:22:18	Will SC Braga win on 2026-10-09?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x4d6182…
09-29 04:22:14	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x53573f…
09-29 04:22:14	Will Randolfe win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x40b303…
09-29 04:22:09	Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	158	84¢	$133	0xe634b0…
09-29 04:22:09	Will Latvia win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	215	80¢	$172	0x1e09e3…
09-29 04:22:05	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	638	27¢	$172	0xaaf1e7…
09-29 04:22:05	Exact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Serbia?	No	BUY	187	92¢	$172	0x3e0009…
09-29 04:22:00	Will Erika Jurinová win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	283	47¢	$133	0xcd7e7c…
09-29 04:22:00	Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	No	BUY	199	86¢	$172	0x30275a…
09-29 04:21:56	Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Serbia?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x6b870e…
09-29 04:21:56	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	441	37¢	$165	0x55df56…
09-29 04:21:51	Will Gary Sulz win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?	No	BUY	376	46¢	$172	0xf5a12f…
09-29 04:21:51	Will CD Los Chankas win on 2026-09-30?	No	BUY	47	88¢	$41	0x58b872…
09-29 04:21:48	Will Renan Santos win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	248	66¢	$163	0xec4613…
09-29 04:21:47	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	205	84¢	$172	0xec619b…
09-29 04:21:44	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	211	75¢	$159	0xbe8b47…
09-29 04:21:42	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	196	87¢	$171	0xe87160…
09-29 04:21:38	Will Drew Campbell win Big Brother season 28?	No	BUY	90	64¢	$58	0xdbe367…
09-29 04:21:38	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	380	45¢	$171	0x4ee1b7…
09-29 04:21:33	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	572	29¢	$166	0xe8b0ce…
09-29 04:21:33	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	405	42¢	$170	0x04e820…
09-29 04:21:30	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09?	No	BUY	559	30¢	$167	0xed358e…
09-29 04:21:29	Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	28	17¢	$5	0xead7f9…
09-29 04:21:26	Will Houston Astros advance to the ALDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?	No	BUY	274	43¢	$117	0xac2f7f…
09-29 04:21:26	Will Styvenson Valentim win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?	No	BUY	75	20¢	$15	0x42fae0…
09-29 04:21:21	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	No	BUY	439	39¢	$172	0xb134cf…
09-29 04:21:21	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	292	59¢	$172	0x6f3817…
09-29 04:21:17	Will Arsenal WFC win on 2026-09-30?	No	BUY	132	33¢	$44	0xbf9bbc…
09-29 04:21:17	Denmark vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	394	42¢	$165	0x7626ba…
09-29 04:21:14	Woking FC vs. Solihull Moors FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	431	39¢	$170	0x109f76…
09-29 04:21:09	Will Boreham Wood FC win on 2026-09-29?	No	BUY	465	35¢	$163	0xbbf2d0…
09-29 04:21:09	Will Altrincham FC win on 2026-09-29?	No	BUY	379	45¢	$171	0xa8fe85…
09-28 21:50:21	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	68	36¢	$24	0x319a1d…
09-28 14:05:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 29?	No	BUY	67	37¢	$25	0x1a57ad…
09-28 04:14:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 28?	No	BUY	67	37¢	$25	0x50d660…
09-27 22:10:50	Will Japan win on 2026-09-28?	No	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xa401e7…
09-27 18:27:44	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 28?	No	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xb87649…
09-27 18:27:44	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 28?	No	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x5644c5…
09-09 17:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 10?	No	BUY	253	73¢	$184	0x0bcb5b…
09-09 17:05:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on September 10?	No	BUY	344	54¢	$184	0xece3c0…
09-09 17:05:13	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 10?	No	BUY	231	80¢	$184	0x17e50f…
09-09 17:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 10?	No	BUY	302	61¢	$184	0x683554…
09-09 17:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 10?	No	BUY	288	64¢	$184	0x350aa2…
09-09 17:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 28°C on September 10?	No	BUY	271	60¢	$162	0x02676d…
09-09 17:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 10?	No	BUY	514	36¢	$184	0xbc9f1e…
09-09 17:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on September 10?	No	BUY	524	35¢	$184	0x7c3b23…
09-09 17:05:09	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 10?	No	BUY	442	42¢	$184	0x6e7520…
09-09 15:28:07	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 98-99°F on September 10?	No	BUY	76	33¢	$25	0x409433…
09-07 03:15:34	Will Liverpool FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?	No	BUY	195	77¢	$150	0xe3ee51…
09-07 03:15:34	FC Porto vs. Manchester City FC: Neither team to score first?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0xb8ee17…
09-07 03:15:31	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	172	93¢	$160	0xea4611…
09-07 03:15:30	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 29°C on September 8?	No	BUY	8	95¢	$8	0xdd0d79…
09-07 03:15:30	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from September 4 to September 11, 2026?	No	BUY	135	87¢	$117	0x92a095…
09-07 03:15:28	Exact Score: Lille OSC 1 - 0 Real Betis Balompié?	No	BUY	176	91¢	$160	0x92aa23…
09-07 03:15:27	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 90-91°F on September 8?	No	BUY	180	89¢	$160	0xd8bcc9…
09-07 03:15:27	Will São Paulo FC win on 2026-09-08?	No	BUY	35	84¢	$30	0x117f80…
09-07 03:15:25	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 35°C on September 8?	No	BUY	18	95¢	$17	0x4bce7a…
09-07 03:15:24	Will Orlando City SC win on 2026-09-09?	No	BUY	56	70¢	$39	0xec769e…
09-07 03:15:22	Will CA Platense win on 2026-09-08?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xde794b…
09-07 03:15:22	Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after the September Meeting?	No	BUY	228	32¢	$73	0x9b032c…
09-07 03:15:21	Will NYC Mayor post 40-59 posts from September 1 to September 8, 2026?	No	BUY	87	93¢	$81	0x012b24…
09-07 03:15:19	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 21°C on September 8?	No	BUY	172	93¢	$160	0x8cfac3…
09-07 03:15:18	Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-09-10?	No	BUY	247	65¢	$160	0x6dbace…
09-07 03:15:16	Will Jascha Rohr win the next Oldenburg mayoral election?	No	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0xfd051c…
09-07 03:15:15	Will NEC vs. SBV Excelsior end in a draw?	No	BUY	38	80¢	$30	0x38d5f0…
09-07 03:15:15	Will the Green Party (MP) win the sixth most seats in the 2026 Swedish parliamentary election?	No	BUY	50	70¢	$35	0x1a1ab2…
09-07 03:15:15	Will Al Ahli Saudi Club win on 2026-09-08?	No	BUY	217	74¢	$160	0x18b8ad…
09-07 03:15:13	Will Lincoln City FC win on 2026-09-08?	No	BUY	51	90¢	$46	0x14ac18…
09-07 03:15:12	Will Club Brugge KV win on 2026-09-08?	No	BUY	247	65¢	$160	0x720d1f…
09-07 03:15:10	Will Criciúma EC win on 2026-09-08?	No	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x603bca…
09-07 03:15:10	Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-09-08?	No	BUY	72	80¢	$58	0x49fe32…
09-07 03:15:07	Will Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Anyang end in a draw?	No	BUY	103	77¢	$80	0x4a95cc…
09-07 03:15:07	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on September 8?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x47d8d2…
09-07 03:15:07	Will FC Porto vs. Manchester City FC end in a draw?	No	BUY	88	77¢	$68	0x1e95a7…
09-07 03:15:04	Will Blackburn Rovers FC win on 2026-09-08?	No	BUY	229	70¢	$160	0xf4dfde…
09-07 03:15:04	Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate after the September Meeting?	No	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xad3f3f…
09-07 03:15:04	Will SBV Excelsior win on 2026-08-22?	No	BUY	193	83¢	$160	0xa62c7e…
09-07 03:15:04	Exact Score: AEK 1 - 0 LASK Linz?	No	BUY	42	91¢	$38	0x6f2616…
09-07 03:15:04	Will FC Porto win on 2026-09-08?	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0x3d7d1a…
09-07 03:15:04	Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on September 8?	No	BUY	64	95¢	$61	0x36a25b…
09-07 03:14:58	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund vs. Villarreal CF end in a draw?	No	BUY	205	78¢	$160	0xf87daf…
09-07 03:14:58	Exact Score: AEK 2 - 1 LASK Linz?	No	BUY	39	90¢	$35	0x3ff0dc…
09-07 03:14:57	Will Charlton Athletic FC win on 2026-09-09?	No	BUY	226	71¢	$160	0xf72e66…
09-07 03:14:57	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 8?	No	BUY	341	47¢	$160	0xd370a6…
09-07 03:14:55	Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on September 8?	No	BUY	198	81¢	$160	0x3c243b…
09-07 03:14:54	Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	BUY	203	79¢	$160	0xe00f0b…
09-07 03:14:52	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 30°C on September 8?	No	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0xdb620c…
09-07 03:14:52	Lautaro Martinez: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	10	71¢	$7	0xa38cbe…
09-07 03:14:51	Exact Score: Lille OSC 1 - 1 Real Betis Balompié?	No	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0x341487…
09-07 03:14:49	Will West Bromwich Albion FC win on 2026-09-09?	No	BUY	59	61¢	$36	0xf71379…
09-07 03:14:49	CD Limache vs. CD Cobresal: Neither team to score first?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xc306a9…
09-07 03:14:48	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 8?	No	BUY	239	67¢	$160	0xb88a6d…
09-07 03:14:46	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on September 8?	No	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x7e697b…