Fussy-Skylight — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$548

Unrealized P&L

-$12

Hit rate

76.9%

Resolved

2,626

Trades

3,553

lifetime

Volume

$92.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

$2.59K

16 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 10-29 23:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 136 days

Categories

Other

85% 80% +$571

Politics

8% 73% +$218

Sports

5% 77% +$123

Crypto

2% 73% -$116

Tech

0% 60% -$51

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$196

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 154 trades/day

Open positions (16) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	+593	$178	32¢	$187	+$9	10-29 16:03
Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	+259	$179	70¢	$182	+$4	10-29 12:35
Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+258	$178	70¢	$182	+$4	10-29 14:34
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	+494	$178	36¢	$180	+$2	10-29 16:03
Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+259	$179	70¢	$180	+$1	10-29 12:35
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+243	$178	74¢	$179	+$1	10-29 14:34
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	+242	$177	74¢	$178	+$1	10-29 20:04
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	+260	$177	68¢	$178	+$1	10-29 21:04
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	+252	$179	70¢	$177	-$1	10-29 12:35
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	+252	$179	70¢	$177	-$1	10-29 12:35
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	+253	$177	70¢	$176	-$1	10-29 21:04
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	+231	$176	75¢	$174	-$2	10-29 23:33
Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	+578	$177	30¢	$171	-$7	10-29 19:34
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	+203	$160	79¢	$160	-$1	09-07 03:14
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	+165	$101	42¢	$69	-$32	10-29 09:33
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?	No	+108	$35	40¢	$44	+$9	05-23 16:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.2% in July?	3	$270	360	52	+308	Yes	-$200	08-01 23:08
Will Core CPI MoM be 0.3% in July?	4	$218	278	12	+266	No	+$65	08-01 23:08
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 7?	2	$210	428	0	+428	Yes	-$210	09-07 03:13
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	2	$210	237	0	+237	No	+$27	08-01 23:09
Will Jay Feely win the AZ-01 Republican primary by 20–25%?	10	$202	261	17	+244	No	+$66	07-21 23:38
Will Respublica win the second most seats in the 2026 Kazakh Kurultai elections?	2	$201	249	0	+249	No	+$47	08-01 23:09
Will Maxime Vachier-Lagrave Win the Sinquefield Cup?	2	$201	219	0	+219	No	+$17	08-01 23:09
Will Catalina Lauf be the Republican nominee for FL-19?	1	$200	247	0	+247	No	+$47	08-01 23:09
Will annual inflation be 3.4% in July?	1	$200	339	0	+339	Yes	-$200	08-01 23:09
Will Cory Mills be the FL-07 Republican nominee?	2	$200	235	0	+235	No	+$35	08-01 23:09
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $215 Week of May 11 2026?	1	$200	200,000	0	+200,000	Yes	-$200	05-11 19:53
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	10	$200	397	0	+397	cancelled	-$1	07-22 17:37
Will FK Liepāja win on 2026-07-23?	1	$199	221	0	+221	No	+$22	07-22 17:10
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k?	1	$196	230	0	+230	Yes	-$196	08-01 18:18
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	1	$196	230	0	+230	No	+$35	08-01 18:18
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-08-02?	1	$196	280	0	+280	Yes	-$196	08-01 18:18
Will Kevin Hermening be the WI-07 Republican nominee?	1	$196	222	0	+222	No	+$27	08-01 18:19
Will Ethan Corson win the 2026 Kansas Governor Democratic primary election?	1	$196	225	0	+225	No	+$29	08-01 18:18
Will Kaela Berg be the Democratic nominee for MN-02?	1	$195	234	0	+234	No	+$39	08-01 18:18
Will Coritiba FBC win on 2026-07-22?	4	$193	234	5	+229	No	+$44	07-21 23:04
Exact Score: Coritiba FBC 2 - 1 SE Palmeiras?	2	$186	195	0	+195	No	+$10	07-21 23:04
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 10?	1	$184	231	0	+231	No	+$47	09-09 17:05
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on September 10?	1	$184	288	0	+288	No	+$104	09-09 17:05
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 30°C on September 10?	1	$184	524	0	+524	Yes	-$184	09-09 17:05
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on September 10?	1	$184	344	0	+344	Yes	-$184	09-09 17:05
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on September 10?	1	$184	442	0	+442	No	+$258	09-09 17:05
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on September 10?	1	$184	514	0	+514	Yes	-$184	09-09 17:05
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 10?	1	$184	302	0	+302	Yes	-$184	09-09 17:05
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 10?	1	$184	253	0	+253	Yes	-$184	09-09 17:05
Will Haley Stevens win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?	8	$180	256	0	+256	No	+$75	07-22 17:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 23:48:45	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 12°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	208	37¢	$78	0xbcf90a…
10-29 23:48:45	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 31?	No	BUY	196	90¢	$176	0xb70e5f…
10-29 23:48:45	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 19°C on October 30?	No	BUY	245	55¢	$135	0xaf3acb…
10-29 23:33:37	Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	No	BUY	231	76¢	$176	0x92bf55…
10-29 22:33:45	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	144	34¢	$49	0x7b5795…
10-29 22:33:45	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 13°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	402	44¢	$177	0x232c83…
10-29 22:33:43	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	211	37¢	$79	0xcfd886…
10-29 22:19:28	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 17°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	73	46¢	$33	0x012675…
10-29 22:04:00	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 16°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	21	37¢	$8	0x13eb79…
10-29 21:49:16	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 80-81°F on October 30?	No	BUY	164	75¢	$123	0xe5624f…
10-29 21:34:24	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	200	55¢	$110	0xa3dce3…
10-29 21:34:22	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	40	36¢	$14	0xb8903a…
10-29 21:34:22	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	25	47¢	$12	0x924227…
10-29 21:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	347	51¢	$177	0x99921d…
10-29 21:34:21	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 11°C on October 30?	No	BUY	40	53¢	$21	0x820a5d…
10-29 21:04:43	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	253	70¢	$177	0x66e3a7…
10-29 21:04:42	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 22°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	100	41¢	$41	0xa5d6e2…
10-29 21:04:40	Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?	No	BUY	260	68¢	$177	0xaca32b…
10-29 20:34:06	Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 60-61°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	109	34¢	$37	0xee28f8…
10-29 20:34:06	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on October 30?	No	BUY	196	42¢	$83	0x53190e…
10-29 20:34:04	Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on October 30?	No	BUY	245	72¢	$177	0x2a0a13…
10-29 20:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on October 31?	Yes	BUY	40	27¢	$11	0xf92501…
10-29 20:04:16	Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	242	73¢	$177	0xbd6686…
10-29 19:34:58	Will the Democrats win the Florida governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	578	31¢	$177	0xb79d0b…
10-29 19:34:58	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 13°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x49f428…
10-29 17:34:40	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on October 30?	No	BUY	212	81¢	$172	0x6d869e…
10-29 17:34:38	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 11°C on October 31?	No	BUY	250	71¢	$178	0xed8748…
10-29 17:34:38	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x388fa1…
10-29 17:03:49	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	333	53¢	$177	0x8bd877…
10-29 17:03:49	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 64-65°F on October 30?	No	BUY	159	78¢	$124	0x1b93d3…
10-29 17:03:47	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 72-73°F on October 30?	No	BUY	245	72¢	$178	0x94a130…
10-29 16:34:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	14	25¢	$4	0xcfde1c…
10-29 16:34:10	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on October 30?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xbffc02…
10-29 16:03:58	Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	237	36¢	$85	0x46eeaf…
10-29 16:03:56	Will the Republicans win the Nebraska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	593	30¢	$178	0xe7d13b…
10-29 16:03:55	Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	494	36¢	$178	0x7034da…
10-29 15:04:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 30?	No	BUY	267	66¢	$178	0x878836…
10-29 14:34:16	Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C on October 30?	No	BUY	203	75¢	$152	0xd6a711…
10-29 14:34:16	Will the Democrats win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	258	69¢	$178	0x7a8ea1…
10-29 14:34:14	Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	243	73¢	$178	0xb58262…
10-29 12:35:07	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	252	71¢	$179	0x82a31f…
10-29 12:35:05	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	407	44¢	$179	0xe25e1a…
10-29 12:35:05	Will the Republicans win the Ohio Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	259	69¢	$179	0x830e25…
10-29 12:35:04	Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	259	69¢	$179	0xad6a90…
10-29 12:35:04	Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	252	71¢	$179	0x5f291f…
10-29 10:33:40	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 15°C on October 31?	Yes	BUY	106	30¢	$32	0x99f6cb…
10-29 10:33:38	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 25°C on October 30?	No	BUY	221	81¢	$179	0xfcd288…
10-29 10:33:38	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 74-75°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x72dfed…
10-29 09:33:43	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	440	24¢	$106	0xba4734…
10-29 09:33:43	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 72-73°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	452	40¢	$179	0x70efd1…
10-29 09:33:43	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 23 to October 30, 2026?	No	BUY	165	61¢	$101	0x00b8b2…
10-29 07:33:44	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 74-75°F on October 30?	Yes	BUY	105	25¢	$26	0x312ef7…
10-29 06:34:22	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 18°C on October 30?	No	BUY	38	66¢	$25	0x10dea6…
10-27 17:15:08	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on October 28?	No	BUY	37	67¢	$25	0x7f3beb…
09-29 04:22:26	Will Styvenson Valentim win the second-most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?	No	BUY	115	83¢	$95	0x6e9dfb…
09-29 04:22:21	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 1 to October 3, 2026?	No	BUY	187	92¢	$172	0xbefdf4…
09-29 04:22:21	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from September 29 to October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	160	86¢	$137	0x023031…
09-29 04:22:18	israel election sami abu shehadeh effectively banned	No	BUY	632	27¢	$172	0xc32129…
09-29 04:22:18	Will SC Braga win on 2026-10-09?	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0x4d6182…
09-29 04:22:14	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	16	95¢	$15	0x53573f…
09-29 04:22:14	Will Randolfe win the most votes in the 2026 Amapá Senate election?	No	BUY	50	89¢	$44	0x40b303…
09-29 04:22:09	Will Sporting Kansas City win on 2026-10-01?	No	BUY	158	84¢	$133	0xe634b0…
09-29 04:22:09	Will Latvia win on 2026-10-02?	No	BUY	215	80¢	$172	0x1e09e3…
09-29 04:22:05	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	638	27¢	$172	0xaaf1e7…
09-29 04:22:05	Exact Score: Germany 1 - 0 Serbia?	No	BUY	187	92¢	$172	0x3e0009…
09-29 04:22:00	Will Erika Jurinová win the 2026 Žilina Region gubernatorial election?	No	BUY	283	47¢	$133	0xcd7e7c…
09-29 04:22:00	Will Douglas Ruas win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?	No	BUY	199	86¢	$172	0x30275a…
09-29 04:21:56	Exact Score: Germany 3 - 1 Serbia?	No	BUY	50	92¢	$46	0x6b870e…
09-29 04:21:56	Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?	No	BUY	441	37¢	$165	0x55df56…
09-29 04:21:51	Will Gary Sulz win the 2026 Revelstoke mayoral election?	No	BUY	376	46¢	$172	0xf5a12f…
09-29 04:21:51	Will CD Los Chankas win on 2026-09-30?	No	BUY	47	88¢	$41	0x58b872…
09-29 04:21:48	Will Renan Santos win between 4% and 6% of the valid vote in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	248	66¢	$163	0xec4613…
09-29 04:21:47	Will the next Meta Muse Spark model be released on October 6, 2026?	No	BUY	205	84¢	$172	0xec619b…
09-29 04:21:44	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from September 25 to October 2, 2026?	No	BUY	211	75¢	$159	0xbe8b47…
09-29 04:21:42	Will the Ornn RTX 5090 Index be between $0.55 and $0.60 on September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	196	87¢	$171	0xe87160…
09-29 04:21:38	Will Drew Campbell win Big Brother season 28?	No	BUY	90	64¢	$58	0xdbe367…
09-29 04:21:38	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	380	45¢	$171	0x4ee1b7…
09-29 04:21:33	Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-10-10?	No	BUY	572	29¢	$166	0xe8b0ce…
09-29 04:21:33	Will SS Lazio win on 2026-10-11?	No	BUY	405	42¢	$170	0x04e820…
09-29 04:21:30	Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-10-09?	No	BUY	559	30¢	$167	0xed358e…
09-29 04:21:29	Will Netherlands win on 2026-10-04?	No	BUY	28	17¢	$5	0xead7f9…
09-29 04:21:26	Will Houston Astros advance to the ALDS in the 2026 MLB Playoffs?	No	BUY	274	43¢	$117	0xac2f7f…
09-29 04:21:26	Will Styvenson Valentim win the most votes in the 2026 Rio Grande do Norte Senate election?	No	BUY	75	20¢	$15	0x42fae0…
09-29 04:21:21	Will Lula win the most votes in the next Brazil presidential election from Minas Gerais?	No	BUY	439	39¢	$172	0xb134cf…
09-29 04:21:21	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	292	59¢	$172	0x6f3817…
09-29 04:21:17	Will Arsenal WFC win on 2026-09-30?	No	BUY	132	33¢	$44	0xbf9bbc…
09-29 04:21:17	Denmark vs. Portugal: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	394	42¢	$165	0x7626ba…
09-29 04:21:14	Woking FC vs. Solihull Moors FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	431	39¢	$170	0x109f76…
09-29 04:21:09	Will Boreham Wood FC win on 2026-09-29?	No	BUY	465	35¢	$163	0xbbf2d0…
09-29 04:21:09	Will Altrincham FC win on 2026-09-29?	No	BUY	379	45¢	$171	0xa8fe85…
09-28 21:50:21	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from September 22 to September 29, 2026?	No	BUY	68	36¢	$24	0x319a1d…
09-28 14:05:17	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 29?	No	BUY	67	37¢	$25	0x1a57ad…
09-28 04:14:59	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $82,000 and $84,000 on September 28?	No	BUY	67	37¢	$25	0x50d660…
09-27 22:10:50	Will Japan win on 2026-09-28?	No	BUY	100	25¢	$25	0xa401e7…
09-27 18:27:44	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 62-63°F on September 28?	No	BUY	60	42¢	$25	0xb87649…
09-27 18:27:44	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 28?	No	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x5644c5…
09-09 17:05:16	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on September 10?	No	BUY	253	73¢	$184	0x0bcb5b…
09-09 17:05:15	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on September 10?	No	BUY	344	54¢	$184	0xece3c0…
09-09 17:05:13	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on September 10?	No	BUY	231	80¢	$184	0x17e50f…
09-09 17:05:10	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 19°C on September 10?	No	BUY	302	61¢	$184	0x683554…