Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 9?
open
Total volume
$435
$1,244 in 24h
Trades
41
Unique wallets
27
Liquidity
$3,970
Latest YES mid
11¢
Latest NO mid
89¢
End date
2026-05-09
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-08 15:04
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 2 | — | $22 | $22 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $10 | $324 | $315 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 5 | — | $226 | $226 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 4 | $2 | $8 | $6 |
| Median | 6 | $2 | $50 | $48 |
| Below median | 5 | $2 | $10 | $8 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 3 | $1 | $51 | $50 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 2 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| unranked | 2 | — | $1 | $1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Upset-Formula 0x73c2…4261 | No | +222 | $187 | $187 | 2 | 05-08 09:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x8454…3587 | No | +44 | $38 | $38 | 8 | 05-08 09:31 |
| Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | +30 | $22 | $22 | 1 | 05-07 16:51 |
| Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | +18 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 05-08 03:31 |
| Sweet-Derrick 0x6409…9411 | No | +18 | $13 | $13 | 1 | 05-07 09:34 |
| Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | +15 | $2 | $2 | 2 | 05-08 10:01 |
| Ironclad-Diamond 0x2869…527d | No | +10 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-08 09:35 |
| Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-07 10:50 |
| Angry-Nobody 0xf5dc…dec3 | No | +8 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 05-08 08:44 |
| Blissful-Ferret 0xa1bd…940e | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-08 08:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xc7a7…0493 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 08:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 08:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x0642…a6f7 | Yes | +6 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 08:44 |
| (anonymous) 0x31ff…e042 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 08:44 |
| Tepid-Viability 0x4eab…3b41 | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 08:49 |
| Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | +5 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 15:21 |
| Yawning-Wont 0x9c4b…a597 | Yes | +4 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 08:34 |
| Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | +3 | $1 | $35 | 2 | 05-08 15:04 |
| Humming-Owner 0xe0d2…7222 | No | +2 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-07 15:21 |
| Thankful-Witness 0xb00b…e0aa | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 23:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x059f…9de4 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-07 07:04 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-08 15:04:51 | Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | SELL | 19 | 88¢ | $17 | 0xd6f835… |
| 05-08 10:01:21 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x45c611… |
| 05-08 09:55:41 | Upset-Formula 0x73c2…4261 | No | BUY | 142 | 87¢ | $123 | 0xabe782… |
| 05-08 09:51:00 | Warped-Barracks 0xff74…5de4 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x27ae8a… |
| 05-08 09:35:30 | Ironclad-Diamond 0x2869…527d | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $4 | 0xb19e66… |
| 05-08 09:31:11 | (anonymous) 0x8454…3587 | No | BUY | 6 | 86¢ | $5 | 0x016309… |
| 05-08 09:30:54 | (anonymous) 0x8454…3587 | No | BUY | 6 | 85¢ | $5 | 0xe94884… |
| 05-08 09:19:58 | (anonymous) 0x8454…3587 | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $5 | 0xd7e8b5… |
| 05-08 09:11:04 | (anonymous) 0x8454…3587 | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $5 | 0xfba6e2… |
| 05-08 09:10:48 | (anonymous) 0x8454…3587 | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $5 | 0xbbe7c8… |
| 05-08 09:10:32 | (anonymous) 0x8454…3587 | No | BUY | 5 | 87¢ | $5 | 0xc7818d… |
| 05-08 08:49:53 | Tepid-Viability 0x4eab…3b41 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0x934e4f… |
| 05-08 08:45:54 | (anonymous) 0x8454…3587 | No | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0x5a0d30… |
| 05-08 08:45:36 | (anonymous) 0x8454…3587 | No | BUY | 6 | 83¢ | $5 | 0x2855fb… |
| 05-08 08:44:40 | (anonymous) 0x31ff…e042 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 19¢ | $1 | 0xf27d80… |
| 05-08 08:44:38 | (anonymous) 0x4c35…2aae | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x1fe7fe… |
| 05-08 08:44:38 | (anonymous) 0x0642…a6f7 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0xed225d… |
| 05-08 08:44:35 | (anonymous) 0xc7a7…0493 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 18¢ | $1 | 0x8d42fc… |
| 05-08 08:44:26 | Angry-Nobody 0xf5dc…dec3 | No | BUY | 8 | 82¢ | $7 | 0x1ceef1… |
| 05-08 08:44:23 | Cultured-Street 0xc243…5e94 | No | BUY | 22 | 82¢ | $18 | 0x934474… |
| 05-08 08:40:56 | Upset-Formula 0x73c2…4261 | No | BUY | 80 | 80¢ | $64 | 0x18d7f7… |
| 05-08 08:40:35 | Skeletal-Passion 0x4a72…9d77 | No | BUY | 30 | 77¢ | $23 | 0xcfbb90… |
| 05-08 08:40:35 | Ironclad-Diamond 0x2869…527d | No | BUY | 5 | 77¢ | $4 | 0xed5133… |
| 05-08 08:34:26 | Yawning-Wont 0x9c4b…a597 | Yes | BUY | 4 | 26¢ | $1 | 0x2ae73c… |
| 05-08 08:04:51 | Blissful-Ferret 0xa1bd…940e | No | BUY | 6 | 76¢ | $5 | 0x588ae5… |
| 05-08 07:49:17 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0xde54ee… |
| 05-08 05:58:29 | Broken-Idea 0x9f20…12c3 | Yes | SELL | 0 | 28¢ | $0 | 0xec2458… |
| 05-08 05:07:59 | (anonymous) 0x1885…521b | Yes | SELL | 11 | 26¢ | $3 | 0x7ffe31… |
| 05-08 04:34:41 | Skeletal-Passion 0x4a72…9d77 | No | SELL | 30 | 72¢ | $22 | 0x487547… |
| 05-08 04:34:32 | Skeletal-Passion 0x4a72…9d77 | No | SELL | 11 | 73¢ | $8 | 0x701b7c… |
| 05-08 04:29:50 | Trustworthy-Beret 0xad42…c918 | No | SELL | 10 | 73¢ | $7 | 0x103bfb… |
| 05-08 04:29:05 | Trustworthy-Beret 0xad42…c918 | No | SELL | 28 | 74¢ | $21 | 0x5a8b22… |
| 05-08 03:31:06 | Coarse-Gas 0xae68…064a | No | BUY | 18 | 75¢ | $14 | 0x3936b2… |
| 05-07 23:16:41 | Thankful-Witness 0xb00b…e0aa | No | BUY | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0x97bcc2… |
| 05-07 16:51:16 | Miniature-Drive 0xcfff…673d | No | BUY | 30 | 74¢ | $22 | 0x46e15f… |
| 05-07 15:21:40 | Rotten-Neuron 0x942d…278e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 29¢ | $1 | 0x118b74… |
| 05-07 15:21:38 | Humming-Owner 0xe0d2…7222 | No | BUY | 2 | 74¢ | $2 | 0x247415… |
| 05-07 10:50:15 | Buzzing-Vertigo 0x3cd4…ea0e | No | BUY | 10 | 74¢ | $7 | 0x55e2ac… |
| 05-07 10:50:15 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 26¢ | $1 | 0xf2ed1b… |
| 05-07 09:34:58 | Sweet-Derrick 0x6409…9411 | No | BUY | 18 | 74¢ | $13 | 0x582cb8… |
| 05-07 07:04:31 | (anonymous) 0x059f…9de4 | No | BUY | 1 | 80¢ | $1 | 0xf62179… |